UFC Vegas 117: Allen vs Costa | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 42

Dricus Du Plessis vs Kamaru Usman + Live Card Rip | UFC Oklahoma City Breakdown | FWN Ep. 49

The UFC heads to Oklahoma City for a shorter card this week, and Rob starts by addressing the elephant in the room — Conor McGregor's knee gave out in the first round, BSD dropped a fight he didn't see coming, and somehow we move forward. On a data-thin slate, the model still finds two fights worth talking about: a co-main event where the Tier 1 favorite's price sends us straight to the prop market, and a main event where a former welterweight champion steps into a new division as a big underdog with a very clear blueprint for winning. Plus — something new this week. Rob rips open a UFC trading card pack live on air. No script. Just vibes and whatever comes out of the pack. If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow. Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com. Chapters 00:00 Intro and UFC Oklahoma City overview 01:28 Recap of recent UFC fight results and lessons learned 02:24 Discussion on Conor McGregor's return and fan disappointment 05:08 Preview of UFC Oklahoma City main card and data limitations 06:10 Open UFC trading cards live on air 07:20 Analysis of Jared Cannonier vs Christian Leroy Duncan 13:05 Preview of UFC main event: Duplessis vs Uzman 19:34 Live UFC card rip and closing thoughts 23:02 Final betting thoughts and episode wrap-up Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com [https://pcm.adswizz.com] for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

McGregor is Back | UFC 329 Model Breakdown | FWN Ep. 48

The Mac is back. Five years removed from his last fight and six years since his last win, Conor McGregor steps back into the octagon at welterweight for a rematch against Max Holloway that nobody saw coming when they first met back in 2013. Rob breaks down the UFC 329 card through the model. If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow. Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo [https://x.com/TheRobbeo] and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com. [https://fightingwithnumbers.com]   Chapters 00:00 Welcome Back Mac 02:04 Analyzing Women's Flyweight Fight: Cortez vs. Wang 05:15 Robert Whitaker's Move to Light Heavyweight 09:40 Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Paddy Pimblett: A Lightweight Clash 13:46 The Return of Conor McGregor: Holloway Rematch 20:24 Final Thoughts and Betting Insights Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com [https://pcm.adswizz.com] for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Fiziev vs Torres | UFC Baku Model Predictions | FWN Ep. 47

The UFC heads to Baku, Azerbaijan this week as Rafael Fiziev looks to make a statement in front of his home crowd against a red-hot Manuel Torres — a fighter who has barely seen a second round in his entire MMA career.  If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow. Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo [https://x.com/TheRobbeo] and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com [https://FightingWithNumbers.com].   Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Recent Performance Review 02:03 Upcoming UFC Event in Baku, Azerbaijan 03:13 Fight Breakdown: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson 07:43 Fight Breakdown: Rafael Faziv vs. Manuel Torres 14:04 Conclusion and Future Outlook Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com [https://pcm.adswizz.com] for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

UFC Vegas 119: Kape vs Horiguchi 2 | FWN Ep. 46

Back at the APEX after one of the wildest events in UFC history. Rob recaps the White House card and gets into UFC Vegas 119 — a shorter card headlined by a legitimate flyweight title eliminator between Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi.  If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow. Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo [https://x.com/TheRobbeo] and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com [https://fightingwithnumbers.com].   Chapters 00:00 Here We Go 05:02 Analyzing Upcoming Fights at UFC Vegas 119 14:32 Main Event Breakdown: Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com [https://pcm.adswizz.com] for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

UFC Freedom 250 | White House Bets | FWN Ep. 45

The UFC takes it outside — literally — as the promotion sets up on the lawn of the White House for a card with two title fights and genuine history on the line. Rob breaks down fights through the model, including a heavyweight title fight where the model says one thing and the heart says another, and a lightweight main event where the undefeated El Matador looks to add another legend to his list. The outdoor environment, the crowd, the weather — this one comes with unknowns that no model can fully account for. That's what makes it must-watch television. If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow. Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.   00:00 Introduction and Event Recap  02:02 UFC Freedom 250 Overview  04:37 Weather and Environmental Factors  06:24 Diego Lopes vs. Steve Garcia Breakdown  11:16 Alex Pereira's Historic Title Shot  16:32 Main Event: Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje Analysis  23:35 Closing Thoughts and Final Predictions Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com [https://pcm.adswizz.com] for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.