The Octus Download
Some companies die because the math was never going to work. Spirit, AMC, and fire truck pricing all make that case differently. Jason Sanjana [https://www.linkedin.com/in/jason-sanjana-a030a77b/] and Kevin Eckhardt [https://www.linkedin.com/in/kevin-eckhardt-26a955138/]open with an emergency segment on Spirit Airlines (02:31), which ceased all operations on May 2nd after 34 years, 17,000 jobs, and a wind-down that happened overnight. Kevin, who covered the case at Octus, walks through why the Twitter narrative blaming the Biden DOJ is missing about 90% of the actual story. The Trump administration floated a $500 million bailout, but when the DIP lenders said no, it evaporated. The hosts debate whether Spirit was ever going to survive, why the JetBlue merger is a red herring, and what the crowdfunding campaign to "buy Spirit" actually tells you about the internet. Then (19:03), Krishan Sutharshana [https://www.linkedin.com/in/krishan-sutharshana-cfa-48012836/], senior distressed debt analyst at Octus, joins to walk through AMC. The largest movie theater chain in the world has raised nearly $4 billion in equity since the pandemic and still cannot generate positive free cash flow. Krishan explains the LME, the $3 billion maturity wall, the streaming window compression, and why the box office needs to hit $10 billion before AMC breaks even. From there (36:19), Kevin breaks down how private equity rolled up the fire truck market, with Rev Group sitting on $4.4 billion in unfilled orders while prices have risen 5x and used trucks jumped 62% in a year. The show closes with the debut of The Parent Trap (42:10), a new segment about the things you do for your parents. Jason spent a long weekend helping his parents move out of the Pittsburgh house they lived in for 40 years. Kevin produced a photo of his father on the field alongside O.J. Simpson and Dan Marino, which raises more questions than it answers. And the show's first ever mystery write-in arrives: an orchid dispute at an assisted living facility from a listener who is definitely not anyone on the production team. The hosts took it extremely seriously and provided the full legal analysis it deserved. ----more---- Hosted by Jason Sanjana [https://www.linkedin.com/in/jason-sanjana-a030a77b/] & Kevin Eckhardt [https://www.linkedin.com/in/kevin-eckhardt-26a955138/] Guest: Krishan Sutharshana [https://www.linkedin.com/in/krishan-sutharshana-cfa-48012836/] (Senior Distressed Debt Analyst, Octus) Produced and Edited by Tanya Hubbard [https://www.linkedin.com/in/tanya-hubbard/%20] A Production of The Octus Podcast Network
30 episodios
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