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Goldman Sachs Q2 2026 Earnings Analysis

7 min · Ayer
Portada del episodio Goldman Sachs Q2 2026 Earnings Analysis

Descripción

More earnings analysis: https://betafinch.com [https://betafinch.com] Groups: BANKS (https://betafinch.com/groups/BANKS) [https://betafinch.com/groups/BANKS)] ────────── ALEX: Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown, bringing you the numbers and the narrative behind them. I'm Alex. JORDAN: And I'm Jordan. And Alex, we've got Goldman Sachs Q2 2026, and this one's a doozy. ALEX: It really is — but before we dive in, quick disclaimer: this podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. JORDAN: Good, let's get into it. Record quarter, full stop. $20.3 billion in net revenues, record EPS of $20.98, ROE of 23.5%, ROTE of 25.5%. Those are eye-popping numbers for a bank this size. ALEX: Every single segment contributed. Global Banking & Markets alone hit a record $15.5 billion. Advisory revenue up 17% year-over-year — and get this, Goldman crossed $1 trillion in announced M&A volume in just six months, first bank ever to do that. JORDAN: And they're not just winning deals, they're winning them by a mile. $425 billion ahead of the next closest competitor in announced M&A. That's not a lead, that's a lap. ALEX: Equity underwriting revenue up 130%, debt underwriting up 75% — best quarter on record there. A lot of that tied to marquee names too — they were lead bookrunner on the SpaceX IPO and the Alphabet equity raise. JORDAN: But honestly, the number that made me do a double-take was equities trading. Record $7.4 billion, with intermediation revenue up 60% and equity financing up 91%. CFO Denis Coleman basically said this is the payoff from a multi-year bet on building out their Asia prime brokerage business. ALEX: Right, and analysts pushed hard on that in Q&A — is this sustainable, or is it a couple of huge clients driving the number? Coleman pushed back, saying it's broad-based across long-short and quant clients globally, not concentrated in a handful of accounts. JORDAN: FICC was strong too — $4.6 billion, up 32%, with financing revenue hitting a record. Across FICC and equities combined, financing now makes up 37% of total revenue there. Goldman's essentially been turning its balance sheet into a growth engine. ALEX: Let's talk Asset & Wealth Management, because that story's just as interesting. Revenue up 20% year-over-year to $4.6 billion, 34th straight quarter of long-term net inflows, total assets under supervision crossed $4 trillion for the first time. JORDAN: And alternatives fundraising — $59 billion in the quarter, $85 billion year-to-date. They actually raised their full-year fundraising guidance to over $125 billion. $31 billion of that was private credit alone this quarter. ALEX: They also picked up two massive OCIO mandates — Verizon and Lockheed Martin's retirement plans, $70 billion combined in assets. That's the kind of sticky, fee-generating business that makes this segment more durable over time. JORDAN: Now, the through-line for this whole call was really the AI infrastructure buildout. CEO David Solomon kept coming back to it — data centers, energy, chips, the whole ecosystem is pulling in capital far beyond traditional tech financing, and Goldman's positioning itself as the plumbing for that capital. ALEX: He was refreshingly honest about the risk side too. When asked directly about bubble concerns, Solomon said, essentially, "I'm not smart enough to tell you if there's a recalibration coming in six or eighteen months, but over three to five years, we're investing in long-term growth." He didn't dodge the question, but he didn't overpromise either. JORDAN: That was a theme all call — a lot of "this won't be a straight line, there'll be bumps." Which, from a bank CEO in the middle of a record quarter, is actually a pretty disciplined thing to say out loud. ALEX: One more Q&A moment worth flagging — Mike Mayo asked about the "multiplier eff This episode includes AI-generated content.

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Portada del episodio BlackRock Q2 2026 Earnings Analysis

BlackRock Q2 2026 Earnings Analysis

More earnings analysis: https://betafinch.com [https://betafinch.com] Groups: BANKS (https://betafinch.com/groups/BANKS) [https://betafinch.com/groups/BANKS)] ────────── ALEX: Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown. Today we're digging into BlackRock's second quarter 2026 numbers — and Jordan, this was a genuinely loud quarter. JORDAN: Loud is the right word. Record revenue, record operating income, record EPS, all in the same three months. ALEX: Before we get into it, a quick note. This podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. JORDAN: Good, let's get into it. Revenue came in at $7.1 billion, up 31% year-over-year. Operating income jumped 39% to $2.9 billion, and EPS hit $13.91. ALEX: And the margin story is what jumped out to me. 45.9% operating margin, up 260 basis points from a year ago — that's their best level in almost five years. JORDAN: Right, and CFO Martin Small was pretty clear that 45.9% isn't a ceiling. He pointed out BlackRock ran near 47% margins back in 2021, before they even had the scale in private markets or systematic equities they have now. So there's an argument the runway keeps going. ALEX: Let's talk flows, because $192 billion of net inflows in a single quarter is enormous. That's 8% organic base fee growth for the quarter, and over the trailing twelve months they've pulled in $868 billion with 10% organic base fee growth. JORDAN: iShares ETFs led the way — $178 billion of inflows, with core equity ETFs at $85 billion and index bond ETFs setting a new record at $61 billion. Active ETFs added another $20 billion, and Larry Fink noted BlackRock has gone from the seventh-largest active ETF manager to third-largest in just three years. ALEX: The other big storyline is the HPS and GIP integration — the private markets acquisitions that closed about a year ago. Fink said the combination is already "delivering above our plans." JORDAN: The numbers back that up. HPS alone contributed about $230 million in base fees and $115 million in performance fees this quarter. And on the insurance side, Fink talked about converting general account assets — they've got roughly $800 billion of insurance assets on the platform — into higher-yielding private markets allocations. Even a 5-10% conversion rate, he said, would be a meaningful lift to average fees. ALEX: There was also that data center deal — Aligned Data Centers — described as the largest data center infrastructure transaction ever announced, bringing together their AIP, GIP, and MGX platforms. JORDAN: That ties into a theme across the whole call: hyperscalers needing balance-sheet partners to build out AI infrastructure, and BlackRock positioning itself as one of the few firms that can show up with both equity and debt capital at scale. ALEX: Let's hit tokenization for a second, because Martin Small got pretty specific here. They've filed two SEC registration statements for tokenized money market funds — one a tokenized share class on Ethereum, the other a more digitally native version with features like daily dividend reinvestment. JORDAN: And the framing was interesting — he called tokenized assets "the spear tip into an entirely new distribution channel," pointing to the roughly 5 billion digital wallets globally as a pool of potential new iShares investors. They're also already managing $60 billion in stablecoin reserves for Circle, about a quarter of that market. ALEX: On the capital return side, they bumped up guidance — now planning at least $550 million in quarterly share buybacks, higher than what they guided back in January. Combined with the dividend, they're expecting to return over $5.7 billion to shareholders this year, a 16% increase over 2025. JORDAN: One thing worth flagging for listeners: EPS growth of 15% was actually a bit lower than the 39% operating income growth This episode includes AI-generated content.

15 de jul de 20266 min
Portada del episodio Wells Fargo Q2 2026 Earnings Analysis

Wells Fargo Q2 2026 Earnings Analysis

More earnings analysis: https://betafinch.com [https://betafinch.com] Groups: BANKS (https://betafinch.com/groups/BANKS) [https://betafinch.com/groups/BANKS)] ────────── ALEX: Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown! I'm Alex, here with Jordan, and today we're diving into Wells Fargo's second quarter 2026 results. Before we jump in — this podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. JORDAN: And Alex, this was a genuinely strong quarter for Wells Fargo. Diluted EPS hit $2, up 25% year-over-year. Revenue grew 9%. Every single operating segment posted growth in both net interest income and non-interest income. ALEX: That broad-based part is what jumps out to me. CEO Charlie Scharf made a point of saying it's not just a rising-rate-environment story — it's investments and operating discipline paying off. Headcount has now declined for 24 straight quarters, down to 197,000, while they're actually adding bankers, advisors, and traders in growth areas. JORDAN: Right, they're funding growth with efficiency savings rather than just cutting costs across the board. And the returns numbers back it up — ROTCE jumped to 17.7% this quarter, up from 15.2% a year ago. CFO Mike Santomassimo did flag that venture capital gains — $847 million in equity gains — juiced that number a bit, but even stripping that out, the underlying trend is improving. ALEX: Wells Fargo has a medium-term target of 17-18% ROTCE, and Scharf was asked repeatedly about timing on that. His answer, essentially: "we're more confident every quarter, but we're not giving you a hard date because rates and markets are unpredictable." JORDAN: Classic executive hedge, but a reasonable one. Let's talk net interest income, because that's where most of the analyst questions went. Full-year guidance stayed at $50 billion, give or take, but the composition shifted a little — loan growth is coming in better than expected, while non-interest-bearing deposits aren't growing as much as they'd hoped. ALEX: And net interest margin actually compressed again — down 4 basis points from Q1. Management's explanation is interesting: it's largely self-inflicted, in a good way. They're growing their markets business balance sheet aggressively, financing clients at lower spreads, which drags down NIM but drives higher trading revenue and deeper relationships. JORDAN: Scharf was pretty emphatic about that point — he said NIM compression "is not happening to us," it's a deliberate choice they can reverse if the payoff isn't there. Markets revenue grew 24% year-over-year, so early signs suggest it's working. They expect a bit more NIM pressure in Q3, then stabilization in Q4. ALEX: Loan and deposit growth were both double-digit — average loans up 12%, deposits up 10% — which is a big deal since Wells Fargo only got out from under the Fed's asset cap last year. They're finally playing offense after years of being constrained. JORDAN: Credit quality remained a bright spot too. Net charge-offs declined 10 basis points year-over-year to 34 basis points. Consumer delinquencies are actually coming in better than their models predict. Commercial credit is clean as well, though Scharf did flag caution around wholesale lending — data center financing, leveraged deals — where non-bank lenders are taking on more risk than Wells is willing to. ALEX: That data center commentary was one of my favorite exchanges. An analyst asked about second-derivative AI exposure, and Scharf gave a really thoughtful answer about how they underwrite different pieces of the data center supply chain differently — chip makers get paid back fast with huge margins, but other players in the chain carry much longer, riskier payback horizons. JORDAN: It showed real discipline — they're not just chasing the AI infrastructure boom blindly. On the business-line side, the Cor This episode includes AI-generated content.

Ayer6 min
Portada del episodio JPMorgan Chase Q2 2026 Earnings Analysis

JPMorgan Chase Q2 2026 Earnings Analysis

More earnings analysis: https://betafinch.com [https://betafinch.com] Groups: BANKS (https://betafinch.com/groups/BANKS) [https://betafinch.com/groups/BANKS)] ────────── ALEX: Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown, where we take a dense earnings call transcript and turn it into something you can actually enjoy with your coffee. I'm Alex. JORDAN: And I'm Jordan. Today we're diving into JPMorgan Chase, ticker JPM, Q2 2026 results — and Alex, this one had a little bit of everything: blowout numbers, a leadership shakeup, and Jamie Dimon being Jamie Dimon. ALEX: Before we get into it, quick disclaimer: this podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. JORDAN: Good, glad that's out of the way. So let's start with the headline numbers. ALEX: JPMorgan posted net income of $16.9 billion, EPS of $6.14, and a return on tangible common equity of 23%. Strip out some one-off items and revenue was actually up 15% year-over-year. JORDAN: And that growth was really broad-based — markets revenue was the biggest driver, but you also had higher asset management fees, stronger investment banking revenue, and higher deposit and loan balances. The one drag was lower rates, but honestly, that barely made a dent. ALEX: Expenses climbed too — $27.3 billion, up 15%, mostly tied to volume and revenue-related costs plus front-office hiring. Credit costs came in at $2.5 billion. And here's a nice surprise for investors: the board is bumping the quarterly dividend up to $1.65 a share starting next quarter. JORDAN: Let's talk about the business lines, because two of them really stood out. The CIB — that's the Corporate and Investment Bank — had a monster quarter. Revenue up 27% year-over-year, investment banking fees up 30%, with double-digit growth across the board. ALEX: And equities trading? Up 86% year-over-year. Eighty-six percent, Jordan. JORDAN: That's the kind of number that makes you sit up. CFO Jeremy Barnum was pretty candid on the call though — he said this level of equities strength is "a little bit hard to imagine being repeated." So management itself is tapping the brakes on extrapolating this quarter forward. ALEX: Right, and same with investment banking — some of that came from large deals getting pulled forward and a couple of high-profile IPOs. But he also said the pipeline remains "quite robust," and there's this interesting dynamic where the buzz around big deals seems to be generating even more activity. JORDAN: Meanwhile, on the asset and wealth management side, AUM hit $5.1 trillion, up 18%, with $50 billion in long-term net inflows. And in consumer banking, they added over 500,000 net new checking accounts this quarter. That's a franchise that's just quietly compounding. ALEX: Let's get into the bigger story of the call, though — the leadership news. JPMorgan just elevated Doug and Troy to co-presidents, and long-time consumer banking head Marianne Lake is retiring as a result. JORDAN: This dominated the Q&A. Analysts kept probing Jamie Dimon about succession, and he was pretty firm that the timetable for his own tenure "hasn't changed" — still talking in terms of a few years, plus or minus, with the board ultimately deciding. ALEX: One exchange I loved — Mike Mayo basically said, half-joking, "you've now got an FX trader running the consumer bank," referring to Troy. Barnum jumped in to correct him: Troy was actually an options trader, not FX. Small detail, but it got a laugh. JORDAN: Dimon's broader point was that he wants leaders who've operated across the whole company, not just people who came up through investment banking. He was pretty explicit that leaders who only understand trading or dealmaking can end up neglecting the rest of the franchise. ALEX: Let's talk guidance, because they raised it meaningfully. Full-year NII outlook ex-Markets moved up This episode includes AI-generated content.

Ayer7 min
Portada del episodio Goldman Sachs Q2 2026 Earnings Analysis

Goldman Sachs Q2 2026 Earnings Analysis

More earnings analysis: https://betafinch.com [https://betafinch.com] Groups: BANKS (https://betafinch.com/groups/BANKS) [https://betafinch.com/groups/BANKS)] ────────── ALEX: Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown, bringing you the numbers and the narrative behind them. I'm Alex. JORDAN: And I'm Jordan. And Alex, we've got Goldman Sachs Q2 2026, and this one's a doozy. ALEX: It really is — but before we dive in, quick disclaimer: this podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. JORDAN: Good, let's get into it. Record quarter, full stop. $20.3 billion in net revenues, record EPS of $20.98, ROE of 23.5%, ROTE of 25.5%. Those are eye-popping numbers for a bank this size. ALEX: Every single segment contributed. Global Banking & Markets alone hit a record $15.5 billion. Advisory revenue up 17% year-over-year — and get this, Goldman crossed $1 trillion in announced M&A volume in just six months, first bank ever to do that. JORDAN: And they're not just winning deals, they're winning them by a mile. $425 billion ahead of the next closest competitor in announced M&A. That's not a lead, that's a lap. ALEX: Equity underwriting revenue up 130%, debt underwriting up 75% — best quarter on record there. A lot of that tied to marquee names too — they were lead bookrunner on the SpaceX IPO and the Alphabet equity raise. JORDAN: But honestly, the number that made me do a double-take was equities trading. Record $7.4 billion, with intermediation revenue up 60% and equity financing up 91%. CFO Denis Coleman basically said this is the payoff from a multi-year bet on building out their Asia prime brokerage business. ALEX: Right, and analysts pushed hard on that in Q&A — is this sustainable, or is it a couple of huge clients driving the number? Coleman pushed back, saying it's broad-based across long-short and quant clients globally, not concentrated in a handful of accounts. JORDAN: FICC was strong too — $4.6 billion, up 32%, with financing revenue hitting a record. Across FICC and equities combined, financing now makes up 37% of total revenue there. Goldman's essentially been turning its balance sheet into a growth engine. ALEX: Let's talk Asset & Wealth Management, because that story's just as interesting. Revenue up 20% year-over-year to $4.6 billion, 34th straight quarter of long-term net inflows, total assets under supervision crossed $4 trillion for the first time. JORDAN: And alternatives fundraising — $59 billion in the quarter, $85 billion year-to-date. They actually raised their full-year fundraising guidance to over $125 billion. $31 billion of that was private credit alone this quarter. ALEX: They also picked up two massive OCIO mandates — Verizon and Lockheed Martin's retirement plans, $70 billion combined in assets. That's the kind of sticky, fee-generating business that makes this segment more durable over time. JORDAN: Now, the through-line for this whole call was really the AI infrastructure buildout. CEO David Solomon kept coming back to it — data centers, energy, chips, the whole ecosystem is pulling in capital far beyond traditional tech financing, and Goldman's positioning itself as the plumbing for that capital. ALEX: He was refreshingly honest about the risk side too. When asked directly about bubble concerns, Solomon said, essentially, "I'm not smart enough to tell you if there's a recalibration coming in six or eighteen months, but over three to five years, we're investing in long-term growth." He didn't dodge the question, but he didn't overpromise either. JORDAN: That was a theme all call — a lot of "this won't be a straight line, there'll be bumps." Which, from a bank CEO in the middle of a record quarter, is actually a pretty disciplined thing to say out loud. ALEX: One more Q&A moment worth flagging — Mike Mayo asked about the "multiplier eff This episode includes AI-generated content.

Ayer7 min
Portada del episodio Citigroup Q2 2026 Earnings Analysis

Citigroup Q2 2026 Earnings Analysis

More earnings analysis: https://betafinch.com [https://betafinch.com] Groups: BANKS (https://betafinch.com/groups/BANKS) [https://betafinch.com/groups/BANKS)] ────────── Welcome to Beta Finch, your AI-powered earnings breakdown, bringing you the numbers, the color, and the context you actually need. I'm Alex, joined as always by Jordan. Today: Citigroup's Q2 2026. JORDAN: Before we get into it, quick note from us — this podcast is AI-generated content for educational and entertainment purposes only. Nothing we discuss should be considered investment advice. Always do your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. ALEX: Right, let's get into it. Citi just posted its best quarterly revenue in a decade. Net income of $5.8 billion, EPS of $3.15, ROTCE of 13%, on $24.8 billion in revenue, and here's the kicker — over 9% positive operating leverage. That means revenue grew way faster than expenses. JORDAN: And it wasn't one lucky business carrying the firm — double-digit revenue growth in four of five segments. Services had its best quarter ever, over 30% returns. Markets crossed $7 billion again, up 17%, with equities up a stunning 40-plus percent on prime balances jumping nearly 60%. Banking revenue climbed 34%, investment banking up 44% — they had lead roles on marquee IPOs like SpaceX and Cerebras. ALEX: Wealth notched its ninth straight quarter of growth, up 13%, returns now over 14%. The one soft spot was U.S. Consumer Cards — heavy investment spend, including that American Airlines-Barclays portfolio acquisition, weighed on operating leverage there, even though ROTCE for cards actually rose to 22%. JORDAN: So strong quarter across the board, and yet — the stock dropped about 5% on the print. That's the real story here. ALEX: Exactly, and it all comes down to guidance. CFO Gonzalo Luchetti kept the full-year ROTCE target at 10-11%, even after hitting 13.1% year-to-date. Analysts did the math out loud — Glenn Schorr and Mike Mayo both pressed hard on this. If you're at 13% for the first half, holding 10-11% for the year implies a real step-down in the second half. JORDAN: And management's answer was essentially: some of that's normal seasonality — markets revenue historically drops about 20% between first and second half — but a lot of it is a deliberate choice. They said if the environment stays strong, they're going to lean in and accelerate investments and severance actions rather than just let the extra profit flow to the bottom line this year. ALEX: Jane Fraser put it bluntly: "This is 100% offense." They're not defending market share or patching up legacy systems — they're pulling forward spending on things like AI, technology, marketing in cards, and structural efficiency work to lock in higher, more durable returns in 2027 and beyond. JORDAN: It's a "spend the windfall now" strategy. They already took $800 million in severance in just the first half — matching all of last year — and signaled there could be more in the second half if opportunities arise. ALEX: On the balance sheet side, capital looks solid. CET1 ratio at 12.8%, well above their regulatory minimum. They announced a 12% dividend increase and are running a $30 billion buyback program, having already repurchased $4 billion this quarter. JORDAN: Credit quality was also a bright spot — corporate credit stayed clean, and even in cards, delinquencies and losses came in better than expected. Consumer spending looked resilient, up 6-7% even excluding the new airline card portfolio. ALEX: There were a couple of housekeeping items too — Jenn Landis wrapped up her run as head of Investor Relations to become CFO of the Markets business, handing the reins to Margo Pilic. And Citi continues unwinding its Mexico business, Banamex — they've now sold down over 49% of that stake, with full deconsolidation expected in early 2027. JORDAN: The other big theme was AI — not as a buzzword, but operationally. Nearly nine in ten Citi employees are using their internal AI tools This episode includes AI-generated content.

Ayer5 min