The Follio Property Podcast

Australia's Government Is Quietly Engineering a Housing Collapse | Property Experts

35 min · 1 de jul de 2026
Portada del episodio Australia's Government Is Quietly Engineering a Housing Collapse | Property Experts

Descripción

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=podcast&utm_id=Episode+79📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+79Australia just added 478,000 people in a single year while building only 175,000 new homes. The math doesn't work, and the result is the worst rental crisis in living memory. Leith Onselen joins the Follio Property Podcast to break down exactly why Labor's migration policy is crushing the Australian housing market, how the federal government's addiction to personal income tax revenue is driving the crisis, and the three policy changes that could turn it all around.In this episode, Leith Van Onselen delivers a comprehensive takedown of Australia's economic management. He argues that running migration "at just the most obscene rate into a supply restricted market" has crushed living standards and productivity, with per capita GDP going backwards in 10 of the last 15 quarters. The core problem is structural: 52% of federal revenue comes from personal income taxes, so Canberra has every incentive to pump population growth while the states carry the infrastructure bill. Onselen unpacks how the student visa system has become a backdoor migration channel, why parental visas cost taxpayers nearly $400,000 each, and how Australia's energy policy is accelerating deindustrialization at exactly the wrong time. For anyone invested in Australian property or simply trying to understand why rents keep climbing, this conversation connects the dots between immigration numbers, housing supply, and the political machinery that keeps the whole system running.In this episode, you’ll get to know:✅ The real numbers behind Australia's housing shortage: 478,000 arrivals vs 175,000 new homes✅ Why 10 of the last 15 quarters have seen negative per capita GDP growth despite overall economic growth✅ How the federal government's 52% income tax dependency fuels the migration machine✅ The student visa trade exposed: how it became a backdoor migration channelTimestamps:00:00 478,000 Migrants vs 175,000 Homes: Australia's Housing Crisis Equation05:41 Why the Australian Housing Market Is Trapped by 52% Income Tax Dependency12:30 Australia's Energy Policy Is Crashing Productivity and House Prices20:05 Why Under 130,000 Arrivals Could Save the Australian Property Market22:41 The Energy Overhaul That Could Reverse the Rental Crisis24:14 Norway vs Australia: How Sovereign Wealth Could End the Housing Shortage28:29 The Real Reason Rents Keep Rising: State vs Federal Cost-Shifting ExplainedFollow Leith Van Onselen:YouTube:  @Leithvo  [https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UCi3WZlKputf4Kv6AFDiLYVg] Business: https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions#AustralianHousingMarket #RentalCrisis #AustralianProperty #MigrationCrisis #HousingShortage #AustralianEconomy #PropertyMarket #RealEstateAustralia #HousingAffordability #AustralianPolitics #LeithOnselen #FollioPropertyPodcast

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Portada del episodio Perth & Brisbane's Housing Shortage Just Got Worse | Here's Where to Invest Next

Perth & Brisbane's Housing Shortage Just Got Worse | Here's Where to Invest Next

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+83📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+83The Australian property market is splitting in two, while Sydney slides, Melbourne show signs of growth, Perth and Brisbane are holding firm. In this episode of the Follio Property Podcast, we break down the latest weekly data, auction clearance rates, and the real supply-demand numbers driving this two-speed Australian housing market in 2026.Is the Australian housing market heading for a crash or a correction? This week's data reveals a stark divide, Melbourne is sitting on a 54,000 dwelling surplus while Perth faces a 32,800 shortfall. Sydney's auction clearance rates have plummeted to 53% from 75% a year ago, and first home buyers have withdrawn by nearly 30% despite government incentives. We unpack our Chief Economist's supply-demand analysis, the RBA's outlook on private credit defaults, and what Follio's proprietary sentiment index is telling us about where property prices Australia-wide are headed next. For anyone tracking the Perth property market, Brisbane property market, or looking at property investment Australia strategies, these weekly numbers are essential viewing.✅ Melbourne dwelling surplus hits 54,000, what it means for prices ✅ Perth's 32,800 dwelling shortfall and why it's showing sheer resilience ✅ Sydney auction clearance rates drop to 53%, the 55% danger zone explained ✅ First home buyers withdraw 30%, why government incentives are failing ✅ Investor lending collapses from 41% to 22% of market activity ✅ Perth R-code changes unlock subdivision potential on 10,000+ properties ✅ Follio sentiment index, why Melbourne confidence is highest despite price fallsTimestamps: 0:00 Introduction: Sydney & Melbourne Property Price Forecast July 20261:30 Two-Speed Economy Update: Why Australian Markets Are Moving At Different Speeds3:30 Weekly Market Pulse: Green Shoots In Home Open Activity Across Australia5:10 Why First Home Buyers & Owner Occupiers Are Leaving The Market7:30 The Supply Story Nobody Is Talking About: Australian Housing Market Data8:30 Dwelling Surplus Explained: Melbourne 54,000 vs Brisbane & Perth Undersupply14:00 Melbourne Property Market Deep Dive: Why Supply Can't Be Fixed Quickly16:00 Adelaide & Sydney: Hitting The Affordability Ceiling21:00 Investor Sentiment Index: Why Experienced Investors Are Getting More Confident26:00 Perth Property Market Update: Median Over $1M, R-Code Changes & What's Next29:00 Brisbane & Adelaide Outlook: Stabilisation or Further Decline?About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions#AustralianPropertyMarket #PropertyPricesAustralia #PerthPropertyMarket #BrisbanePropertyMarket #AustralianHousingMarket #MelbourneProperty #SydneyProperty #PropertyInvestmentAustralia #FirstHomeBuyer #RealEstateAustralia #HousingMarket2026 #AustralianRealEstate

16 de jul de 202632 min
Portada del episodio Should You Buy Now Or Wait? | Ultimate Property Investment Strategy in Australia, 2026

Should You Buy Now Or Wait? | Ultimate Property Investment Strategy in Australia, 2026

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+82📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+82The Australian property market is splitting in two, and most investors are too scared to move. While Sydney and Melbourne show macro decline, smart money is buying at 60% under replacement cost in the micro markets that are quietly running. In this episode of the Follio Property Podcast, Lachlan Delahunty and Reece Beddall walk through four real client case studies, a Sydney unit owner, a Melbourne rentvestor, a leveraged investor, and a near retiree, with four completely different answers to the same question: is now the time to buy?What makes this episode critical is the post-budget lens. Negative gearing changes, the SMSF debate, and Australia's unique interest rate cycle have made property investment more complex than it has been in years. Lachlan breaks down why the one-size-fits-all advice flooding the market right now is dangerous, which three asset types are getting a suspicious amount of noise (and which one he is actually buying), and why interest rates carry more weight for your portfolio than any policy change coming out of Canberra. If you are sitting on equity, considering rentvesting, or wondering whether to consolidate or expand, this episode gives you the exact framework to make the call before the window closes.In this podcast, we covered:✅ Why current buying conditions are the best in 4-5 years for the right investor ✅ Case Study 1: Sydney unit owner with equity; upgrade, diversify, or hold? ✅ Case Study 2: Melbourne renter; rentvesting vs entering the owner-occupier market ✅ Case Study 3: Investor with two negatively geared properties, consolidate or buy a third? ✅ Case Study 4: Near retiree with a paid-off investment property; de-risking for cash flow ✅ Why commercial property, house and land packages, and off-the-plan are getting pushed hard ✅ The RBA rate cycle and why Australia is on a different path to the rest of the worldTimestamps: 00:00 Buying Conditions Are the Best in Years 02:17 The Post-Budget Property Landscape 04:22 Three Asset Types Getting Noise (and One Worth Buying) 06:45 Why Smart Money Is Buying Now 12:07 RBA Rate Cycle and Australia's Unique Position 16:18 Negative Gearing: Should It Stop You? 18:27 Case Study 1: Sydney Unit Owner 20:16 Case Study 2: Melbourne Rentvestor 22:49 Case Study 3: Leveraged Investor With Two Properties 25:02 Case Study 4: Near Retiree Portfolio StrategyKey ThemesAustralian property market 2026 | Buying property under replacement cost Australia | Sydney property market investment strategy | Melbourne rentvesting property case study | Commercial property Australia investment | Negative gearing changes Australia 2026 | Property portfolio consolidation strategy About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypod Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions

14 de jul de 202628 min
Portada del episodio How a 25-Year-Old Built a $10M Property Portfolio on a Casual Wage | Emma Roberts

How a 25-Year-Old Built a $10M Property Portfolio on a Casual Wage | Emma Roberts

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=podcast&utm_id=Episode+81 📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+81 At 25, Emma Roberts owns a $10 million property portfolio in Australia, three cafes, and a mortgage broking business, all starting from a casual wage as a broke university student. If you think the Australian property market has locked out your generation, this episode will challenge everything you believe about getting started.At just 20 years old, with no financial safety net and a casual income that banks repeatedly dismissed, she made her first property purchase and has not stopped since. Now sitting at nine properties and a tenth settling, her portfolio approach to property investment in Australia is built on a cash flow focus, dual occupancy conversions, rooming house models, and relentless equity reuse, strategies that most first home buyers and investors are never told about.In this episode of the Follio Property Podcast, Emma walks through every major decision in her property portfolio journey in Australia. She also reveals the lending battle that nearly derailed her portfolio and how discovering alt-doc financing through a specialist mortgage broker became the turning point in her entire real estate investing journey.Whether you are a first-home buyer trying to get a foothold in the Australian property market, an investor looking to scale a cash-flow-positive portfolio, or simply someone trying to understand how to invest in property in Australia on a realistic income, Emma's story is one of the most instructive case studies you will find anywhere in Australian property investment.*This episode was filmed prior to the Federal Budget announcement.*TIMESTAMPS:00:00 Introduction03:42 First Property at 20: Broke, Casual Wage, Banks Said No04:46 Second Property: Dual Tenancy and Levelling Up in Adelaide Hills06:39 Emma's Investment Strategy: Why She Buys Like an Owner-Occupier10:18 Rentvesting Explained: Did Emma Use It?14:27 The Lending Problem: Why Banks Rejected Her Airbnb Income14:59 The Mortgage Broker Advantage: Why Specialist Brokers Change Everything20:00 Self-Managing, Cash Buffers, and Keeping the Portfolio Running22:36 The Core Strategy: Renovate, Build Equity, Repeat23:28 The Rooming House Model: Maximum Yield, Affordable Living26:15 How This Strategy Hedges Against CGT and Negative Gearing Reform28:11 Advice for Gen Z and Millennials Who Feel Locked OutFollow Emma Roberts: Business: https://borrowwell.com.au/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/heyemmaroberts/About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypod Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/#AustralianPropertyMarket #RegionalPropertyInvestment #PropertyInvestmentAustralia #NegativeGearingAustralia #QueenslandPropertyMarket #FollioPropertyPodcast #brisbaneproperty #goldcoastproperty #propertyinvestment #propertyinvestor #propertymarketupdate Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions

9 de jul de 202631 min
Portada del episodio If You’re a Property Investor, Start Doing This Immediately After Budget 2026 | Property Experts

If You’re a Property Investor, Start Doing This Immediately After Budget 2026 | Property Experts

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=podcast&utm_id=Episode+80📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+80The 2026 Federal Budget has rewritten the rulebook for Australian property investors and most haven't adjusted their strategy yet. In this episode of the Follio Property Podcast, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down exactly which asset classes will thrive and which will burn your cash in a post-budget market where negative gearing benefits have been slashed and borrowing capacity has dropped by $200,000.If you're investing in Australian property in 2026, the rules have changed. The RBA has held rates at 4.35% with inflation still running too hot, and the recent Federal Budget has reshaped the playbook for property investors across Australia. Banks are already lowering fixed mortgage rates, signalling rate cuts ahead but the real story is how the budget's changes to negative gearing are transforming buyer behaviour across the Australian housing market.In this episode, Lachlan Delahunty and Reece Beddall analyse the asset classes that matter right now: houses versus units versus apartments, land banking strategies, regional property markets, and commercial property investing. Lachlan defines the critical distinction between units and apartments (high-rise airspace with no scarcity).What You'll Learn:✅ Why the 2026 Budget has made land banking strategies far less viable for Australian property investors ✅ The critical difference between units and apartments and why it determines your capital growth ✅ How negative gearing changes have reduced borrowing capacity by up to $200,000 ✅ Why regional and lifestyle property markets face the most pain post-budget ✅ The hidden traps in commercial property yields and how to verify advertised returns ✅ Which asset classes Lachlan Delahunty recommends in a high-rate, post-budget environment ✅ The replacement cost argument that makes units at $450K more attractive than building at $850K+Timestamps:00:00 Introduction02:14 RBA Holds at 4.35% & Investors Sentiment Shift05:32 Land Banking & Upgrade Sites: No Longer Viable07:34 $200K Borrowing Capacity Wipeout08:43 New Post-Budget Playbook: Location, Land, Asset Type10:49 Units vs Apartments Defined11:12 Why Units Are Outperforming Houses16:35 Regional & Lifestyle Markets Face the Most Pain22:52 Commercial Property Yield TrapsAbout The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/If you enjoy the episode, hit Like, Subscribe, and Comment to support the channel and join the conversation.#AustralianProperty #PropertyInvesting #RBA #NegativeGearing #CGT #CommercialProperty #RegionalProperty #FollioPropertyPodcast #PropertyStrategy #HousingMarketDisclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions

7 de jul de 202628 min
Portada del episodio Australia's Government Is Quietly Engineering a Housing Collapse | Property Experts

Australia's Government Is Quietly Engineering a Housing Collapse | Property Experts

Book Your FREE Investment Assessment 👉: https://follio.com.au/contact-us/?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=podcast&utm_id=Episode+79📊 National Investment Report: https://441711975.hs-sites-ap1.com/follio-property-podcast-content-subscriber?utm_source=YouTube&utm_medium=newsletter&utm_id=Episode+79Australia just added 478,000 people in a single year while building only 175,000 new homes. The math doesn't work, and the result is the worst rental crisis in living memory. Leith Onselen joins the Follio Property Podcast to break down exactly why Labor's migration policy is crushing the Australian housing market, how the federal government's addiction to personal income tax revenue is driving the crisis, and the three policy changes that could turn it all around.In this episode, Leith Van Onselen delivers a comprehensive takedown of Australia's economic management. He argues that running migration "at just the most obscene rate into a supply restricted market" has crushed living standards and productivity, with per capita GDP going backwards in 10 of the last 15 quarters. The core problem is structural: 52% of federal revenue comes from personal income taxes, so Canberra has every incentive to pump population growth while the states carry the infrastructure bill. Onselen unpacks how the student visa system has become a backdoor migration channel, why parental visas cost taxpayers nearly $400,000 each, and how Australia's energy policy is accelerating deindustrialization at exactly the wrong time. For anyone invested in Australian property or simply trying to understand why rents keep climbing, this conversation connects the dots between immigration numbers, housing supply, and the political machinery that keeps the whole system running.In this episode, you’ll get to know:✅ The real numbers behind Australia's housing shortage: 478,000 arrivals vs 175,000 new homes✅ Why 10 of the last 15 quarters have seen negative per capita GDP growth despite overall economic growth✅ How the federal government's 52% income tax dependency fuels the migration machine✅ The student visa trade exposed: how it became a backdoor migration channelTimestamps:00:00 478,000 Migrants vs 175,000 Homes: Australia's Housing Crisis Equation05:41 Why the Australian Housing Market Is Trapped by 52% Income Tax Dependency12:30 Australia's Energy Policy Is Crashing Productivity and House Prices20:05 Why Under 130,000 Arrivals Could Save the Australian Property Market22:41 The Energy Overhaul That Could Reverse the Rental Crisis24:14 Norway vs Australia: How Sovereign Wealth Could End the Housing Shortage28:29 The Real Reason Rents Keep Rising: State vs Federal Cost-Shifting ExplainedFollow Leith Van Onselen:YouTube:  @Leithvo  [https://studio.youtube.com/channel/UCi3WZlKputf4Kv6AFDiLYVg] Business: https://www.macrobusiness.com.au/About The Follio Property PodcastEach week, Reece Beddall and Lachlan Delahunty break down the biggest conversations shaping Australian property. From market cycles to debt, strategy, data, and real-world insights — we make property simple, honest, and practical.📍 Visit Our Website: https://follio.com.au/📩 Contact Us: info@follio.com.au📲 Follow Us on Social:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/folliopropertypod/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@folliopropertypodSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/4Akt4N53zsb4ldzFNlTwad?si=AFEgYOAiSh2QGbK8AfFLywLachlan Delahunty: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lachlandelahunty/Reece Beddall: https://www.linkedin.com/in/reece-beddall-294557b3/Executive Producer: Jonathan Fernandeshttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathan-fernandes-a75a991b2/Disclaimer: This is for entertainment purposes - not financial advice. Speak to a qualified professional before making any financial or property decisions#AustralianHousingMarket #RentalCrisis #AustralianProperty #MigrationCrisis #HousingShortage #AustralianEconomy #PropertyMarket #RealEstateAustralia #HousingAffordability #AustralianPolitics #LeithOnselen #FollioPropertyPodcast

1 de jul de 202635 min