Thinking Long & Short: An Investment Professionals Podcast

Q3 Wrap Up - The 2nd Worst Year for Investors Ever - EP 74

1 h 12 min · 2. okt. 2022
episode Q3 Wrap Up - The 2nd Worst Year for Investors Ever - EP 74 cover

Beskrivelse

- Stocks close the week with big losses to finish worst September for stocks since 2008 - Higher interest rates could cause a lost decade for stock and bond investors, 60/40 portfolio having second-worst year ever (1931) - Bank of England becomes first major central bank to pivot from its inflation fighting policies - The bond market will continue to drag the stock market down, Fed pivot becomes more imminent - The Fed has pricked the debt bubble it created in 2008, Financial Crisis close on the horizon - Inflation is only just getting started, input costs and slowing growth putting downward pressure on stocks - Stagflation will make stock and bond returns resemble the 1970s decade

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episode Wall Street Analysts Just Don't Get It - EP 76 cover

Wall Street Analysts Just Don't Get It - EP 76

- Stocks get clobbered on Friday to finish a very volatile week on Wall Street - CPI inflation data comes in twice as high as economists expected as Retail Sales data shows consumer continues to weaken with the economy - Cyclical and growth stocks continue to get hammered with interest rates and bond yields continuing to rise - US Dollar Index reaches new high on the year as investors blindly bet on more rate hikes / peak inflation - Tom Lee and CNBC analysts have been completely wrong on anything and everything in markets this year - Gold continues to outperform everything (S&P 500 / DOW / NASDAQ / Bonds / Bitcoin) as yellow metal flies below the radar - OPEC production cuts keep oil prices propped up amid recession fears  - Pepsi reports 17% Y-o-Y increase in product pricing as they beat earnings estimates along with JP Morgan, Wells Fargo - The Federal Reserve is behind the inflation curve more now than they were at the start of 2022

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