Anatomy of a Recession: Are Current Strong Earnings a Bubble?

Anatomy of a Recession: Are Current Strong Earnings a Bubble?

Jeff Schulze, Head of Economic and Market Strategy at ClearBridge Investments, tells us that the US economy is holding firm, with recession risk at just 20%, a strengthening labor market, and resilient consumer spending. He goes on to discuss stronger-than-expected earnings, the AI capex surge, a genuine industrial cycle, and what a new Fed Chair means for markets.

Still Early Innings for Artificial Intelligence

Description (used on blogs & websites):In this episode of Talking Markets with Franklin Templeton, host John Przygocki sits down with Chris Galipeau, Head Market Strategist at the Franklin Templeton Institute, and Putnam Investments portfolio managers Andy O'Brien and Bobby Gray to explore artificial intelligence through the lens of professional investors. What's driving the urgency behind unprecedented AI capital spending? Will hyperscalers earn a return on their massive investments? How is the infrastructure buildout broadening beyond Nvidia GPUs? The guests also examine emerging use cases across enterprise and consumer markets and debate how early we are in this technological cycle.

Anatomy of a Recession: Two Macro Economic Risks Fading

Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments explains to host John Przygocki why he maintains a constructive outlook for the US economy, putting the odds of recession in the next 12 months at just 20%. Touching on the potential inflation implications of June's jobs report and falling oil prices, Schulze also examines shifting stock-bond correlations and argues that current S&P 500 valuations, while elevated, are supported by strong earnings. He believes that, while we may see volatility this midterm election year, the fundamental backdrop remains supportive for equities in the second half of 2026.

Anatomy of a Recession Update: Resilience

Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments joins host John Przygocki to discuss US economic resilience amid Middle East energy disruptions. With 11 of 12 of his Recession Risk Dashboard indicators now green, Schulze highlights a strong labor market, durable consumer spending, and a CapEx cycle broadening that extends well beyond AI. He views the economy as mid-cycle, remains constructive on US equities, and sees compelling opportunity in emerging markets.

Anatomy of a Recession Update: Jevons paradox predicts no AI "job apocalypse"

Jeff Schulze of ClearBridge Investments joins host John Przygocki to assess the health of the US economy. He points to a resilient Q1 GDP reading, strong jobs data and earnings growth in estimating a 30% recession probability. He cites the Jevons paradox to explain why he doesn't fear an AI "job apocalypse." And he remains bullish on US equities despite Middle East uncertainty and inflation worries.