Not Investment Advice

AI just blew up a $5.7B PE deal

54 min · 3 de may de 2026
Portada del episodio AI just blew up a $5.7B PE deal

Descripción

Three VCs, one mic, three opinions you won’t hear at a fund meeting. Hosted by Eric, Ian, and Kevin. ---------------------------------------- Toma Bravo just handed Medallia to its creditors and ate an estimated $5.7 billion in equity value — the largest LBO write-off since 2008. The story sounds like a one-firm miscalculation, but underneath it is something bigger: AI is starting to reprice every SaaS multiple anyone underwrote in 2021. We also got into Beijing forcing the unwind of a $2B Meta deal after the money had already wired, the Powell succession drama, and why Ian thinks Middle Eastern LP capital calls are a flight risk.

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21 episodios

episode Everyone ’Got’ SpaceX. Almost Nobody Got It Directly. artwork

Everyone ’Got’ SpaceX. Almost Nobody Got It Directly.

The biggest IPO in history is done. SpaceX went public Friday at a $1.77T valuation, ~4x oversubscribed, then popped ~19% on day one to a ~$2T close — minting ~4,000 millionaires. The chingus recorded on the eve of it and spent the night on the catch: most of the "I'm in SpaceX" crowd got there through SPVs stacked four and five layers deep. The same week, Jeff Bezos raises a $12B pre-seed at a $41B valuation for a company with no product, and Eric floats a dark theory about why VCs really wrote the check (hint: it's the logo, not the cap table). Plus: Coupang's record $409M data-breach fine and the bow that could've shrunk it, a Gemini-powered Siri nobody bought Apple for, SoftBank's $6B OpenAI margin loan getting told no, and Cloudflare's Matthew Prince naming Vinod Khosla on his way out. Three VCs, one mic, three opinions you won't hear at a fund meeting. Eric Bahn (Hustle Fund), Ian Park (ex-sovereign wealth fund), Kevin Jiang (Mangusta Capital). CHAPTERS 0:00 Hot chingu summer: SpaceX IPO eve 1:11 Why this isn't the top yet (Anthropic + OpenAI still to come) 3:49 The valuation arms race: from $1B to $1T outcomes 5:08 The K-shaped fund economy eating the middle 6:19 Nested SPVs and how everyone "got" SpaceX 9:21 Bezos raises a $12B pre-seed for Prometheus 15:11 Eric's dark theory: logo-stacking to impress LPs 18:58 Apple's Gemini-powered Siri (and who it's really for) 23:53 Coupang's record $409M data-breach fine 30:13 When a billionaire becomes soft power 35:41 SoftBank's $6B OpenAI margin loan stalls 41:50 Matthew Prince names Vinod Khosla 48:03 Sign-off: nothing here is investment advice

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episode SpaceX & Anthropic Deal, Cloudflare Layoff, Gamestop & eBay, and Sam Altman artwork

SpaceX & Anthropic Deal, Cloudflare Layoff, Gamestop & eBay, and Sam Altman

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