CLIMAS - Southwest Climate Podcast
Recorded 01/30/2026, Aired 02/02/2026 Hosts Zack Guido and Mike Crimmins are kicking off 2026 with a look at this winter’s weird weather in this month’s Southwest Climate Podcast. They do a recap of the last couple of months of precip and temps. They do a review of large scale climate patterns - Madden–Julian Oscillation, Greenland Block - and get into a deep discussion about the Polar Vortex. They cover the not-so-great coverage of snowpack and look at the forecasts through peak season going forward. Rounding out the episode is the NOAA announcement on RONI (a topic of past episodes [https://climas.arizona.edu/podcast/december-2024-sw-climate-podcast-relatively-speaking]) and a preview of the AI focused episode that is in the works. Mentions: Paper: Arctic sea ice decline and continental cold anomalies: Upstream and downstream effects of Greenland blocking [https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2016GL072387] Paper: What Is the Polar Vortex and How Does It Influence Weather? [https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/bams/98/1/bams-d-15-00212.1.xml] * Figure 2 [https://climas.arizona.edu/sites/default/files/2026-02/full-bams-d-15-00212.1-f2-1.jpg] * Figure 1 [https://climas.arizona.edu/sites/default/files/2026-02/full-bams-d-15-00212.1-f1-1.jpg] Article: Stratospheric Warming Confirmed: Polar Vortex Collapse to Bring Major Weather Disruption in the Coming Weeks [https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/polar-vortex-collapse-february-2026-stratospheric-warming-forecast-winter-united-states-canada-europe-fa/] Article: February forecast calls for more polar vortex mayhem [https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/weather/2026/01/31/february-2026-forecast-cold-polar-vortex/88378657007/] Article: Snow Drought in the West Reaches Record Levels [https://www.nytimes.com/2026/02/01/science/snow-drought-climate-change-west.html?smid=nytcore-ios-share] NOAA NWS - Climate Prediction Center: Forecasts [https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/] NOAA NWS - Public Information Statement: Implementing a Relative Oceanic Niño Index effective February 1, 2026 [https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2026/pns26-05_Relative_ONI.pdf] NOAA NWS - Information Circular: Relative Oceanic Niño Index (RONI) [https://climas.arizona.edu/sites/default/files/2026-02/RONI-Flyer-2026.pdf] Paper: Northern Hemisphere Wintertime Teleconnections from the 2023–24 El Niño Offset by Background SST Trends [https://journals.ametsoc.org/view/journals/clim/39/1/JCLI-D-25-0227.1.xml]
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