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Proof of Pain

Podcast af Tony Carrera

engelsk

Business

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Proof of Pain is a podcast about the real costs, real tradeoffs, and real opportunities in a world repricing around sound money. Episodes are Bitcoin focused, covering Bitcoin, Bitcoin Treasury Companies, mining, options, and public market vehicles built on top of BTC. Sometimes we step outside Bitcoin with guests from worlds like sports and business who see the same incentives and tradeoffs. Subscribe for new episodes, uploaded regularly. Hosted by @tonycarrera on X. https://x.com/tonycarrera and https://x.com/proofofpainbtc. Not investing, financial, or tax advice. Entertainment only.

Alle episoder

12 episoder

episode Nik Lentz: STRC, MSTR, Bitcoin and Digital Credit Risks cover

Nik Lentz: STRC, MSTR, Bitcoin and Digital Credit Risks

In this episode of Proof of Pain, Tony sits down with Nik Lentz, former UFC veteran and quantitative analyst, to talk about Bitcoin, MSTR, STRC, and the risks around digital credit. We also get into Nik’s path from MMA to finance, how he learned to think like a quant, and why he has become skeptical of Wall Street’s version of Bitcoin. Nik is not anti-Bitcoin. He makes the case that Bitcoin wrappers, yield products, and “easy” digital credit stories are being sold too cleanly, that “11%” narratives do not hold up forever, and that if you really believe in Bitcoin, you should just buy Bitcoin. We also cover MSTR volatility, ETF wrappers, risk vs reward, and how faith changed the way he sees pain, markets, and life. What we cover• Nik’s path from childhood adversity to wrestling, UFC, and eventually finance• Why the transition from fighting to quant/trading made more sense than people think• Nik’s early Bitcoin experience and why he was interested so early• Why he is skeptical of ETF wrappers and Wall Street Bitcoin• MSTR, STRC, SATA, and the broader digital credit / yield story• Why Nik says “11% is make believe” and rejects the idea of a free lunch• Why he thinks volatility is the price of outsized returns• Faith, pain, risk, and how his worldview changed over time GUEST LINKSNik Lentz on X: https://x.com/NikLentz [https://x.com/NikLentz]DSMMA on YouTube:  @DSMMA  [https://www.youtube.com/@DSMMA]Damped Spring on YouTube:  @dampedspring  [https://www.youtube.com/@dampedspring]Damped Spring Website - https://DampedSpring.com [https://DampedSpring.com]PROOF OF PAIN LINKSProof of Pain on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLLIGmY3atii15i3dP3Gpu-DkI2MDs3qRw [https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLLIGmY3atii15i3dP3Gpu-DkI2MDs3qRw]X: https://x.com/ProofofPainBTC [https://x.com/ProofofPainBTC] @ProofOfPainBTCTony Carrera on X: https://x.com/tonycarrera [https://x.com/tonycarrera] @tonycarrera YouTube video link of this episode: https://youtu.be/4RotheTg5FE [https://youtu.be/4RotheTg5FE] Not financial, investment, or tax advice. Educational and entertainment content only. This is just personal view and commentary. Do your own research. Chapters0:00 Intro0:17 Nik’s background and MMA path25:40 From fighting to finance and quant trading37:43 First exposure to Bitcoin44:24 Why Nik is skeptical of Wall Street Bitcoin55:42 MSTR, “11% yield,” and why it breaks1:04:44 No free lunch in investing1:12:03 “If you believe in Bitcoin, buy Bitcoin”1:12:46 STRC, SATA, and digital credit1:21:37 Faith, pain, and perspective1:29:24 Where to find Nik

9. apr. 2026 - 1 h 30 min
episode Nithu Sezni: STRC, SATA, Digital Credit, and the BIP-110 Fight cover

Nithu Sezni: STRC, SATA, Digital Credit, and the BIP-110 Fight

In this episode of Proof of Pain, Tony sits down with Nithu Sezni of True North and the Orange Pill Investor to talk about digital credit, STRC, SATA, and the current BIP-110 fight. We break down who these products are actually for, why Strategy and Strive matter, and whether Bitcoiners are right to dismiss treasury companies and just buy BTC. We also cover Bitcoin as collateral, SATA risk vs STRC, mNAV criticism, Bitcoin-native lending, whether Strategy could eventually act more like a bank, 6102/confiscation risk, and the Core vs Knots battle around spam, censorship, and soft vs hard forks. What we cover • Digital credit explained simply • STRC vs SATA and why the yields differ • Whether Bitcoin is good collateral • “Just buy Bitcoin” vs treasury companies • mNAV, dilution, and what matters • Strategy as a possible bank / credit layer • 6102 risk, self-custody, and confiscation • BIP-110, Knots, spam, censorship, and forks Follow @nithusezni on X [https://x.com/nithusezni] @NithusezniSezni on YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/@NithusezniSezni] @tonycarrera on X [https://x.com/tonycarrera] @ProofOfPainBTC on X [https://x.com/ProofofPainBTC] YouTube video link of this episode: https://youtu.be/bahpGGAlCDs [https://youtu.be/bahpGGAlCDs] Not financial, investment, or tax advice. Educational and entertainment content only. This is just personal view and commentary. Do your own research. Chapters 0:00 Intro 2:48 Digital credit explained 15:23 STRC / SATA / ETF angle 30:08 SATA’s biggest risk 33:40 “Just buy Bitcoin?” 57:20 Bitcoin-native lending 1:10:04 Could Strategy become a bank? 1:20:23 Knots and the spam war 1:49:10 Is filtering spam censorship? 2:10:04 Strategy’s new 21/21 2:18:42 BTC and MSTR outlook

3. apr. 2026 - 2 h 22 min
episode Jim Crider: What Money Is, Why Finance Misses Bitcoin, and Portfolio STRC SATA Risks cover

Jim Crider: What Money Is, Why Finance Misses Bitcoin, and Portfolio STRC SATA Risks

In this episode of Proof of Pain, Tony sits down with Jim Crider, certified financial planner and founder of Intentional Living FP. They talk about what money is, why so many people in finance still misunderstand Bitcoin, and how Jim thinks about portfolio construction in a world shaped by inflation, money printing, AI, and rising uncertainty. They also cover Jim’s path into financial planning, how Bitcoin finally clicked for him during the COVID era, whether the 60/40 portfolio is broken, how he thinks about cash, bonds, stocks, real estate, and gold, and why most investors need to think more clearly about risk, time horizon, and allocation. The conversation also gets into Bitcoin treasury companies, STRC and SATA, black swan scenarios, stewardship, faith, and truth-seeking. GUEST LINKS: X: https://x.com/jimcridertx [https://x.com/jimcridertx] (@JimCriderTX) Website: intentionallivingfp.com [intentionallivingfp.com] YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JimCrider [https://www.youtube.com/@JimCrider] YouTube Intentional Living: https://www.youtube.com/@IntentionalLivingFP [https://www.youtube.com/@IntentionalLivingFP ] PROOF OF PAIN LINKS: X: https://x.com/ProofofPainBTC [https://x.com/ProofofPainBTC] (@ProofOfPainBTC) X: https://x.com/tonycarrera [https://x.com/tonycarrera] (@tonycarrera) Full video episode on YouTube: https://youtu.be/Vac0KPXj0Gk [https://youtu.be/Vac0KPXj0Gk] Not financial, investment, or tax advice. Educational and entertainment content only. This is just personal view and commentary. Do your own research. CHAPTERS: 00:00 Intro 02:10 How Jim got into financial planning 04:03 What financial planning really is 05:43 Money, values, and relationships 11:23 Why most finance pros never define money 14:57 How Jim found Bitcoin 19:00 AI, UBI, and money printing 24:49 How Jim allocates across assets 32:00 Is the 60/40 portfolio broken? 40:39 Strategy, Strive, and treasury companies 52:09 Bitcoin black swan risks 55:56 When would the Bitcoin thesis fail? 1:00:01 Bitcoin, truth, and Christianity 1:21:00 Giving, stewardship, and tithing 1:27:09 Where to find Jim

20. mar. 2026 - 1 h 28 min
episode Richard Byworth: H100, the MSTR Flywheel, Preferreds vs Converts, and Paper Bitcoin cover

Richard Byworth: H100, the MSTR Flywheel, Preferreds vs Converts, and Paper Bitcoin

In this episode of Proof of Pain, Tony sits down with Richard Byworth, Chairman at Future Holdings and an active participant in the H100 expansion into Switzerland. We talk about Bitcoin treasury companies, MSTR’s capital markets evolution, preferreds vs convertible bonds, and whether “paper Bitcoin” is a real concern. We also cover why Bitcoin denominated convertible bonds matter for smaller treasuries, what private companies can do if they cannot access capital markets, what retail misunderstands about treasury stocks, and Richard’s BTC outlook for 2026 and 2030. What we cover • Richard’s path from Nomura and convertibles to Bitcoin • MSTR’s flywheel and why converts created stock sellers • Preferreds vs convertibles and why the strategy shifted • Small BTCTCs in bear markets and the Bitcoin denominated convert path • Private company playbook for stacking BTC responsibly • Paper Bitcoin, futures, and short term market pressure • BTC targets for end of 2026 and end of 2030 Follow @RichardByworth [https://x.com/RichardByworth] on X @tonycarrera [https://x.com/tonycarrera] on X @ProofOfPainBTC [https://x.com/ProofOfPainBTC] on X YouTube video link of this episode: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I2SMlxLALZI [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I2SMlxLALZI] Not financial, investment, or tax advice. Educational and entertainment content only. This is just personal view and commentary. Do your own research. Chapters 0:00 Intro 0:18 Richard’s TradFi background 15:25 Finding MSTR through pension constraints 19:30 Why Saylor shifted away from convertibles 23:52 Flywheel for smaller BTCTCs 25:54 Bitcoin denominated converts (XCE) 34:12 Why 2024 to 2025 expectations broke 37:43 Paper Bitcoin explained 41:20 Lightning round 44:03 BTC targets

5. mar. 2026 - 44 min
episode Solo: Jane Street “10AM Slam”? ETF Dip Buying, and BTC Chart Levels cover

Solo: Jane Street “10AM Slam”? ETF Dip Buying, and BTC Chart Levels

In this solo episode of Proof of Pain, Tony covers two Bitcoin headlines driving the week, then pulls up the chart to check the levels he is watching. Tony talks about the Jane Street “10AM slam” chatter and why ETF mechanics can create weird looking moves around the market open. Then a quick look at spot Bitcoin ETF dip buying and what it might signal when price is chopping in a tight range. To finish, Tony zooms out on the chart to put the recent volatility in perspective and walks through the key zones he is watching next. Watch the full video episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_G9cGRcD5M [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A_G9cGRcD5M] Follow @tonycarrera [https://x.com/tonycarrera] on X @ProofOfPainBTC [https://x.com/ProofOfPainBTC] on X Not financial, investment, or tax advice. For entertainment only.

27. feb. 2026 - 8 min
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