Major Gazer

Jupiter removes about a million asteroids from Earth's path

10 min · I går
episode Jupiter removes about a million asteroids from Earth's path cover

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Jupiter being Earth’s “guardian” is only half the story — the same gravity that carved the Kirkwood gaps can also shove asteroids into Earth-crossing orbits. Yes, it literally shredded Comet Shoemaker‑Levy 9 on camera in 1994 and likely helped drain the asteroid belt (Dawn data backs the long-term sculpting), but Jonathan Horner’s peer‑reviewed models say a smaller or differently placed Jupiter could mean fewer impacts on Earth. Between Grand Tack vs Nice model chaos and the messy Late Heavy Bombardment debate, Jupiter might be shield, threat, or both — and scientists still don’t agree which.

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episode NASA's playbook: what happens in the first 72 hours cover

NASA's playbook: what happens in the first 72 hours

Humanity’s closest thing to a first-contact plan is a few-page, non-binding SETI Post-Detection Protocol: verify the signal, tell the IAA/IAU and the UN Secretary-General, and don’t reply without “international consultation.” Problem: it’s basically a gentlemen’s agreement (Jill Tarter’s words), UNOOSA has no first-contact mandate, there’s no timeline, and nobody’s actually named as having authority to speak for Earth. Meanwhile the protocol mostly covers radio signals — not weird physical stuff like Oumuamua, which was spotted after it passed the Sun and sparked peer-reviewed debate (including Avi Loeb arguing an artificial origin couldn’t be ruled out). In 2026 terms, a private lab, company, or even a grad student could find something first and go public or transmit a message with zero legal barrier.

21. mai 202611 min