The Blushing Quants Podcast
Ufuk Tasdan is a quantitative researcher with an unconventional background spanning physics, philosophy of physics, cryptocurrency trading, and energy market analytics. After studying physics and completing a PhD in philosophy of physics, he moved into applied quantitative work, first in crypto and later in European energy markets, where he focuses on price forecasting, market analysis, and model building for traders and market participants. In this episode, we get into what it means to come into quantitative finance from a non-traditional background, and why some of the most interesting market thinkers often come from outside the usual pipeline. Ufuk shares how philosophy of science, particle physics, and critical thinking shaped the way he approaches markets, model selection, and data interpretation. We talk about the differences between cryptocurrency and energy markets, why crypto can look simpler on the surface but remain deeply opaque, and why energy markets are more transparent in data yet far more structurally complex. Ufuk explains how he thinks about supply and demand in both worlds, why energy markets are uniquely difficult because of negative prices, physical delivery constraints, and spike behavior, and why modeling those spikes is often harder than modeling the trend itself. We also get into economophysics, non-stationary data, analogy-based thinking, return distributions, model robustness, and the limits of standard tools like the Sharpe ratio in highly volatile markets such as crypto. Ufuk shares why he starts with the distribution of returns, how he thinks about interpreting market structure through physics-inspired analogies such as earthquakes and diffusion, and why model simplicity at the core still matters even when the surrounding structure becomes complex. On top of that, we explore machine learning in production, why linear regression still matters, how neural networks can be useful for modeling residuals, and where human judgment remains essential, especially when regime shifts and spikes violate the system's assumptions. *DISCLAIMER* The information shared on this podcast is for educational and informational purposes only and reflects the personal opinions of the hosts and guests at the time of recording. Nothing in this podcast constitutes financial, investment, legal, tax, or trading advice, and nothing should be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security, cryptocurrency, derivative, or financial product. Trading and investing involve substantial risk, including the possible loss of all or part of your capital. You are solely responsible for your own decisions, and you should consult a qualified professional before making financial decisions. By listening to this podcast, you agree that the hosts, guests, and producers are not liable for any losses or damages arising from the use of any information discussed.
30 episodios
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