The Daily Discipline from Project MNDST

Episode 88: Survivorship Bias

2 min · 24. juni 2026
episode Episode 88: Survivorship Bias cover

Beskrivelse

Today's episode teaches survivorship bias — the perceptual error Abraham Wald famously exposed when he showed WWII military planners they were reinforcing the wrong parts of their bombers. The lesson is simple and powerful: the data you're missing often matters more than the data right in front of you. One small action to try today: take one strategy you're treating as proven and spend two minutes asking what the failures look like. Key Topics: survivorship bias, perception and clarity, mental models, decision-making, Abraham Wald, missing data, self-honesty Subscribe to The Daily Discipline for a daily reset on Clarity, one morning at a time.

Kommentarer

0

Vær den første til å kommentere

Registrer deg nå og bli medlem av The Daily Discipline from Project MNDST sitt community!

Prøv gratis

Prøv gratis i 14 dager

99 kr / Måned etter prøveperioden. · Avslutt når som helst.

  • Eksklusive podkaster
  • 20 timer lydbøker i måneden
  • Gratis podkaster

Alle episoder

97 Episoder

episode Episode 99: Satisficing: Why Good Enough Wins cover

Episode 99: Satisficing: Why Good Enough Wins

Today's episode teaches satisficing — the decision-making principle Herbert Simon introduced in the nineteen-fifties and Barry Schwartz later brought to life through his research on choice overload. The idea is simple and freeing: set a clear threshold, find the first option that clears it, and commit rather than endlessly searching for the perfect answer. Today's small action: before your next decision, write down the one or two criteria that would make a choice genuinely good enough — then commit to the first option that clears them. Key Topics: satisficing, maximizing, decision-making, Herbert Simon, Barry Schwartz, choice overload, bounded rationality, mental models Subscribe to The Daily Discipline for a daily reset on Clarity, one morning at a time.

15. juli 20263 min
episode Episode 95: Margin of Safety cover

Episode 95: Margin of Safety

Today's episode teaches Benjamin Graham's margin of safety — the principle that the gap between what something is worth and what you pay for it isn't just upside, it's protection against being wrong. Warren Buffett called it the three most important words in investing, but the idea works wherever forecasts meet reality: engineering, hiring, any decision made under uncertainty. The one action today is simple: take a decision you're working through and ask whether it still holds if your core assumption is twenty percent off. Key Topics: margin of safety, decision-making, mental models, Benjamin Graham, error management, judgment under uncertainty, risk and resilience Subscribe to The Daily Discipline for a daily reset on Clarity, one morning at a time.

9. juli 20262 min