Bitcoin Isn't Broken, You Just Forgot What A Bear Market Feels Like

Bitcoin Isn't Broken, You Just Forgot What A Bear Market Feels Like

We discuss Bitcoin's decline and what it would actually take for us to retire Astraeus, making the case that this is a weak consumer story tied to who sits inside the AI CapEx flywheel rather than a reason to abandon the model, and we cover the labor market, the personal savings rate, and the quantum overhang along the way. We close on the SpaceX IPO, breaking down the low float dynamics, the Nasdaq fast track versus S&P 500 exclusion, and why we think retail buying the open is carrying most of the risk here.Learn More: www.market-radar.comEpisode 218

Are You Getting Left Behind in This AI Stock Market?

This week we dig into the enterprise stimulus flywheel carrying the market, the loop of AI capex and private capital that has memory names like Micron printing record income while the consumer never sees a dollar of it. We also break down where the regime is drifting as growth turns up and inflation rolls over, and why we think a Fed hike into an energy-driven CPI pop would be the wrong call.Learn More: www.market-radar.comEpisode 217

Before SpaceX IPOs, Watch This

The upcoming SpaceX IPO is set to impact the stock market significantly, especially with its potential for Nasdaq 100 inclusion. This move, spearheaded by Elon Musk, requires investors to understand the immediate implications for passive flows. This financial event is a sensitive point amidst current AI market hype, highlighting the importance of understanding innovation in today's financial markets. Learn More: www.market-radar.com Episode 216

The Market's at an Inflection Point (Here's What Happens)

We break down the AI bubble debate and why the dot-com comparison misses how this cycle could shift from semis to real-world applications and robotics. Bitcoin is consolidating above MidVAMP and Momo, but we're sitting on hands until the trend flips bullish and completes the trifecta with tech, industrials, and oil. Growth is falling faster than inflation, putting us close to guarded inflation, we go over the implications of that.Learn More: www.market-radar.comEpisode 215

The Market Signal That Should Concern Bulls Right Now

We get into why the Nasdaq looks stretched short term but isn't parabolic on the longer view, where Bitcoin sits now that it's finally flipped above Momo, and why the financials lag is the confirmation signal we're watching underneath all this AI strength. We also break down the inflation regime risk going into next week's CPI and jobs prints, and what the portfolio does if growth rolls over and pushes us into Guarded.Learn More: www.market-radar.comEpisode 214