The AI Semiconductor Boom and What Could End It with Stacy Rasgon | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 63

The AI Semiconductor Boom and What Could End It with Stacy Rasgon | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 63

On episode 63 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Stacy Rasgon, semiconductor analyst at Bernstein, to break down the AI semiconductor boom that has sent the sector up 60% year to date. They explain who is winning, who is playing catch-up, and they close with the most important question in markets right now: what would actually have to happen to derail this boom? 00:00 - Intro 02:17 - What's Happened in the Last 7 Months? 06:02 - Nvidia & GPU vs CPU 19:46 - Michael Burry's Argument 22:29 - AMD 27:50 - Intel 32:38 - Broadcom & Qualcomm 39:06 - ASML, Lam, KLA, & Other Companies 42:27 - What Could Derail the Boom? 50:24 - Power 52:27 - Outro Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2026 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices [https://megaphone.fm/adchoices]

SpaceX's Exploding Capex, AI Addiction Lawsuits, and the Reality of "TokenMaxxing" | The Weekly Wrap

On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman revisits his SpaceX analysis and explains why he's skeptical about the company's valuation. He also covers Microsoft's move to token-based pricing for GitHub Copilot, addiction lawsuits against OpenAI, Nvidia's entrance into the PC market, and why private credit redemptions are now spreading from credit funds into the broader alternatives space. He also answers a mailbag question regarding whether or not now is a good time to buy a home. 00:00 - Intro 02:05 - Why the SpaceX Valuation is Crazy 07:30 - Anthropic's Future IPO 07:49 - OpenAI Sued & AI Addiction Concerns 09:45 - Agentic AI & Hidden Costs 12:22 - Microsoft Moves to Token-Based Pricing 12:50 - Nvidia Enters the PC Market 13:39 - Overall Market Thoughts 15:24 - Homebuilding Sector Update 17:02 - Private Credit Updates 18:24 - Earnings: Palo Alto & Broadcom 20:08 - Mailbag: Owning or Renting a Home 21:25 - Outro Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU Watch my Masterclass on the 2008 Financial Crisis here: https://youtu.be/4bSCdJTbR8I Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2025 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices [https://megaphone.fm/adchoices]

Is AI a Bubble? Gary Marcus on What Could Break the Story | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 62

On episode 62 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman opens with a sweeping overview of the entire AI landscape before sitting down with Gary Marcus to discuss the issues surrounding the industry. Gary breaks down why LLMs hallucinate, why scaling is no longer driving progress the way it used to, and why the economics of token pricing could be the thing that finally breaks the AI story. 00:00 - Intro & The Story of AI 09:25 - Start of Gary Marcus Interview 10:15 - The Limitations of LLMs 16:24 - What is AI Good For Right Now? 22:20 - Where AI Struggles & Why LLMs Hallucinate 26:50 - The Costs of Tokens 39:38 - The $2 Trillion Spending 43:19 - Will AI Break? Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2025 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices [https://megaphone.fm/adchoices]

The SpaceX IPO: Science Fiction or Serious Investment? | The Weekly Wrap

On this episode of The Weekly Wrap, Steve Eisman breaks down the SpaceX IPO, how Nasdaq changed its own rules to fast-track SpaceX into indices, and why Elon Musk is reserving 30% of the offering for retail investors. He also covers Salesforce's mixed quarter and Dell's explosive 39% revenue growth, and answers a viewer mailbag on whether Bank of America is still worth owning. 00:00 - Intro 02:24 - Iran War Updates 02:40 - SpaceX's Record Breaking IPO 11:12 - Salesforce 12:46 - Dell 13:16 - Mailbag: Bank of America 17:09 - Outro Watch my Financial Literacy Masterclass video here: https://youtu.be/u8chA7LC8lU Watch my Masterclass on the 2008 Financial Crisis here: https://youtu.be/4bSCdJTbR8I Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2025 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices [https://megaphone.fm/adchoices]

How Silicon Valley Took Over the Defense Industry with Peter Arment | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 61

On episode 61 of The Real Eisman Playbook, Steve Eisman sits down with Peter Arment, aerospace and defense analyst at Baird, to break down how Silicon Valley's $66 billion bet on defense tech is disrupting the industry and why defense stocks are selling off during an active war. Peter makes the case for breaking up Lockheed Martin, explains why cheap drones are beginning to challenge the F-35, and walks through the nuclear renaissance powering overlooked names like Curtis Wright and BWX Technologies. 0:00:00 - Intro 0:01:19 - What's Happening in Defense? 0:08:44 - Real Eisman Playbook Premium Preview 0:09:49 - The Impact of the War in Iran 0:12:35 - Is the US Low on Munitions? 0:16:08 - The Pentagon's Perspective 0:18:00 - The Primes 0:22:55 - Lockheed Martin, Drones, & F-35s 0:31:50 - Which Prime Has the Best Portfolio 0:33:00 - Non-Prime Companies 0:41:16 - Why Russia Still Can't Beat Ukraine 0:44:40 - Boeing 0:52:20 - Curtis Wright & BWX Technologies 1:01:44 - Outro Subscribe 👉🏻https://www.youtube.com/@RealEismanPlaybook?sub_confirmation=1 Connect with Steve Eisman and access all things The Eisman Playbook: 🌐 https://linktr.ee/realeismanplaybook → Follow on socials, watch episodes, and get the latest updates — all in one place. Disclaimer: The financial opinions expressed are for information purposes only. The opinions expressed by the hosts and participants are not an attempt to influence specific trading behavior, investments, or strategies. Past performance does not necessarily predict future outcomes. No specific results or profits are assured when relying on this content. Before making any investment or trade, evaluate its suitability for your circumstances and consider consulting your own financial or investment advisor. The financial products discussed in ‘The Eisman Playbook' carry a high level of risk and may not be appropriate for many investors. If you have uncertainties, it's advisable to seek professional advice. Remember that trading involves a risk to your capital, so only invest money you can afford to lose. Derivatives are unsuitable for all investors and involve the risk of losing more than the amount originally deposited and any profit you might have made. This communication is not a recommendation or offer to buy, sell, or retain any specific investment or service. Copyright ©2025 Steve Eisman Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices [https://megaphone.fm/adchoices]