The Archive: Crypto, Startups, and Stories
In this episode, we sat down with Ivo, the co-founder of Pascal, a new prediction markets venue. We started off by discussing the state of prediction markets today and why existing venues are still far from the reliability, performance, and capital efficiency of mature exchanges. We also cover how prediction markets could evolve from gambling-adjacent products into tools for real risk transfer and how Pascal’s OTC desk will play a role in this. Lastly, we dig into Ivo’s time at dYdX, the role of small specialist trading firms in new markets, and how Pascal is building toward becoming a major venue for price discovery. ----- Altitude – the global business account with stablecoin and fiat bank transfers, free on-and off-ramps, 5% APY, corporate cards, bill pay, and more. ------ Questions or feedback? Email us at archivepodcasthost@gmail.com Website: https://thearchivepod.com Twitter: https://x.com/Archive_Pod ------ Timestamps (0:00) Intro (1:10) Intro and the state of prediction markets today (4:44) Prediction markets for real risk transfer (15:07) Event contracts are capital inefficient (18:46) The story behind Pascal (21:58) The different players trading on prediction markets (32:16) The life cycle of new markets (38:23) Pascal's OTC desk (44:25) Meeting Matt at dYdX and learnings from working there (51:24) the dYdX mafia (54:16) Pascal's roadmap
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