The Follio Property Podcast

Australia's Property Market Just Split In Two (Here's Where Smart Money Is Going)

21 min · 21. Mai 2026
Episode Australia's Property Market Just Split In Two (Here's Where Smart Money Is Going) Cover

Beschreibung

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_campaign=Episode+67&utm_id=podcast While mum and dad investors freeze in fear, experienced property buyers are quietly loading up on Australian properties right now. In this episode, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty reveal exactly where smart money is flowing, which cities are at the bottom of the cycle, and why the current panic is the biggest opportunity in property investing Australia has seen in years.Australia's property market in 2025 is not one market. It is a story of two completely different economies playing out at the same time, and the investors who understand the data are already positioning themselves ahead of the curve.From the tightest vacancy rates in Perth's property history to Melbourne's record-breaking rental growth setting up a major price resurgence, the data tells a story that the headlines are getting completely wrong. For anyone serious about real estate Australia-wide, this is the intelligence you need before making your next move.Whether you are exploring property investment strategies Australia-wide, looking for your first investment property in Australia, or trying to understand how to invest in property in the current climate, this episode gives you the full picture. VALUE BREAKDOWN✅ Why experienced investors with multiple properties say this is one of the best buying windows in a decade ✅ Perth property market: 12% annual growth, 0.5% vacancy rate, and why the supply imbalance is not going away ✅ Melbourne at the bottom of the property cycle with the highest rental yields in Australia ✅ Brisbane and Adelaide are approaching peak signals and what that means for investors buying now ✅ Why yield and cash flow have overtaken capital growth as the top priority for Australian property investors ✅ How the Federal Budget shifted investor confidence in every state except one ✅ The 6 to 12-month rental-to-price correlation that predicts which markets are about to move ✅ Why Sydney auction clearance rates in the low 40s are a warning signal buyers must not ignore TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Prices Are Falling, How Bad Will It Get?03:22 The Sentiment Data Nobody's Talking About05:12 Smart Money vs. First-Time Investors06:56 The Two-Speed Economy: Winners & Losers09:26 Adelaide Has Peaked, What Comes Next10:45 Melbourne's Surprise: Best Rental Market in Australia13:47 Why Yield Is Now King (And Sydney Is in Trouble)15:23 The 4% Yield Threshold Every Investor Needs to Know16:06 Investor Lending Up 40% And The Policy CrackdownAbout the Follio Property Podcast Reece Beddall & Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property investing. From market cycles to debt, strategy, and data, we make property simple.📍Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypod Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/ If you enjoy the episode, hit Like, Subscribe, and Comment to support the channel and join the conversation.#AustralianPropertyMarket #NegativeGearing #RealEstateAustralia #PropertyInvestment #Budget2026 #RentCrisisAustralia #HousingAffordabilityAustralia #CapitalGainsTax #RealEstateInvesting #AustralianHousingMarket2026 #FirstHomeBuyer #PropertyPodcast #PropertyInvestor #FollioPropertyPodcast #InvestmentPropertyDisclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions

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Episode Sydney's Best Buying Window in 15 Years Just Opened | Property Experts Cover

Sydney's Best Buying Window in 15 Years Just Opened | Property Experts

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=video&utm_id=Ep+77📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Ep+77🚨 Attention Aussie Property Investors: The 2026 Budget may create the biggest property opportunities in years. Grab your FREE report from Australia's leading property experts and discover what's coming next.Sydney house prices are falling at the fastest rate since 2018 and the government isn't trying to stop it. In this episode, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty along with Redom Syed expose why the Australian government is betting on a Sydney property market correction before 2026 and why the next 6–12 months could be the best buying window Sydney has seen in 15 years.The Sydney property market in 2026 is shifting faster than most buyers and investors realise. House prices now sit at $1.6 million, down 4% in the last quarter alone, with auction clearance rates falling below 50% for the first time in years. This isn't just another cycle. Three rate rises, a government clampdown on investor lending, and post-budget uncertainty have combined to trigger what could become an 8%-plus aggregate price decline for Sydney. Borrowing power has fallen 30–40% over five years, and consumer confidence sits at historic lows. For Australian property investors and first-home buyers sitting on the sidelines, the question isn't whether Sydney will fall further, it's whether you'll recognise the window when it's open. The underlying housing shortage hasn't disappeared. Migration rates remain high. And the affordability index, which peaked at 61.5% in mid-2024 and now sits in the low 50s, is approaching levels that historically precede market rebounds. In this episode, we will cover:✅ The budget created "a bigger impact than the policy measures" ✅ The $2M–$5M trap✅ Auction clearance rates ✅ The affordability index✅ Borrowing power: how a decline changes things✅ The tale of 2–3 cities inside Sydney✅ Why Sydney's 2018 15% decline is the template for what happens next Timestamps:00:00 - Sydney Enters Buyer's Territory02:25 - Budget Fallout: Uncertainty Is the Real Weapon05:24 - 85% of Sellers At A Loss 10:21 - Affordability Index: The Metric That Predicts the Bottom16:58 - The 2018 15% Decline 18:09 - The $1 Trillion Wealth Wipeout 21:18 - Consumer Confidence, RBA Policy & Rate Cuts29:21 - Auction Clearance Rates33:04 - Spring 26: The Best Buying Window in 15 Years41:41 - Where Smart Money MovesAbout The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: / folliopropertypod TikTok: / folliopropertypod Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N5...Lachlan Delahunty: / lachlandelahunty Reece Beddall: / reece-beddall-294557b3 Follow Redom Syed:YouTube: ⁨@AusPropertyRedom⁩ Business: https://flintgroup.au/ If you enjoy the episode, hit Like, Subscribe, and Comment to support the channel and join the conversation.🔔 Subscribe for weekly Australian property investing insights, market analysis, and high-profile guests that cut through the noise.

25. Juni 202646 min
Episode BREAKING: Government Bans SMSF Property Lending (Live Reaction) Cover

BREAKING: Government Bans SMSF Property Lending (Live Reaction)

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/The government just banned SMSF property lending. Here's our live reaction to the breaking news, with everything unpacked.In this breaking-news live reaction, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty unpack Labor's deal with the Greens to ban self-managed super funds from borrowing to buy residential property — what it means for investors, first home buyers, and the mum-and-dad Australians caught in the middle.But the SMSF ban is only part of the story. With Sydney auction clearance rates falling to a COVID-era low of 47% and headlines screaming collapse, Reece and Lachlan cut through the noise with the weekly data they track on the ground, revealing the markets within markets that are still recording positive growth while the national narrative says doom and gloom.VALUE BREAKDOWN✅ What the SMSF lending ban actually changes — and why it's less than 1% of lending✅ Why this is really about sentiment, not fundamentals✅ The grandfathering rules and the 60-day window explained✅ Why this is another handbrake on the mum-and-dad investor✅ Sydney and Melbourne: what 47% clearance rates really tell you✅ Markets within markets — why the upper quartile is dragging the headline figures✅ Why sub-$1M entry-level property has become the most competitive segment✅ The around-the-grounds data: Perth, Brisbane, Adelaide's first decline of the year✅ Why consumer sentiment just hit a multi-decade low — and who's actually still buying✅ The sophisticated investor mindset: being greedy when others are fearful🕐 TIMESTAMPS00:00 BREAKING: The SMSF lending ban explained01:48 Is this really about helping first home buyers?03:54 Grandfathering and the 60-day window04:41 Spruikers, loopholes and why the Greens pushed this10:31 Will it actually move property prices?13:53 The two-speed economy: Sydney and Melbourne data18:26 Why entry-level property is now the most competitive20:46 Around the grounds: Perth, Adelaide, Brisbane and regionals23:54 Sentiment: the lowest consumer confidence in 50 years27:35 Who's still buying — and the investor mindset that winsAbout The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/#SMSFBan #SelfManagedSuperFund #AustralianPropertyMarket #PropertyInvestment #NegativeGearing #SydneyProperty #MelbourneProperty #AuctionClearanceRates #PerthPropertyMarket #PropertyInvestor #FolioPropertyPodcast #FirstHomeBuyer #AustralianHousingMarket2026 #MumAndDadInvestors #PropertyPodcast #SuperannuationAustralia #TwoSpeedEconomy #RealEstateAustralia #PropertyData #ConsumerSentiment

23. Juni 202631 min
Episode How to Invest After The 2026 Budget in Australian Property | Property Experts Cover

How to Invest After The 2026 Budget in Australian Property | Property Experts

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=youtube&utm_medium=video&utm_campaign=ep75📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Ep+75Over 50,000 first-home buyers are now at risk as the Australian property market splits in two. Sydney house prices are falling at the fastest rate in 40 years while Perth continues its 26% annual boom. In this episode, property experts break down exactly what the 2026 Federal Budget means for investors, homeowners, and anyone looking to buy Australian property right now.The Australian property market is experiencing what experts are calling a two-speed economy. Sydney recorded a 0.9% decline in May alone, with auction clearance rates dropping below 50% and investor lending down 6.3%. Melbourne followed with a 0.7% decline, though rental yields at 4.47% are now the highest of any capital city. Meanwhile, Brisbane, Adelaide, and Perth are still posting positive monthly growth, with Perth leading the nation at 1.5% for the month and 26% over the past twelve months. This episode examines where the real estate Australia market is heading for the rest of 2026, which cities present the greatest risk of negative equity, and where the smart property investment opportunities still exist for buyers and investors.Here is exactly what we have covered in the podcast:✅ Sydney's 0.9% monthly decline and why auction clearance rates have fallen below 50% ✅ Melbourne's surprising rental yield lead at 4.47% and what the November election means for investors ✅ Perth's 26% annual growth and whether the market has peaked ✅ Brisbane's affordability ceiling and the risk of a decade-long stagnation ✅ Adelaide's slowing growth trajectory and the forecast for zero or negative movement ✅ How the 2026 Budget impacts first home buyers and investor lending across every capital city ✅ The widening gap between Sydney and Melbourne median house prices and what it signalsTimestamps:0:00 — First Home Buyers at Risk 1:11 — Budget Impact discussion 2:08 — Two-Speed Economy 2:45 — Sydney Auction Clearance Rates3:43 — Investor Lending drop5:49 — Melbourne Market10:25 — Brisbane Affordability Ceiling 13:01 — Perth 26% GrowthAbout The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/If you enjoy the episode, hit Like, Subscribe, and Comment to support the channel and join the conversation.#realestateaustralia #propertyinvestmentaustralia #housingmarketaustralia #australianpropertymarket #sydneypropertymarket #firsthomebuyersaustralia

18. Juni 202617 min
Episode Know Your Numbers: The Post-Budget Portfolio Review Every Investor Needs Cover

Know Your Numbers: The Post-Budget Portfolio Review Every Investor Needs

Get FREE Early Access to PropStac 👉: https://follio.com.au/propstac-waitlist/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Propstac+Waitlist+Ep+74📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+74Most Australian property investors are driving blind into 2026, and the RBA's next move could be a brutal backflip that catches the unprepared off guard.In this episode of the Follio Property Podcast, Lachlan Delahunty and Reece Beddall break down the new Prop Stack portfolio management platform and tackle the hardest questions facing Australian property investors right now.The team also reveals their pick for the best investment opportunity for first-time investors, breaks down the key differences between transportable regional markets and remote regionals, and delivers their number one piece of advice for investors navigating the post-budget landscape.PropStac, the new portfolio tracking and market research platform, is built for investors who want to stop relying on spreadsheets and start making data-driven decisions, the platform offers portfolio dashboards, DIY market comparison charts, and access to vetted off-market investment opportunities across Australia.Here’s everything we have covered in this episode:✅ Why the 2026 rate trajectory could backflip and catch investors off guard ✅ Lachlan Delahunty's prediction: no more RBA rate hikes in 2026 ✅ Perth property market affordability analysis (houses 18%, units 46% remaining) ✅ Melbourne units identified as the best entry point for first-time investors ✅ Sydney property cycle: why the bottom is still ahead ✅ Transportable regionals vs remote regionals: the critical distinction ✅ Prop Stack portfolio management platform walkthrough and pilot program details ✅ Post-budget investment strategy: why knowing your numbers is non-negotiable ✅ Commercial property investment thresholds and the sub-$1.5M strata unit warningTIMESTAMPS:0:00 - 2026 Rate Backflip Warning1:05 - Prop Stack Platform Introduction3:29 - Portfolio Tracking & Market Research5:36 - Dashboard Walkthrough9:08 - Scenario Planner Demo13:43 - Off-Market Property Marketplace19:08 - Q&A: RBA Rate Forecast 202620:31 - Houses vs Units in 202621:35 - Rentvesting in Today's Market22:49 - Regional vs Remote Markets Explained24:10 - Gold Coast Market AnalysisAbout The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/#AustralianPropertyMarket #RealEstateAustralia #AustralianHousingMarket #NegativeGearing #CapitalGainsTax #folliopropertypodcast Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisionsTrack: MoodMode - Upbeat Hip Hop Boom Bap Background MusicMusic provided by MoodMode

16. Juni 202631 min
Episode Australia's Biggest Property Crash in 40 Years Has Already Begun | Property Experts Cover

Australia's Biggest Property Crash in 40 Years Has Already Begun | Property Experts

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+73Australia's property market is on the edge of its biggest correction in 40 years and most investors are still not prepared, as explained by the property expert Leith Van Onselen. He reveals exactly why falling borrowing capacity, poorly timed tax policy, and a looming recession are set to push property prices down by up to 10% across major capitals.The Australian real estate market has reached a dangerous inflection point. With the RBA at its highest cash rate in 15 years and investor borrowing capacity slashed by up to 30%, the widening gap between soaring property prices and the real capacity to pay cannot hold. The capital gains tax, property Australia reforms and negative gearing changes have landed at the worst possible moment, piling more downward pressure onto a market already at its cyclical peak.Australia is tracking dangerously close to New Zealand's trajectory, where identical policy changes triggered a sharp property crash before the incoming government reversed course. The 25-year supercycle of rising property values relative to incomes is likely over. Brisbane sits at its most overvalued level in 50 years relative to other capitals. The Melbourne property market is the cheapest major capital in 50 years. Consumer sentiment is near 50-year lows, construction costs are up 40% since the pandemic, and rental vacancy rates have hit their lowest point in recorded history.What you'll learn in this episode: ✅ Why Australia is heading for its biggest property correction in 40 years ✅ How capital gains tax and negative gearing changes have crushed investor borrowing capacity by up to 30%✅ The New Zealand precedent and what it signals for Australian property investment in 2025 ✅ Brisbane vs Melbourne: which capital is dangerously overvalued and which presents the hidden opportunity ✅ Why surging construction costs are deepening the rental crisis and stifling new supply ✅ What RBA rate cuts will and will not save for property investorsTimestamps:00:00 - Australia's Biggest Property Correction in 40 Years01:35 - Capital Gains Tax & Negative Gearing: The Policy Shock04:25 - The New Zealand Precedent12:21 - What Actually Moves Property Prices17:07 - Credit Availability & Borrowing Capacity Collapse19:14 - RBA Rate Cuts & Recession Risk24:29 - Brisbane vs Melbourne: Which Market Wins?33:15 - Is This Worse Than 2018?45:48 - Rental Crisis & Construction Collapse50:04 - Wrap Up & Part 2 PreviewFollow Leith Van Onselen:YouTube:  @Leithvo  [https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UCi3WZlKputf4Kv6AFDiLYVg] Business: https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/#AustralianPropertyMarket #RealEstateAustralia #AustralianHousingMarket #NegativeGearing #CapitalGainsTax #FollioPropertyPodcast

11. Juni 202650 min