Perspectives with Wenchi Yu

Ep. 36 Germany's China Shock: Navigating Economic Dependence and Geopolitical Risks with Noah Barkin

40 min · 27 de mar de 2026
Portada del episodio Ep. 36 Germany's China Shock: Navigating Economic Dependence and Geopolitical Risks with Noah Barkin

Descripción

Host Wenchi Yu speaks with Noah Barkin — senior advisor at Rhodium Group [https://rhg.com/] and author of the popular “Watching China in Europe [https://substack.com/@noahbarkin]” newsletter — about the rapidly shifting landscape of Germany's relationship with China. Germany is losing roughly 10,000 manufacturing jobs per month. As European leaders line up to visit Beijing and global trade tensions intensify, Germany finds itself caught between two worlds — deeply entangled with China economically but increasingly alarmed by the dependencies and security risks arising from this close relationship. From factory floors in Anhui to 5G towers in Hamburg, the choices Germany makes about China will shape not only its future, but Europe's. This episode is a collaboration with the China Strategic Risks Institute [https://www.csri.global/].    00:00 Introduction and Guest Background 02:01 The State of Germany-China Relations Today 03:27 China's Support for Russia and Geopolitical Tensions 05:23 Perception of China's Support for Russia in Germany 07:05 Economic Shifts in German-China Business Relations 09:16 China Shock and Its Impact on German Industry 11:35 Auto Industry Investment and Deindustrialization 14:11 Cost Efficiency and Localization in China 16:44 Supply Chain Ecosystems and China's Industrial Advantage 18:43 European Trade Strategies and De-risking Efforts 21:33 EU Trade Policy and Tariffs on Chinese Goods 23:14 Pharmaceutical Industry and Chinese Competition 25:19 Critical Infrastructure and 5G Security Concerns 29:17 De-risking Supply Chains and Europe's Dependence on China 32:18 EU vs. Germany: Divergent Approaches to China 34:57 US Policies and Europe's China Strategy 38:08 Conclusion: Europe's Hedging Strategy and Future Outlook Perspectives with Wenchi Yu YouTube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLkK1a7U8kP0TgXhvI5Bj70H4cPPlapCdQ&si=RuA_jZROR2ynRbxH Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6kXiEF08IjtT3j1DyEnBbG?si=68ab3ea172594620 Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/perspectives-with-wenchi-yu/id1793854395

Comentarios

0

Sé la primera persona en comentar

¡Regístrate ahora y únete a la comunidad de Perspectives with Wenchi Yu!

Prueba gratis

Empieza 7 días de prueba

$99 / mes después de la prueba. · Cancela cuando quieras.

  • Podcasts solo en Podimo
  • 20 horas de audiolibros al mes
  • Podcast gratuitos

Todos los episodios

39 episodios

episode Ep. 39 Boeing, China, and the Future of Aviation with Mark Atkeson artwork

Ep. 39 Boeing, China, and the Future of Aviation with Mark Atkeson

Host Wenchi Yu speaks with Mark Atkeson, a veteran aviation executive with over three decades of on-the-ground experience across both the American and Chinese aerospace industries, to unpack what the latest US–China summit and a smaller‑than‑expected Boeing deal really mean for the future of flying in and out of China. Drawing on decades of experience working with Air China, Pratt & Whitney, GA Telesis, and Chinese airlines, Mark takes us from 1990s engine maintenance in Beijing to today’s vast but stressed Chinese aviation market, where high‑speed rail, post‑COVID headwinds, and state‑owned conservatism are reshaping the industry. Along the way, he explains how Boeing lost ground to Airbus, why China’s homegrown COMAC jet is still struggling to catch up, and how cargo, e‑commerce, and aviation supply chains are becoming a new front in US–China strategic competition. 00:00 Introduction to US-China Aviation Dynamics 01:59 Mark Atkeson's Career in Aviation and China Experience 03:56 Challenges in Chinese Aircraft Maintenance and OEMs 05:43 China's Aircraft Manufacturing and Local Production 08:09 Aftermarket Parts and Maintenance in China 10:27 China's Aviation Sector Size and Growth Forecast 12:13 Impact of COVID-19 and Infrastructure Investment 14:42 Chinese Airlines' Business Model and Profitability 17:08 High-Speed Rail vs Air Travel in China 18:45 Post-COVID Recovery of Chinese Airlines 20:20 Management and Efficiency in Chinese State-Owned Airlines 22:41 Chinese Airlines' Unique Routing and Geopolitical Factors 24:51 Role of Cargo and E-commerce in Aviation 26:27 Boeing's Historical and Strategic Role in China 28:26 Boeing vs Airbus Market Share in China 30:45 COMAC's Development and Market Position 33:51 Supply Chain Challenges and Local Manufacturing 36:12 China's Repair Capabilities and Industry Progress 38:02 Future Outlook: Can China Rival Boeing and Airbus? Perspectives with Wenchi Yu YouTube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLkK1a7U8kP0TgXhvI5Bj70H4cPPlapCdQ&si=RuA_jZROR2ynRbxH Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6kXiEF08IjtT3j1DyEnBbG?si=68ab3ea172594620 Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/perspectives-with-wenchi-yu/id1793854395

28 de may de 202640 min
episode Ep. 38 Taiwan’s $25 Billion Special Defense Budget: Partisan Politics, Drones, and Deterrence? artwork

Ep. 38 Taiwan’s $25 Billion Special Defense Budget: Partisan Politics, Drones, and Deterrence?

Host Wenchi Yu speaks with Dr. Alexander C. Huang, a former KMT Director of International Affairs, a cross-strait war game strategist, and an expert on the PLA, about why the Taiwanese government’s US$40 billion proposal was cut to US$25 billion, what the fight over special versus regular budgets reveals about Taiwan’s politics, and how decisions on Foreign Military Sales (FMS), commercial deals, and domestic drone production will affect Taiwan’s defense posture for years to come. 00:00 Taiwan's Defense Budget Overview 02:49 Political Dynamics Behind the Budget Approval 05:40 Debate on Domestic Production and Drones 08:45 Urgency of Defense Needs and Procurement Challenges 11:43 Opposition Perspectives and Political Consensus 14:41 Future of Taiwan's Defense Spending 17:31 Implications of the Xi-Trump Summit 20:35 Lessons Learned and Future Strategies Perspectives with Wenchi Yu YouTube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLkK1a7U8kP0TgXhvI5Bj70H4cPPlapCdQ&si=RuA_jZROR2ynRbxH Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6kXiEF08IjtT3j1DyEnBbG?si=68ab3ea172594620 Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/perspectives-with-wenchi-yu/id1793854395

15 de may de 202638 min
episode Ep. 37 The New Space Age: How Privatization Fuels China’s Aerospace Rise artwork

Ep. 37 The New Space Age: How Privatization Fuels China’s Aerospace Rise

Host Wenchi Yu speaks to Allen Fung, formerly with Hong Kong Aerospace Technology Group, about China’s emerging commercial space sector and the broader “second space age,” tracing how SpaceX’s 2015 Falcon 9 landing helped spur Beijing to open its rocket industry to private firms and create a fast-growing ecosystem around launch and satellites. Allen explains how reusable rockets and cheaper access to orbit are enabling new possibilities, such as space-based data centers powered by constant solar energy and cooled by radiating heat into space, as well as speculative but potentially transformative ideas like manufacturing artificial diamond semiconductors in microgravity to achieve phosphorus-doped “negative type” diamond devices that are difficult to make on Earth. Allen argues that China and hubs like Hong Kong intend not just to follow U.S. pioneers like SpaceX and Blue Origin but to help shape the next phase of global space and technology competition. 00:00 The New Space Age: China's Aerospace Sector 02:26 China's Response to Artemis 2 04:51 The Rise of Private Rocket Companies in China 09:04 The Role of Hong Kong in Aerospace 12:17 The Competitive Landscape of Aerospace Companies 16:15 The Future of Space Manufacturing 26:03 Semiconductors in Space: A New Frontier Perspectives with Wenchi Yu YouTube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLkK1a7U8kP0TgXhvI5Bj70H4cPPlapCdQ&si=RuA_jZROR2ynRbxH Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6kXiEF08IjtT3j1DyEnBbG?si=68ab3ea172594620 Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/perspectives-with-wenchi-yu/id1793854395

13 de abr de 202632 min
episode Ep. 36 Germany's China Shock: Navigating Economic Dependence and Geopolitical Risks with Noah Barkin artwork

Ep. 36 Germany's China Shock: Navigating Economic Dependence and Geopolitical Risks with Noah Barkin

Host Wenchi Yu speaks with Noah Barkin — senior advisor at Rhodium Group [https://rhg.com/] and author of the popular “Watching China in Europe [https://substack.com/@noahbarkin]” newsletter — about the rapidly shifting landscape of Germany's relationship with China. Germany is losing roughly 10,000 manufacturing jobs per month. As European leaders line up to visit Beijing and global trade tensions intensify, Germany finds itself caught between two worlds — deeply entangled with China economically but increasingly alarmed by the dependencies and security risks arising from this close relationship. From factory floors in Anhui to 5G towers in Hamburg, the choices Germany makes about China will shape not only its future, but Europe's. This episode is a collaboration with the China Strategic Risks Institute [https://www.csri.global/].    00:00 Introduction and Guest Background 02:01 The State of Germany-China Relations Today 03:27 China's Support for Russia and Geopolitical Tensions 05:23 Perception of China's Support for Russia in Germany 07:05 Economic Shifts in German-China Business Relations 09:16 China Shock and Its Impact on German Industry 11:35 Auto Industry Investment and Deindustrialization 14:11 Cost Efficiency and Localization in China 16:44 Supply Chain Ecosystems and China's Industrial Advantage 18:43 European Trade Strategies and De-risking Efforts 21:33 EU Trade Policy and Tariffs on Chinese Goods 23:14 Pharmaceutical Industry and Chinese Competition 25:19 Critical Infrastructure and 5G Security Concerns 29:17 De-risking Supply Chains and Europe's Dependence on China 32:18 EU vs. Germany: Divergent Approaches to China 34:57 US Policies and Europe's China Strategy 38:08 Conclusion: Europe's Hedging Strategy and Future Outlook Perspectives with Wenchi Yu YouTube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLkK1a7U8kP0TgXhvI5Bj70H4cPPlapCdQ&si=RuA_jZROR2ynRbxH Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6kXiEF08IjtT3j1DyEnBbG?si=68ab3ea172594620 Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/perspectives-with-wenchi-yu/id1793854395

27 de mar de 202640 min
episode Ep. 35 Lobbying for Semiconductors in Washington: Patrick Wilson on Two Decades of Chip Policy artwork

Ep. 35 Lobbying for Semiconductors in Washington: Patrick Wilson on Two Decades of Chip Policy

Host Wenchi Yu speaks with Patrick Wilson—who until recently served as Vice President of Government Affairs for MediaTek—about how semiconductors went from an obscure, capital‑intensive niche to the center of global industrial strategy. Drawing on two decades in Congress, industry, and the first Trump administration, Patrick explains why Washington woke up to its dependence on Taiwan and Asia, how the TSMC Arizona deal and the CHIPS Act were really conceived, and what political‑risk mitigation strategies Taiwanese and other foreign firms should adopt as they navigate Beijing, Taipei, and Washington. 00:00 - Introduction: Semiconductor industry’s geopolitical significance 02:18 - Industry reluctance and political engagement of chip companies 04:32 - How manufacturing and policy interest surged with geopolitical shifts 06:35 - The 2003 trade disputes over Chinese chip export support 09:16 - The rise of Taiwan’s TSMC and decline of US fab dominance 11:05 - The generational shift in industry leadership and manufacturing shifts 12:45 - Globalization, supply chain vulnerabilities, and strategic concerns 13:04 - Growing US awareness of supply chain fragility pre-COVID 15:09 - The impact of US Tax and R&D policies in semiconductor investment decisions 17:12 - US government funding, China’s rising investment, and research funding gaps 18:37 - Developing the TSMC/Taiwan-US partnership and the Chips Act 20:15 - Building semiconductor fabs in the US: Costs, timelines, and geopolitical considerations 24:29 - Taiwan’s cautious response to manufacturing investments in the US 26:45 - How COVID and industry lobbying shifted US policy and industry strategy 29:55 - Auto industry’s realization of dependence on chips and supply chain transparency 35:47 - Building industry champions and the importance of reputation 37:22 - Strategies for foreign companies to gain influence in Washington and Taipei 39:06 - The delicate balance of Taiwanese diversification away from China 42:16 - US-Taiwan semiconductor cooperation and the importance of joint R&D 44:18 - The significance of Taiwan’s role, trust, and future collaboration 45:47 - Building trust and advocacy for Taiwanese firms in Washington 46:46 - Insights from Condoleezza Rice on managing political risk in corporate strategy Perspectives with Wenchi Yu YouTube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLkK1a7U8kP0TgXhvI5Bj70H4cPPlapCdQ&si=RuA_jZROR2ynRbxH Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6kXiEF08IjtT3j1DyEnBbG?si=68ab3ea172594620 Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/perspectives-with-wenchi-yu/id1793854395

15 de mar de 202648 min