Kansikuva näyttelystä Predictable with Stu Burguiere

Predictable with Stu Burguiere

Podcast by Predictable Media

englanti

Uutiset & politiikka

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Lisää Predictable with Stu Burguiere

Predictable with Stu Burguiere is a smarter, more useful way to follow the news, using prediction markets to break down what’s happening, why it’s happening and where it’s likely going next.

Kaikki jaksot

1300 jaksot

jakson We Made a GREAT Investment on Cassidy; But What About Massie? kansikuva

We Made a GREAT Investment on Cassidy; But What About Massie?

The Trump-led opposition to Bill Cassidy’s reelection yielded big results for those making smart moves in the Louisiana primary prediction markets, but what about Tuesday’s upcoming primary between Thomas Massie and Ed Gallrein in Kentucky? Stu Burguiere previews the race and how to plan for smart investments. Plus, some new developments emerge in the case of potential insider trading regarding the Iran War. And, a look at the rapidly-changing markets for “The Mandalorian & Grogu” as it’s potential Rotten Tomatoes score jumps around the board and a breakdown of the Ronda Rousey - Gina Carano fight on Netflix that made and lost a lot of people a lot of money VERY quickly. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices [https://megaphone.fm/adchoices]

18. touko 2026 - 49 min
jakson The Markets Just Called BS on AOC's Surging Poll Numbers kansikuva

The Markets Just Called BS on AOC's Surging Poll Numbers

AOC just got one of the biggest 2028 polling headlines yet… but prediction markets barely reacted at all. On today’s Predictable, Stu breaks down why the media may be dramatically overreacting to the latest AOC surge poll — and why traders with actual money on the line don’t seem convinced. Stu digs into the sampling behind the poll, the growing “President AOC?” narrative, and what the Kalshi and Polymarket odds are really signaling about the Democratic field. If the poll was truly a game changer… why didn’t the market move? Plus: * AOC’s viral comments about billionaires and “earning” wealth * Her eyebrow-raising answer about a possible White House run * The latest 2028 Democratic nominee odds * Polymarket officially goes fully live in the U.S. * And the bizarre anti-Spencer Pratt ad that may actually HELP him The headlines say one thing. The markets may be telling a very different story. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices [https://megaphone.fm/adchoices]

13. touko 2026 - 46 min
jakson 'Lies': Stu Responds to Critics kansikuva

'Lies': Stu Responds to Critics

What’s the difference between insider trading and informed trading? Stu responds to the mounting number of lies in the media and politics about prediction markets. And when it comes to prediction markets, is the line a lot blurrier than politicians and the media want to admit? On today’s Predictable with Stu Burguiere, Stu breaks down the growing controversy around campaign staffers, political insiders, and prediction market traders cashing in on information advantages during election season. Is this corruption? Or is this exactly how markets are supposed to work? From the NPR report raising eyebrows in Washington to the Senate quietly moving to ban lawmakers from participating in prediction markets, Stu explains why incentives matter more than headlines — and why markets often reveal the truth long before the media does. Plus: * Why prediction markets may actually reward transparency * The uncomfortable comparison between Congress and market traders * The difference between “having information” and illegal insider trading * Why some of the loudest critics of prediction markets may have the most to lose Predictable with Stu Burguiere is a smarter way to follow the news. We break down the biggest stories using prediction markets to show what’s actually likely to happen, not just what people are saying. Understand the incentives. Spot the mispricing. Take a position. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices [https://megaphone.fm/adchoices]

12. touko 2026 - 49 min
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