The PredictIt Podcast

Is Graham Platner Underpriced to Beat Collins in Maine?

35 min · 10. Juni 2026
Episode Is Graham Platner Underpriced to Beat Collins in Maine? Cover

Beschreibung

Graham Platner won the Maine Democratic primary last night with 77% of the vote — Is the Market Overreacting to the Platner Scandal? [https://substack.com/home/post/p-200529495] We broke down the thesis weeks ago: scandals with diminishing returns, outsider energy in a fighter's environment, and a Democratic electorate ready to act like toddlers when told who not to vote for. Democrats are now at 59¢ to beat Susan Collins in November. In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover: 00:00 — Trump at MSG: the booing, the suit, and what it tells you about the secret New Yorker 06:00 — California's two-week vote count: sus, legal, and a structural problem only one state has 10:00 — Maine Senate: Platner wins, thesis confirmed, Collins vs. the oyster farmer is on 18:00 — Why scandals with diminishing returns make Platner the Democrats' Trump 22:00 — Iran: Trump says "deal is close" 38 times, then fires again — and the market for that quote 25:00 — Inflation up most since April 2023: what it does to the Senate market at 64¢ for Republicans 27:00 — Texas Senate AI ad, Talarico shifts on trans surgery, Tarico vs. Cornyn tightening 29:00 — House market breakdown: Dems at 71¢, Senate at 40¢, or take the combo at 36¢? 31:00 — LA mayor runoff: Bass wins easy, Ramen too progressive even for LA, Spencer Pratt voters stay home 34:00 — World Cup picks: Jacob takes South Korea, Garth has a team in every group Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026 [https://bit.ly/predictit2026] PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics. Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial [https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial] X: https://x.com/PredictItPod [https://x.com/PredictItPod] #PredictionMarkets #GrahamPlatner #Maine2026

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31 Folgen

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Episode Is Graham Platner Underpriced to Beat Collins in Maine? Cover

Is Graham Platner Underpriced to Beat Collins in Maine?

Graham Platner won the Maine Democratic primary last night with 77% of the vote — Is the Market Overreacting to the Platner Scandal? [https://substack.com/home/post/p-200529495] We broke down the thesis weeks ago: scandals with diminishing returns, outsider energy in a fighter's environment, and a Democratic electorate ready to act like toddlers when told who not to vote for. Democrats are now at 59¢ to beat Susan Collins in November. In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover: 00:00 — Trump at MSG: the booing, the suit, and what it tells you about the secret New Yorker 06:00 — California's two-week vote count: sus, legal, and a structural problem only one state has 10:00 — Maine Senate: Platner wins, thesis confirmed, Collins vs. the oyster farmer is on 18:00 — Why scandals with diminishing returns make Platner the Democrats' Trump 22:00 — Iran: Trump says "deal is close" 38 times, then fires again — and the market for that quote 25:00 — Inflation up most since April 2023: what it does to the Senate market at 64¢ for Republicans 27:00 — Texas Senate AI ad, Talarico shifts on trans surgery, Tarico vs. Cornyn tightening 29:00 — House market breakdown: Dems at 71¢, Senate at 40¢, or take the combo at 36¢? 31:00 — LA mayor runoff: Bass wins easy, Ramen too progressive even for LA, Spencer Pratt voters stay home 34:00 — World Cup picks: Jacob takes South Korea, Garth has a team in every group Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026 [https://bit.ly/predictit2026] PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics. Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial [https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial] X: https://x.com/PredictItPod [https://x.com/PredictItPod] #PredictionMarkets #GrahamPlatner #Maine2026

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