EWA Stock Market and Portfolio Commentary Q3 2026

EWA Stock Market and Portfolio Commentary Q3 2026

Welcome to EWA's Q3 2026 Market and Portfolio Commentary. In this update, Matt Blocki, Nick Stonesifer, and Jordan Fediaczko break down what's driving markets mid-year and how EWA portfolios are being positioned as we head into Q3. The core message: stay constructive, but make the risk work harder. After a sharp market recovery, the team is trimming broad equity beta, reducing the equity overweight from 3% to 1%, while keeping the highest-conviction exposures in U.S. large cap growth and AI-linked opportunities. This is not a bearish call. It's disciplined portfolio management: harvesting gains where conviction is lower and concentrating risk where the earnings story remains strongest. This commentary covers: • Why we trimmed equity overweight from 3% to 1% and why this isn't a bearish signal• Geopolitical risk as a behavioral trap and why discipline beats headlines • The energy shock asymmetry: how rising oil prices hit Europe and China harder than the U.S. • Fed policy uncertainty and the debate between Core PCE (3.2%) vs. Trimmed Mean PCE (2.4%) • Why earnings, not multiple expansion, have been doing the heavy lifting for markets • AI infrastructure and energy leading EPS revisions, with active managers still underweight • Active country selection as global dispersion widens dramatically (Korea +73%, Indonesia 26%) • The stock bond diversification dilemma and why we're adding liquid alternatives as a true shock absorber Throughout the video, we reaffirm EWA's core philosophy: stay disciplined, stay diversified, and concentrate risk where conviction is highest. If you're an EWA client and have questions about how these changes impact your portfolio or financial plan, please reach out to your advisor. Connect with EWA: https://ewa-llc.com/ https://www.instagram.com/ewa.llc/ https://www.linkedin.com/company/equilibrium-wealth-advisors/ https://www.facebook.com/EquilibriumWealthAdvisors/View EWA Disclosures and Firm ADV: https://adviserinfo.sec.gov/firm/summary/308977

Employee Equity: Should You Give It, How to Structure It, and When It Goes Wrong

In this episode of EWA's FIN-LYT Podcast, Matt Blocki and Jamison Smith tackle one of the most complex and consequential decisions a small business owner can face: whether to give employees equity, and how to do it without creating a legal or financial nightmare down the road. They open with a real-world story of a company that grew from a $2 million startup to a $300 million valuation, only to find themselves forced into a private equity deal because they had never planned for how to reward and retain the key people who helped build it. The lesson? Equity planning is not something you do when you need it. It is something you do before you need it. Matt and Jamison break down the three core reasons business owners turn to equity, which are reward, retention, and recruiting, and then walk through how the structure of your business (C Corp, S Corp, or LLC partnership) determines nearly every option available to you. From RSUs and ISOs in a C Corp, to the rigid single-share-class limitations of an S Corp, to the remarkable flexibility of profit interest in a partnership, each structure carries distinct tax consequences, legal implications, and practical trade-offs. The conversation goes deeper into phantom equity, stock appreciation rights, ESOP structures, vesting schedule design, and the often-overlooked risk of what happens to a partner's equity stake in a divorce. If you are a business owner thinking about bringing key people into ownership, or an employee trying to understand what equity is actually worth, this episode covers the framework you need to make that decision well. Like and subscribe for more episodes covering the financial decisions that matter most to business owners and high earners. Connect with EWA: https://ewa-llc.com/ [https://ewa-llc.com/] https://www.instagram.com/ewa.llc/ [https://www.instagram.com/ewa.llc/] https://www.linkedin.com/company/equilibrium-wealth-advisors/ [https://www.linkedin.com/company/equilibrium-wealth-advisors/] https://www.facebook.com/EquilibriumWealthAdvisors/ [https://www.facebook.com/EquilibriumWealthAdvisors/] View EWA Disclosures and Firm ADV: https://adviserinfo.sec.gov/firm/summary/308977 [https://adviserinfo.sec.gov/firm/summary/308977]

Financial Planning for OpenAI Employees: Equity, IPOs, and Concentration Risk

In this episode of EWA's FIN-LYT Podcast, Jamison Smith and Tyler Houston break down what financial planning actually looks like for OpenAI employees navigating one of the most complex wealth creation moments in modern history. If you work at OpenAI, you are likely sitting on significant equity through the company's PPU structure, a profit interest that triggers capital gains taxes only at the point of sale. The window to make smart decisions is short, and emotional pressure can lead to costly mistakes. Jamison and Tyler walk through how to approach tender windows strategically, why having a "number" in mind before that window opens is essential, and how to structure your holdings into two clear buckets: financial security and upside participation. They also cover tax mitigation strategies like direct indexing, long/short approaches, and donor advised funds, along with estate planning tools that can help protect appreciation from federal estate tax. IPO lockup periods, 10b5-1 plan frameworks, insider trading risk, and how to choose a financial advisor who actually understands the startup world round out the conversation. If a tender window is approaching or an IPO is on the horizon, this episode gives you a clear framework to protect what you have built while staying in the game for what comes next. Connect with EWA:https://ewa-llc.com [https://ewa-llc.com/]/ [https://ewa-llc.com/] https://www.instagram.com/ewa.llc [https://www.instagram.com/ewa.llc/]/ [https://www.instagram.com/ewa.llc/] https://www.linkedin.com/company/equilibrium-wealth-advisors/ [https://www.linkedin.com/company/equilibrium-wealth-advisors/] https://www.facebook.com/EquilibriumWealthAdvisors/ [https://www.facebook.com/EquilibriumWealthAdvisors/] View EWA Disclosures and Firm ADV:https://adviserinfo.sec.gov/firm/summary/308977 [https://adviserinfo.sec.gov/firm/summary/308977]

How to Cut Your Tax Rate in Half During Retirement

In this episode of EWA's FIN-LYT Podcast, Ben Ruttenberg and Chris Pavcic break down one of the most overlooked risks facing high earners headed into retirement: the assumption that your tax rate will automatically drop when you stop working. Spoiler, it often doesn't. Ben and Chris walk through exactly why that happens and what you can do about it starting today. The conversation digs into the three forces that quietly push retirement tax rates higher than most people expect: Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs), Social Security income, and IRMAA Medicare surcharges. Using 2026 tax brackets, they illustrate how a couple can shift from a manageable 24% rate to a 35% rate almost overnight after one spouse passes, without any change in lifestyle or spending. Ben and Chris also cover the core strategies for managing your tax exposure before and during retirement. These include Roth conversion planning during the gap years before RMDs kick in, strategic use of brokerage accounts to live on while keeping taxable income low, and pairing donor advised funds with Roth conversions for a powerful double tax benefit. They also break down asset location, explaining which types of investments belong in your pre-tax, Roth, and brokerage accounts and why that distinction matters more than most people realize. The episode closes with a discussion on Qualified Charitable Distributions (QCDs), 529 gifting strategies, and lifetime gifting as tools to reduce both income and estate tax exposure. As Ben puts it, none of these strategies work in isolation. They have to be coordinated as one plan, and the earlier you start, the more room you have to work with. If you found this episode valuable, please like, subscribe, and share it with someone who could benefit from a more proactive approach to retirement tax planning. Connect with EWA: https://ewa-llc.com/ [https://ewa-llc.com/] https://www.instagram.com/ewa.llc/ [https://www.instagram.com/ewa.llc/] https://www.linkedin.com/company/equilibrium-wealth-advisors/ [https://www.linkedin.com/company/equilibrium-wealth-advisors/] https://www.facebook.com/EquilibriumWealthAdvisors/ [https://www.facebook.com/EquilibriumWealthAdvisors/] View EWA Disclosures and Firm ADV: https://adviserinfo.sec.gov/firm/summary/308977 [https://adviserinfo.sec.gov/firm/summary/308977]

457 Plans for Physicians: What Most People Get Wrong About Deferred Compensation

In this episode of EWA's FIN-LYT Podcast, Ben and Tyler break down one of the most commonly misunderstood retirement plans available to physicians, government employees, and nonprofit workers. The 457 plan. They explain the critical differences between governmental and non governmental 457 plans, why that distinction matters more than most people realize, and how the wrong setup could leave your retirement savings exposed. They walk through the real risks of non governmental 457 plans, including the fact that your contributions are technically still on your employer's balance sheet. If the hospital gets acquired, faces a lawsuit, or goes through a merger, those funds could be at risk. They also cover the distribution challenges that come with leaving your employer, including scenarios where a physician moving to private practice could be forced to take out $300,000 in deferred compensation within a short window, creating a significant tax spike in their highest earning years. The conversation shifts to when a 457 plan actually makes sense and how to use one strategically. They outline the order of operations for funding retirement accounts, starting with your Roth 401k or 403b, then your HSA, then a backdoor Roth IRA, before even considering a 457. They also cover how a governmental 457 can serve as an early retirement bridge, giving physicians who want to retire before 59½ a penalty free income source to fill the gap before touching their qualified accounts. If you have access to a 457 through your employer and are not sure whether to fund it, this episode gives you the framework to evaluate your specific plan and make an informed decision. Like and subscribe for more weekly episodes. Connect with EWA:https://ewa-llc.com/ [https://ewa-llc.com/] https://www.instagram.com/ewa.llc/ [https://www.instagram.com/ewa.llc/] https://www.linkedin.com/company/equilibrium-wealth-advisors/ [https://www.linkedin.com/company/equilibrium-wealth-advisors/] https://www.facebook.com/EquilibriumWealthAdvisors/ [https://www.facebook.com/EquilibriumWealthAdvisors/] View EWA Disclosures and Firm ADV:https://adviserinfo.sec.gov/firm/summary/308977 [https://adviserinfo.sec.gov/firm/summary/308977]