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Daily Briefing — July 15, 2026 | Inflation Cools, Geopolitics Heats, and Earnings Tell a Mixed Story

27 min · Ayer
Portada del episodio Daily Briefing — July 15, 2026 | Inflation Cools, Geopolitics Heats, and Earnings Tell a Mixed Story

Descripción

In this episode, we break down a day of competing signals in global markets. June CPI came in cooler than expected — the first monthly decline in six years — shifting rate expectations and giving equities a boost. But geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remain elevated, with the US resuming its naval blockade of Iran and oil prices rallying for a third day. We cover Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's first congressional testimony, including his announcement of a sweeping policy review and his remarks on AI investment. We analyse the earnings picture — from IBM's 25% plunge, its worst day on record, to ASML's second guidance hike of the year, to strong results from Morgan Stanley and BlackRock. We look at the PayPal takeover bid, the divergence in European and Asian markets, and China's slowing GDP growth. We also examine the tech sector's evolving dynamics — the AI hardware boom, supply chain shifts, and growing concerns about stretched valuations. And we put it all in context: a market caught between cooling inflation and rising geopolitical risk, with the earnings season just getting started.

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310 episodios

episode Daily Briefing — July 15, 2026 | Inflation Cools, Geopolitics Heats, and Earnings Tell a Mixed Story artwork

Daily Briefing — July 15, 2026 | Inflation Cools, Geopolitics Heats, and Earnings Tell a Mixed Story

In this episode, we break down a day of competing signals in global markets. June CPI came in cooler than expected — the first monthly decline in six years — shifting rate expectations and giving equities a boost. But geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remain elevated, with the US resuming its naval blockade of Iran and oil prices rallying for a third day. We cover Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's first congressional testimony, including his announcement of a sweeping policy review and his remarks on AI investment. We analyse the earnings picture — from IBM's 25% plunge, its worst day on record, to ASML's second guidance hike of the year, to strong results from Morgan Stanley and BlackRock. We look at the PayPal takeover bid, the divergence in European and Asian markets, and China's slowing GDP growth. We also examine the tech sector's evolving dynamics — the AI hardware boom, supply chain shifts, and growing concerns about stretched valuations. And we put it all in context: a market caught between cooling inflation and rising geopolitical risk, with the earnings season just getting started.

Ayer27 min
episode Daily Briefing — July 14, 2026 | Cooler CPI, Hotter Oil, and the AI Trade Unravels artwork

Daily Briefing — July 14, 2026 | Cooler CPI, Hotter Oil, and the AI Trade Unravels

U.S. inflation cooled more than expected in June, with the Consumer Price Index falling to 3.5 percent annually and dropping 0.4 percent month-over-month. The data slashed Fed rate-hike odds to just 10 percent and sent bond yields and the dollar lower. But the relief was short-lived for some. Oil surged for a second day as the U.S. reimposed its naval blockade of Iran and attacks in the Strait of Hormuz intensified, pushing Brent above $85 a barrel and reigniting global inflation fears. Meanwhile, the AI hardware trade continued to unravel, with SK Hynix plunging more than 20 percent over two days as leveraged bets triggered forced liquidations. IBM issued a profit warning, citing customers diverting spending to AI infrastructure at the expense of software. Big banks, however, delivered record results, with JPMorgan's equities trading revenue soaring 86 percent. This episode covers the competing forces shaping markets — cooler inflation versus hotter oil, strong earnings versus AI exhaustion — and previews Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first congressional testimony. Produced by Slotly News — still being built, but already tracking the stories that matter.

14 de jul de 202611 min
episode Daily Briefing — July 13, 2026 | Middle East Escalation, AI Reassessment, and a Pivotal Week for Central Banks artwork

Daily Briefing — July 13, 2026 | Middle East Escalation, AI Reassessment, and a Pivotal Week for Central Banks

Markets opened the week with a jolt as renewed U.S.-Iran hostilities and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz sent oil prices surging and global equities tumbling. South Korea's KOSPI plunged nearly 9 percent, triggering a circuit breaker, while European and U.S. futures pointed to further weakness ahead. This episode covers the day's market action across Asia, Europe, and the U.S., the implications of rising geopolitical risk for energy markets and inflation, and the growing reassessment of AI-related stocks after months of relentless gains. We also preview a pivotal week for central banks: Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh prepares for his first congressional testimony, the ECB signals caution after its first rate hike in nearly three years, and the Bank of Japan faces mounting pressure as the yen weakens. With U.S. inflation data and the start of second-quarter earnings season on tap, this is a week that could set the tone for the rest of the summer. Produced by Slotly News — still being built, but already tracking the stories that matter.

13 de jul de 202613 min
episode Daily Briefing — July 12, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz Closure, Fed Report, and the AI Trade artwork

Daily Briefing — July 12, 2026 | Strait of Hormuz Closure, Fed Report, and the AI Trade

A Sunday briefing covering a weekend of significant developments. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has closed the Strait of Hormuz, prompting a U.S. military response and raising fresh questions about oil supply and inflation. We break down the market implications and what traders will be watching when oil futures open. The Federal Reserve released its semiannual Monetary Policy Report, with Chair Kevin Warsh set to testify before Congress this week against a backdrop of rising inflation expectations and a market pricing in a potential rate hike. The European Central Bank held steady for the fifth consecutive meeting, while the Bank of Japan faces mounting pressure as bond yields hit levels not seen in decades. In equities, the AI trade continued to drive U.S. markets higher, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq extending their winning streaks. SK Hynix's strong U.S. debut and Meta's best weekly performance since early 2024 underscore the market's appetite for AI exposure. Corporate news includes Apollo's £5.7 billion bid for easyJet, Xavier Niel's £4.4 billion Vodafone stake, and Apple's lawsuit against OpenAI. All this and more in today's full briefing from Slotly News.

12 de jul de 202618 min
episode Daily Briefing — July 10, 2026 | Ceasefire Collapses, Markets Rally on Tech, and Central Banks Face a Hawkish Reset artwork

Daily Briefing — July 10, 2026 | Ceasefire Collapses, Markets Rally on Tech, and Central Banks Face a Hawkish Reset

The US-Iran ceasefire has unravelled, with fresh missile and drone strikes exchanged as Iran buries its Supreme Leader. Yet oil prices fell yesterday and Wall Street rallied—a market contradiction that reveals how investors are pricing in containment rather than escalation. This episode covers the S&P 500's narrow tech-driven gain, Micron's $250 billion investment plan, and Meta's push into proprietary AI chips. We also break down the Fed's divided rate outlook, the ECB's "back to square one" inflation fight, the Bank of England's hawkish pivot, and Japan's surprising bond and yen rally on pension reform hopes. Plus: Apollo's £5.7 billion bid for easyJet, Vodafone's stake sale to Xavier Niel, and what the AI infrastructure boom means for inflation forecasts. A detailed briefing on a day when geopolitics, technology, and monetary policy are pulling in opposite directions. This response is AI-generated, for reference only.

10 de jul de 202616 min