COL. Jacques Baud : Strategic Intelligence Starts By Understanding Both Sides

COL. Jacques Baud : Strategic Intelligence Starts By Understanding Both Sides

Getting sanctioned by the EU is one thing. Getting sanctioned without being shown real evidence is another. I sit down with Colonel Jacques Baud, a former Swiss intelligence officer and NATO advisor, to unpack how he ended up on an EU sanctions list that blocks access to banking and travel while he lives in Brussels. He walks us through what his lawyers found when they demanded the EU’s supporting documents, and why he believes the “propagandist” label is built on insinuation rather than proof. From there, we zoom out to the deeper issue: what strategic intelligence is supposed to do. Jacques argues that intelligence means understanding, including how your adversary interprets events, because your definition of the conflict determines your options for ending it. We talk about why that mindset has become taboo in parts of Europe, how emotionally driven narratives can trap leaders, and why Ukraine policy and European credibility suffer when nuance gets treated like disloyalty. We also pivot hard into Iran, Israel, and US foreign policy, including what happens when decision-makers ignore professional intelligence advice. Jacques lays out a simple framework for the Middle East: force can make everything “harden,” while a calmer approach can create openings. We then connect that to BRICS and the “militarized dollar,” framing BRICS less as a new military bloc and more as a response to sanctions and payment-system leverage. If you care about EU sanctions, censorship concerns, Ukraine war analysis, Iran diplomacy, and how strategy should actually work, this conversation brings a clear lens and a few uncomfortable questions. CHAPTER MARKERS * 0:00 Guest Intro And EU Sanctions * 6:10 The Thin Case Behind Sanctions * 11:20 Intelligence Without Emotion * 17:10 Europe’s Ukraine Strategy Breakdown * 23:40 Iran Strike And Ignoring Intelligence * 30:10 Non-Newtonian Diplomacy In The Middle East * 33:55 Iran MOU And Israel’s Role * 43:45 BRICS And The Militarized Dollar * 48:50 Why Iran Can Tilt Westward * 54:45 Revenge, Trust, And Closing Thoughts Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/jim-webb-podcast/donations [https://redcircle.com/jim-webb-podcast/donations] Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands [https://redcircle.com/brands] Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy [https://redcircle.com/privacy]

ALEX CHRISTOFOROU : The New Rules Of Escalation

“We’re going to bomb Moscow” used to sound like an unthinkable nightmare. Now it shows up as a headline and barely registers. That’s where we start, because once taboos break, they don’t magically come back and the consequences ripple from Ukraine to Iran to US domestic politics. I’m joined by Alex Christoforou (The Duran) to sort through what’s actually happening behind the noise and what the incentives are for every player involved. First, we dig into the Iran United States memorandum of understanding, the Lebanon ceasefire problem, and why the weekend drama almost derailed everything. The surprising signal is what doesn’t seem to be central: uranium enrichment. Instead, we talk sanctions waivers, frozen assets, blockades, the Strait of Hormuz, and why the strategic petroleum reserve and inflation pressure can force “good faith” moves that look ideological from the outside but are economic survival from the inside. We also unpack the strange new reality of direct US Iran communication aimed at managing Israeli behavior in Lebanon. Then we pivot to Great Britain and Keir Starmer’s resignation, the churn of prime ministers, and what UK politics suggests about continuity versus change. From there, we connect the UK’s stance on Ukraine to reports of long range missile production meant to hit Moscow, the battlefield trajectory in Donbass, the drone narrative, and Zelensky’s incentives including risky rhetoric toward Belarus. Along the way we touch the Maggie Haberman and Jonathan Swan book Regime Change and its brutal nickname for Zelensky, “Mr. Bean on Crack,” as a window into how insiders are talking. CHAPTER MARKERS * 0:06 Cold Open And Big Headlines * 1:39 Sponsor Plug And Guest Welcome * 3:14 Iran Talks And Lebanon Buffer Zone * 8:23 Sanctions Waivers And Oil Pressure * 14:03 Netanyahu Problem And White House Split * 18:12 Starmer Resigns And UK Direction * 29:12 UK Missile Push And Moscow Risk * 32:35 Donbass Frontlines And Drone Narrative * 42:07 Zelensky, Corruption, And Belarus Threats * 51:40 War Powers, Venezuela Precedent, Wrap Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/jim-webb-podcast/donations [https://redcircle.com/jim-webb-podcast/donations] Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands [https://redcircle.com/brands] Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy [https://redcircle.com/privacy]

DARRYL COOPER : What takes more courage: starting a war or ending one?

A ceasefire gets announced, and then the bombs keep falling. That contradiction kicks off a blunt conversation with Darryl Cooper about the Middle East, Israel and Hezbollah, and why the United States no longer gets to “allow” outcomes in the Iran war like it’s flipping a switch. We walk through what it means when a war ends without the military objectives we started with, and why that kind of failure feels unfamiliar in modern American life. From Vietnam to Iraq to Afghanistan, leaders often keep conflicts going because the politics of stopping are brutal. We talk about the rare kind of courage it takes to cut losses, the temptation to rebrand defeat as victory, and the danger of walking away with the wrong confidence as great power competition with China and Russia accelerates. Then we get practical: next-generation asymmetric warfare, air defense limits, and the exchange-rate problem no budget can beat. If you’re firing multimillion-dollar interceptor missiles at cheap drones, you’re losing even when you “win” each engagement. We also dig into Middle East basing, long lead times for key radar systems, the military-industrial incentives that favor giant new programs, and the human costs that show up as moral injury and public distrust. CHAPTER MARKERS * 0:00 Opening Ceasefire And Hezbollah Strikes * 1:12 Meet Daryl Cooper And Set Stakes * 4:35 Can Israel Force A Longer War * 10:05 What Failure Looks Like Against Iran * 16:40 The Hardest Move Is Ending War * 23:15 Iraq Ghosts And The China Lesson * 32:20 Asymmetric Warfare And Cost Imbalance * 43:00 Empire Overreach And Middle East Basing * 54:45 Moral Injury Propaganda And Closing Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/jim-webb-podcast/donations [https://redcircle.com/jim-webb-podcast/donations] Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands [https://redcircle.com/brands] Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy [https://redcircle.com/privacy]

JIM WEBB : Will the Deal Hold? 24 Hours to Put Israel in Check

A “peace deal” is about to take effect, yet Israel is still carrying out combat operations in Lebanon and openly talking about expanded buffer zones. We walk through why that detail changes everything for Iran, why Lebanon is treated as inseparable from the broader conflict, and how a ceasefire without enforcement quickly turns into a prelude to escalation. If you’re trying to figure out whether this agreement can hold, we map the incentives and the breaking points that the headlines keep skipping. Then we follow the money and the markets. Oil flow, shipping routes, strategic reserves, inflation, and global economic stability are not side notes, they are the engine of the sudden shift in Washington’s posture. We dig into the admissions around unfreezing Iranian funds, what it means for the credibility of the US dollar and sanctions policy, and why “weaponizing the dollar” is starting to create diminishing returns. We also challenge the story being told about Gaza, ceasefires, and what success actually looks like when civilian casualties keep rising. From there, we pull on the domestic political thread: why are Americans so easy to steer into supporting policies that don’t serve them? We connect foreign policy narratives to the same divide-and-conquer playbook behind gerrymandering fights and the way immigration enforcement is argued in public. We close with a brand-new segment, Jimbo’s Wag of the Finger, aimed at Major League Baseball’s looming labor battle and the push for a salary cap. CHAPTER MARKERS * 0:20 Breaking News And Deal Doubts * 2:30 Anniversary Shoutout And Housekeeping * 3:52 IDF Operations In Lebanon Persist * 6:40 Switzerland Talks And Versailles Warning * 8:00 Oil Reserves And Economic Pressure * 9:53 Frozen Funds And The Dollar Weapon * 14:45 Gaza Claims And Ceasefire Reality * 20:10 Where Is Marco Rubio * 28:28 Vance Shifts On Self Defense * 31:38 Divide And Conquer At Home * 39:50 Redistricting Iran And ICE Examples * 43:25 Jimbo’s Wag On MLB Salary Cap * 49:26 Tomorrow’s Guest And Closing Plugs Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/jim-webb-podcast/donations [https://redcircle.com/jim-webb-podcast/donations] Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands [https://redcircle.com/brands] Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy [https://redcircle.com/privacy]

LARRY JOHNSON : United States-Israel Intelligence Sharing ? What's really happening?

A “deal” doesn’t mean much if nobody can even agree on what’s in it. We sit down with Larry Johnson to sort through the growing confusion around the Iran memorandum of understanding, including reports of competing versions, rumored electronic signatures, and the single line that seems to matter most: an immediate, comprehensive ceasefire that includes Lebanon. Then we ask the uncomfortable question: if Israeli leaders are publicly promising more war, what exactly is supposed to change by Friday? From there, we connect diplomacy to consequences you can feel. We get into the economic pressure shaping US foreign policy, why the Strategic Petroleum Reserve is a bigger story than most headlines admit, and how oil and shipping realities make quick market optimism look naive. Even if the Strait of Hormuz opens, tankers, insurance, and mine-clearing timelines can stretch disruptions for months. We also cover the less-obvious ripple effects, like damaged LNG infrastructure in Qatar and why helium supply matters for computer chips, not party balloons. Finally, we dig into the security architecture underneath the politics: US basing in the Gulf, drone-heavy warfare that punishes expensive platforms, supply chain constraints like rare earth minerals and gallium, and the nuclear deterrence debate that keeps resurfacing whenever regime change rhetoric returns. We close with a deep look at Section 622 of the Intelligence Reauthorization Act and why codifying intelligence sharing with Israel could permanently limit independent US operations. CHAPTER MARKERS * 0:00 Hawaiian Shirt Cold Open * 2:55 Competing Versions Of The Iran MOU * 6:10 Israeli Leaders Push For More War * 10:30 US Leverage Over Israel And Politics * 14:55 Oil Risk And The SPR Reality * 20:40 Strait Of Hormuz Fees And Leverage * 26:10 Mines, LNG Damage, And Helium Shock * 31:55 Iran Retaliation And Hidden US Losses * 37:45 Gulf Bases Under Pressure To Close * 41:45 Drone Warfare Costs And Supply Chains * 47:20 Nuclear Deterrence And JCPOA Lessons * 51:50 Section 622 And Forced Intel Sharing * 53:55 Cutoffs, Decoupling, And Final Plugs Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/jim-webb-podcast/donations [https://redcircle.com/jim-webb-podcast/donations] Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands [https://redcircle.com/brands] Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy [https://redcircle.com/privacy]