How to Survive a Chaotic World

How to Survive a Chaotic World

If the rules-based order is broken, what comes next? And who will lead it? Mark Leonard argues in his new book, Surviving Chaos: Geopolitics When the Rules Fail, that the coming system will be “un-order,” governed not by China or the United States but by no one at all. Are states responding quickly enough? Leonard, who is the director of the European Council on Foreign Relations, joins FP Live’s Ravi Agrawal to explore how policymakers should adjust. Hal Brands: Three Scenarios for a Post-Trump World [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/23/post-trump-world-order-cold-war-spheres-of-influence/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=cG9zdC10cnVtcC13b3JsZC1vcmRlci1jb2xkLXdhci1zcGhlcmVzLW9mLWluZmx1ZW5jZQ==&pid=PNIESs9hMqnvgec] Stephen M. Walt: Chinese Hegemony Might Be Happening [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/05/12/china-hegemony-asia-trump-summit/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=Y2hpbmEtaGVnZW1vbnktYXNpYS10cnVtcC1zdW1taXQ=&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] James Palmer: China Doesn’t Always Win When the U.S. Loses [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/21/iran-war-china-us-competition-geopolitics/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=aXJhbi13YXItY2hpbmEtdXMtY29tcGV0aXRpb24tZ2VvcG9saXRpY3M=&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Michael Hirsch: After the Nation-State [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/27/book-review-after-nations-dasgupta-westad-prasad-milanovic/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=Ym9vay1yZXZpZXctYWZ0ZXItbmF0aW9ucy1kYXNndXB0YS13ZXN0YWQtcHJhc2FkLW1pbGFub3ZpYw==&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices [https://megaphone.fm/adchoices]

Trump, Xi, and a New Balance of Power

U.S. President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing for his meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping to great fanfare but left with little to show for it. What does the Trump-Xi summit reveal about the balance of power between the world’s two biggest economies? Rana Mitter, a top historian of China, joins FP Live to discuss where the world’s most important relationship is headed. Plus, Ravi shares his read on why the Iran war may be Trump’s greatest failure.  Ravi Agrawal: Iran Could Be Trump’s Greatest Failure [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/05/18/iran-war-trump-foreign-policy-failure-energy-crisis-military/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=aXJhbi13YXItdHJ1bXAtZm9yZWlnbi1wb2xpY3ktZmFpbHVyZS1lbmVyZ3ktY3Jpc2lzLW1pbGl0YXJ5&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] James Palmer: The Trump-Xi Summit Was Remarkably Banal [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/05/15/trump-xi-summit-china-us-presidential-visit/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=dHJ1bXAteGktc3VtbWl0LWNoaW5hLXVzLXByZXNpZGVudGlhbC12aXNpdA==&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Fareed Zakaria: Trump’s China Pragmatism Is Welcome [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/05/18/trump-xi-meeting-china-united-states-economics-trade-great-power-competition/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=dHJ1bXAteGktbWVldGluZy1jaGluYS11bml0ZWQtc3RhdGVzLWVjb25vbWljcy10cmFkZS1ncmVhdC1wb3dlci1jb21wZXRpdGlvbg==&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Stephen M. Walt: Chinese Hegemony Might Be Happening [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/05/12/china-hegemony-asia-trump-summit/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=Y2hpbmEtaGVnZW1vbnktYXNpYS10cnVtcC1zdW1taXQ=&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] James Palmer: China Doesn’t Always Win When the U.S. Loses [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/21/iran-war-china-us-competition-geopolitics/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=aXJhbi13YXItY2hpbmEtdXMtY29tcGV0aXRpb24tZ2VvcG9saXRpY3M=&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices [https://megaphone.fm/adchoices]

Is Russia the Unintended Winner of Trump’s Iran War?

There’s little doubt that the conflict in Iran has hurt much of the world economy. But not Russia. Data suggests that the Kremlin has already made billions of dollars in additional oil revenue since the United States and Israel attacked Iran. But beyond just cash, how much will this change President Vladimir Putin’s broader strategy? And what does this mean for the fate of the war in Ukraine? Alexander Gabuev, the director of the Carnegie Russia Eurasia Center, joins FP Live to explain how Russia is navigating a moment of particular global flux. Plus, Ravi offers his read on U.S. President Donald Trump’s visit to Beijing. Christian Caryl: Vladimir Putin Is Much Weaker Than You Think [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/05/07/russsia-ukraine-war-putin-zelensky-victory-parade-attacks-drones-moscow/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=cnVzc3NpYS11a3JhaW5lLXdhci1wdXRpbi16ZWxlbnNreS12aWN0b3J5LXBhcmFkZS1hdHRhY2tzLWRyb25lcy1tb3Njb3c=&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Sean Wiswesser: Don’t Fall for Rumors of Putin’s Weakness [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/05/12/russia-putin-opposition-war-ukraine-fsb-security-services-dissidents-dissent-dictator-authoritarianism/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=cnVzc2lhLXB1dGluLW9wcG9zaXRpb24td2FyLXVrcmFpbmUtZnNiLXNlY3VyaXR5LXNlcnZpY2VzLWRpc3NpZGVudHMtZGlzc2VudC1kaWN0YXRvci1hdXRob3JpdGFyaWFuaXNt&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Keith Johnson: Russia Is Making Bank on Trump’s Iran War [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/21/russia-oil-prices-putin-trump-iran-war/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=cnVzc2lhLW9pbC1wcmljZXMtcHV0aW4tdHJ1bXAtaXJhbi13YXI=&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Christian Caryl: How Ukraine Benefited From Trump’s Iran War [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/09/ukraine-benefit-trump-iran-war-russia-drones/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=dWtyYWluZS1iZW5lZml0LXRydW1wLWlyYW4td2FyLXJ1c3NpYS1kcm9uZXM=&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Alexey Kovalev: Russia’s War Boom Masks an Economic Implosion [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/28/russia-putin-war-ukraine-economy-industry-labor-shortage-demographic-implosion/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=cnVzc2lhLXB1dGluLXdhci11a3JhaW5lLWVjb25vbXktaW5kdXN0cnktbGFib3Itc2hvcnRhZ2UtZGVtb2dyYXBoaWMtaW1wbG9zaW9u&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices [https://megaphone.fm/adchoices]

The surprisingly normal streets of Tehran

While the conflict in Iran has dominated headlines in the last two months, accounts of ordinary life in the Islamic Republic are scarce. According to journalist Ali Hashem, who spent six weeks in Tehran and has visited several times in the last decade, life in the capital looks more normal than one might imagine. Shops and restaurants are largely open, and regular people seem to be rallying around the flag in the face of an external threat. And while the internet as we know it is shut down, an intranet of sorts—with access to local versions of Netflix, Uber, and WhatsApp—is allowing people a semblance of regular life. Hashem speaks with host Ravi Agrawal about his reporting from Iran.  Ali Hashem: Iran Is More Unified Than Ever [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/28/iran-leadership-government-unified-khamenei-qalibaf-public/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=aXJhbi1sZWFkZXJzaGlwLWdvdmVybm1lbnQtdW5pZmllZC1raGFtZW5laS1xYWxpYmFmLXB1YmxpYw==&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Ali Hashem: The Iran Cease-Fire Has Only Divided the War [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/09/iran-cease-fire-lebanon-war-pakistan-talks/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=aXJhbi1jZWFzZS1maXJlLWxlYmFub24td2FyLXBha2lzdGFuLXRhbGtz&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Ali Hashem: Waiting for the War to End in Tehran [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/01/iran-war-trump-united-states-patriotism-protest-end/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=aXJhbi13YXItdHJ1bXAtdW5pdGVkLXN0YXRlcy1wYXRyaW90aXNtLXByb3Rlc3QtZW5k&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Ali Hashem: Iran Is Becoming America’s Ukraine [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/23/iran-war-ukraine-trump-araghchi-long/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=aXJhbi13YXItdWtyYWluZS10cnVtcC1hcmFnaGNoaS1sb25n&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Ali Hashem: Iran Is Built to Withstand the Ayatollah’s Assassination [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/02/28/iran-khamenei-ayatollah-assassination-israel-us-war/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=aXJhbi1raGFtZW5laS1heWF0b2xsYWgtYXNzYXNzaW5hdGlvbi1pc3JhZWwtdXMtd2Fy&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices [https://megaphone.fm/adchoices]

‘Ask Me Anything’—the Iran War Edition

It’s time for another ask-me-anything edition of FP Live. This one takes on the war in Iran from many angles: the economic impact, regional balance of power, the longer-term global impact, and much else. Producer Dana Sherne puts audience questions to FP’s editor in chief Ravi Agrawal. Ravi Agrawal: The World Is Paying the Price for America’s War [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/04/20/trump-iran-war-energy-prices-stocks-ai-asia-africa/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=dHJ1bXAtaXJhbi13YXItZW5lcmd5LXByaWNlcy1zdG9ja3MtYWktYXNpYS1hZnJpY2E=&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Ravi Agrawal: Trump Is Losing the War in Iran [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/30/trump-war-iran-israel-lebanon-gulf-winner-loser/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=dHJ1bXAtd2FyLWlyYW4taXNyYWVsLWxlYmFub24tZ3VsZi13aW5uZXItbG9zZXI=&pid=PNIESs9hMqnvgec&tpcc=fpl_pod] Stephen M. Walt: The End of America’s Soft Power [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/05/04/trump-soft-power-usa/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=dHJ1bXAtc29mdC1wb3dlci11c2E=&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Amir Handjani: The Real Meaning of the UAE’s OPEC Exit [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/05/01/uae-opec-exit-meaning-oil-middle-east/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=dWFlLW9wZWMtZXhpdC1tZWFuaW5nLW9pbC1taWRkbGUtZWFzdA==&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Aaron David Miller and Daniel C. Kurtzer: Why Trump Might Come to Regret the Iran War [https://foreignpolicy.com/2026/05/01/trump-iran-war-regret-cease-fire/?utm_content=gifting&tpcc=gifting_article&gifting_article=dHJ1bXAtaXJhbi13YXItcmVncmV0LWNlYXNlLWZpcmU=&pid=PNIhHwPfesawrtd&tpcc=fpl_pod] Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices [https://megaphone.fm/adchoices]