Is Iran War Deal Imminent? | Macro Mondays: May 25, 2025

Is The Iran-US Deal Actually Done?! with Andreas Steno | Macro Mondays

Andreas Steno is back to break down recent market volatility, unpacking all the key drivers, from global liquidity dynamics to the evolving peace deal between the U.S. and Iran, which has seemingly opened the Strait of Hormuz. But is the deal actually done!? 00:07 - US-Iran Deal Nears: What It Means for Markets  02:00 - Inside the 60-Day Iran Deal and Strait of Hormuz Reopening 04:37 - Oil Market Surplus: Why Crude Could Fall Below $70 08:02 - Iran Sanctions Lifted: The New Supply Shock for Global Oil 10:56 - ECB Rate Hike Timing Looks Worse After Hormuz Breakthrough 13:17 - Anthropic Export Curbs: Why AI Models Are Becoming Too Big to Fail 17:51 - SpaceX IPO Surge and What It Says About Risk Appetite 19:55 - IPO Boom, Liquidity, and Why This Cycle May Have Further to Run 21:08 - AI Token Pricing, OpenAI, and Anthropic Ahead of IPO Season 22:45 - South Korea Exports, Semiconductors, and the Next Leg of the AI Trade 🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe  Connect with Real Vision™ Online: YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinance Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Website: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf

Panic or No Panic? | Macro Mondays: June 8, 2026

Andreas Steno Larsen and Mikkel Rosenvold are back to break down Red Friday and whether the market reaction to the latest jobs report was justified. They unpack what the data is really saying about growth, labor markets, liquidity, and the path for risk assets heading into summer. Timestamps: 01:05 - Macro Mondays: Red Friday, Jobs Shock, and Middle East Risk 03:15 - Real Vision Updates, Alpha Access, and This Week’s Schedule 05:40 - What Actually Caused Friday’s Market Selloff? 07:21 - Nasdaq Damage, CTA Flows, and Why the Straight-Line Rally Is Over 09:45 - Was Friday a VaR Shock and What Happens Next? 12:06 - The Jobs Report, World Cup Hiring, and Why Payrolls Beat Expectations 14:07 - Kevin Warsh, the Fed, and Why Rate Cuts Just Got Harder 17:38 - SpaceX IPO, Big Tech Equity Raises, and the Liquidity Squeeze 22:01 - The One Chart to Watch: AI Token Pricing and the Data Center Trade 24:37 - Iran, Israel, and Why Markets Still Aren’t Panicking 27:24 - Oil, Fertilizer, and Why the Hormuz Crisis Trade Keeps Fading #macro #andreassteno #macromondays #realvision #mikkelrosenvold #geopolitics #markets #Iran #jobs  🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe  Connect with Real Vision™ Online: YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinance Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Website: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf

3 Banger Trades For June | Macro Mondays: June 1, 2026

Andreas Steno Larsen and Mikkel Rosenvold are back to break down the key macro themes driving markets into June. From the latest developments in Iran to bottlenecks and bitcoin, they unpack what could become the next key trades, and whether liquidity and macro data can continue to support the meteoric rise in risk assets. Let Monarch do your financial 'spring cleaning' for you!   Use code REALVISION at Monarch.com to get your first year half off at just $50. 🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe  01:06 - Macro Mondays: Iran Talks, ISM Strength, and June Trade Ideas  02:30 - State of the Union Preview: Why Macro Still Drives Everything 04:34 - Strong ISM Print and Why US Manufacturing Keeps Accelerating 06:00 - Iran Talks Break Down Again: How Fragile Is the Ceasefire? 07:30 - Why Markets Are Still Taking the Iran Headlines in Stride 10:16 - How Long Can the Global Economy Handle a Closed Hormuz? 12:34 - June Outlook: Thematics, Trade Setups, and What Still Works 13:20 - Industrial Robotics, Real-World AI, and the Next Training Bottleneck 16:54 - Liquidity in June: Treasury Cash Drawdown and Easier Leverage 20:19 - Why Bitcoin Is the Only Risk Asset Not Joining the Rally 22:53 - Three Trades for June: Security Software, Server Makers, and Drones 27:19 - Claude, ServiceNow, and the New AI-Driven Momentum Trade 🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe  Connect with Real Vision™ Online: YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinance Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Website: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf

Is Iran War Deal Imminent? | Macro Mondays: May 25, 2025

Real Vision’s Mikkel Rosenvold and Andreas Steno Larsen break down the latest market reaction to reports of a possible Strait of Hormuz deal, what it could mean for oil and inflation, and why the next phase of the market may depend on whether Middle East tensions truly de-escalate. They also explore a surprising inflation driver in hardware and semiconductors, explain why consumer spending is holding up better than many expect, and share the sectors they’re watching next. 🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe  Timestamps: 00:00 - Monarch Sponsor  01:00 - Macro Mondays: Iran, Hormuz, and Global Markets 01:31 - Strait of Hormuz Deal Rumors and Market Reaction 02:50 - Europe’s Heat Wave and the Energy Debate 04:21 - Trump, Iran, and the Weekend Negotiation Push 06:01 - Can Trump Sell an Iran Deal to Republicans? 07:12 - Abraham Accords, Iran, and Middle East Strategy 07:59 - Oil Drops, Bond Yields Fall, and Markets Rally 09:11 - Are Iranian Ships Actually Moving Through Hormuz? 10:58 - Why Markets Care More About Hormuz Than Politics 13:03 - Inflation Outlook: Energy vs Consumer Prices 14:20 - Kevin Warsh, AI, and the Disinflation Argument 17:45 - Which Sectors Benefit Most From Inflation? 18:45 - Why AI Hardware Is Suddenly Inflationary 21:08 - The AI Memory Boom and Rising Electronics Prices 23:39 - Why Hardware Stocks Have Outperformed in 2026 24:02 - What Happens if Inflation Peaks in June? 25:20 - Consumer Spending Is Holding Up Surprisingly Well 27:01 - Amazon, Tesla, and Luxury Stocks as the Next Trade 28:11 - PCE Inflation Data: What Markets Need This Week 29:28 - Final Thoughts: Waiting on the Iran Deal 🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe  Connect with Real Vision™ Online: YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinance Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Website: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf

Are Markets Ignoring Inflation? | Macro Mondays: May 18, 2026

Andreas Steno and Mikkel Rosenvold are back to break down the aftermath of the highly anticipated meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping. They also dive into rising bond yields, whether markets should start worrying about rates again, and if the latest inflation reports signal something more persistent beneath the surface. 🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe [https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqbmdXc1FESlZNRGpKeVcyV1lqTEMxQzZHZ096Z3xBQ3Jtc0tualhqT01Sekx4bDlZcFlpNWp2NElScUVLSWJJLWdlMTdZcGw3ekl5VTNnbFdOeDdRa25od1dJa2dwQTAwLVVaYXphaWhoaHJHZ3BnMFhQRmRJZFktZUlKYXljaDd1Z0RKcnhzNG5fSU1NNGUwTkJlbw&q=https%3A%2F%2Frvtv.io%2F3YOZZUe&v=CsFqEBZgSms] Timestamps: 00:00 [https://www.youtube.com/live/CsFqEBZgSms] - Monarch Sponsor 01:05 [https://www.youtube.com/live/CsFqEBZgSms?t=65s] - Macro Mondays: Trump-Xi, Rates, Inflation, and Iran Hopeium 02:40 [https://www.youtube.com/live/CsFqEBZgSms?t=160s] - Andrew Tate’s 30-Year Bond Trade and Why Long Yields Matter 06:03 [https://www.youtube.com/live/CsFqEBZgSms?t=363s] - Why Rising Bond Yields May Not Mean What They Used To 10:20 [https://www.youtube.com/live/CsFqEBZgSms?t=620s] - Hot CPI, PPI, and Why the Fed Still May Not Hike 14:40 [https://www.youtube.com/live/CsFqEBZgSms?t=880s] - Iran Talks, Oil, and What Could Restart the Rally 16:39 [https://www.youtube.com/live/CsFqEBZgSms?t=999s] - Why China-US Cooperation Is Keeping the Oil Market Balanced 19:22 [https://www.youtube.com/live/CsFqEBZgSms?t=1162s] - Will Trump Pivot Back to Rate Cuts After Iran? 23:06 [https://www.youtube.com/live/CsFqEBZgSms?t=1386s] - Semiconductors: Is It Time to Take Profits? 25:13 [https://www.youtube.com/live/CsFqEBZgSms?t=1513s] - Bernie Sanders, AI Data Centers, and the First Political Pushback 29:28 [https://www.youtube.com/live/CsFqEBZgSms?t=1768s] - UK Bonds, Fiscal Worries, and Why Political Risk May Be Overstated 🔥 Get 𝗙𝗥𝗘𝗘 𝗔𝗖𝗖𝗘𝗦𝗦 to Real Vision https://rvtv.io/3YOZZUe  Connect with Real Vision™ Online: YouTube: youtube.com/@RealVisionFinance Twitter: https://rvtv.io/twitter Instagram: https://rvtv.io/instagram Website: https://rvtv.io/3Y4t5Pw Disclaimer: https://media.realvision.com/wp/20231004185303/Disclaimer-1.pdf