A Break Down on July 4th, SCOTUS, and MN Election Tensions

A Break Down on July 4th, SCOTUS, and MN Election Tensions

Becky Scherr [https://x.com/aleryrl] and Michael Brodkorb [https://x.com/mbrodkorb]return after a week off to discuss Independence Day traditions and 250th-anniversary fun facts, then break down the controversy over competing Washington, D.C. events branded “America 250” and the Trump White House “Freedom 250,” including artist withdrawals and dueling fireworks and concerts. They review a series of end-of-term Supreme Court decisions: striking down Trump’s birthright citizenship executive order 6-3 with cross-ideological votes, upholding state bans on transgender women and girls in girls’ sports 6-3, striking down limits on party-candidate coordination spending, and rulings on presidential removal power for independent agencies while blocking Trump’s attempt to remove a Federal Reserve governor. Becky and Michael then react to reports that MN GOP endorsed gubernatorial ticket member Brian Nicholson was on Capitol grounds on January 6, 2021, and debate the political implications for the ticket and the broader Republican primary. The episode closes with concerns about reduced federal coordination with Minnesota election officials and a note on an audit finding Minnesota’s voter registration system generally secure. 00:00 — Show Intro, Agenda, and Fourth of July Traditions: Opening remarks, Independence Day traditions, fireworks and family life, and a round of 250th-anniversary fun facts. 16:05 — America 250 vs. Freedom 250 and the Push for National Unity: A breakdown of the competing Washington, D.C. celebration events, artist withdrawals, dueling fireworks and concerts, and a broader reflection on the desire for national unity. 24:42 — Supreme Court Term Recap: Birthright, Trans Sports, and Court Legacy: A review of major end-of-term SCOTUS decisions, including the birthright citizenship ruling, the cross-ideological 6-3 vote, Trump’s court legacy, DACA stakes, and the transgender sports ruling. 36:33 — Money, Parties, Agency Power, and Historians on Trump: The ruling striking down limits on party-candidate coordination spending; presidential removal power fights over independent agencies; blocking Trump’s attempt to remove a Federal Reserve governor; and historians’ assessments of Trump. 44:10 — Qualls Running Mate and the Nicholson Jan. 6 Fallout: A breakdown of the Kendall Qualls running-mate situation, reactions to reports that MN GOP-endorsed gubernatorial-ticket member Brian Nicholson was on Capitol grounds on January 6, 2021, and the political implications for the ticket. 57:24 — Election Security Rift and Minnesota’s Voter Registration Audit: Concerns about reduced federal coordination with Minnesota election officials and an audit finding that Minnesota’s voter registration system is generally secure. 01:08:39 — Podcast Disclosures, Thanks, and Wrap-up: Life and work disclosures and a thank-you from Michael. The Break Down with Brodkorb and Becky [https://bbbreakpod.com/] will return with a new episode next week! Get full access to On The Record with Michael Brodkorb at michaelbrodkorb.substack.com/subscribe [https://michaelbrodkorb.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_4]

A Break Down on Primary Polls and the Money Race

Becky Scherr [https://x.com/aleryrl] and Michael [https://x.com/mbrodkorb]Brodkorb  [https://x.com/mbrodkorb]return after a week off and reflect on the June 14th anniversary of the assassination of Speaker Emerita Melissa Hortman and her husband, discussing tributes, the removal of public officials’ home addresses from campaign finance records, new safety-related rule accommodations, and the balance with residency verification. They preview early voting ahead of the Aug. 11 primary and break down recent KSTP/SurveyUSA primary polling [https://kstp.com/kstp-news/top-news/kstp-surveyusa-poll-lindell-leads-gop-governor-race-tafoya-craig-up-in-senate-primaries/] and a Star Tribune/KARE 11/UMN Mason-Dixon general-election poll [https://www.startribune.com/minnesota-poll-klobuchar-leads-all-gop-candidates-for-governor/601850018?utm_source=gift], including name ID dynamics, undecideds, suburban battleground trends, Walz’s approval decline, and issue priorities led by inflation and fraud. Michael and Becky then analyze campaign finance filings, highlighting Klobuchar’s fundraising edge, GOP gubernatorial candidates’ cash positions, legislative caucus totals, and the Ellison/Schutz AG race. The episode closes with reactions to the first Craig/Flanagan Almanac debate, especially on fraud accountability. 00:00 — Welcome, Episode Preview, Life Updates, and the Hortman Tribute: Opening remarks, birthday chaos, a DIY home improvement detour, and a tribute to Speaker Emerita Melissa Hortman and the safety changes that followed the assassination. 13:20 — GOP Primary Poll Breakdown and the Three-Way Race:Early voting kicks off the election season, a breakdown of the latest GOP primary polling, name ID dynamics, and what a three-way race means for the field. 28:05 — DFL Primary Poll Surprises and the Fraud Factor:Unexpected DFL primary poll findings, the attorney general race and its connection to the fraud issue, and what the numbers reveal about voter priorities. 33:39 — General Election Poll, Optimism, and the Suburban Battleground: A look at general election polling, Republican optimism, the generic Senate ballot, and why the suburbs remain the deciding factor in statewide races. 44:49 — Craig vs. Flanagan, Walz’s Approval Slide, and Top Issues:A comparison of Rep. Angie Craig and Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan’s relative strengths, Gov. Tim Walz’s slipping approval numbers, fraud as the dominant voter concern, and the flag backlash poll. 56:47 — Money Race: Klobuchar’s Edge, GOP Cash Crunch, and Lindell’s Oddities: Sen. Amy Klobuchar’s fundraising advantage, the GOP governor field’s cash problems, Mike Lindell’s unusual spending patterns, and Lisa Demuth’s outside spending picture. 01:13:23 — Legislature Money Streetfight and the AG Race:A breakdown of the legislative money battles and what funding trends in the attorney general’s race signal about the broader election landscape. 01:20:43 — Craig vs. Flanagan Debate Review and Wrap Up:A review of the Craig-Flanagan debate, final takeaways, and a preview of what’s ahead next week. The Break Down with Brodkorb and Becky [https://bbbreakpod.com/] will return with a new episode next week! Get full access to On The Record with Michael Brodkorb at michaelbrodkorb.substack.com/subscribe [https://michaelbrodkorb.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_4]

A Break Down with Pat Garofalo and the Craig-Flanagan Ad War

Becky Scherr [https://x.com/aleryrl] and Michael Brodkorb [https://x.com/mbrodkorb] open with an update ahead of the first anniversary of Speaker Melissa Hortman’s assassination, noting Vance Bolter’s guilty plea and a reported deal to avoid the death penalty in exchange for two consecutive life sentences plus 40 years in federal prison. They are then joined by former Minnesota Rep. Pat Garofalo, now a Star Tribune contributing columnist, to discuss his debut piece “Minnesota, I Love You, But You’ve Gone Astray. [https://www.startribune.com/mn-waste-fraud-government-spending-social-services/601854604?utm_source=gift]” Garofalo argues the state has followed blue-state policy models, overspent following the 2023-24 DFL trifecta, and lost its cooperative political culture. He calls for divided government, stronger leadership, and greater accountability after years of fraud. He cites permitting delays and structural flaws in paid family leave as examples of policy gone wrong. The episode closes with a breakdown of Democratic U.S. Senate primary tensions, including Tom Emmer’s tweet about Angie Craig, pro-Flanagan and pro-Craig ad volleys, and what the infighting means for the general election. 00:00 — Welcome, Episode Preview, and the Hortman Anniversary: Opening remarks and a somber update ahead of the first anniversary of Speaker Melissa Hortman’s assassination attempt, including Vance Bolter’s guilty plea and sentencing deal. 02:20 — Welcome Pat Garofalo and Inside His Star Tribune Column: An introduction to former Rep. Pat Garofalo’s debut Star Tribune column, the argument that Minnesota has gone astray, and the spending and cultural shift that followed the 2023-24 DFL trifecta. 10:43 — Fraud Fallout, Accountability, and the Case for Divided Government: How years of fraud and overspending have eroded voter trust, why Garofalo argues divided government is the answer, and the shift from an honor system to meaningful accountability. 15:07 — Paid Leave, Permitting, and Pipeline Delays: A common-sense critique of paid family leave’s structural flaws, permitting and mining bottlenecks, and the real economic costs of pipeline delays. 26:23 — GOP Primary Dynamics and Minnesota’s Political Tradition: Voter decision-making, GOP primary stakes, turnout and extremes, national warning signs, and what a reset of Minnesota’s cooperative political tradition could look like. 31:29 — Hortman’s Legacy and Hosts React to Garofalo: A reflection on the political violence legacy of the Hortman assassination attempt, followed by Becky and Michael’s reaction to Garofalo’s column and interview. 37:48 — Emmer Hugs Craig and the Flanagan vs. Craig Ad War: An analysis of Tom Emmer’s tweet about Angie Craig, the pro-Flanagan and pro-Craig ad volleys, and what the infighting reveals about the DFL Senate primary. 53:08 — Primary Outlook and Wrap Up: A final assessment of where the DFL Senate primary stands and closing thoughts from the hosts. The Break Down with Brodkorb and Becky [https://bbbreakpod.com/] will return with a new episode next week! Get full access to On The Record with Michael Brodkorb at michaelbrodkorb.substack.com/subscribe [https://michaelbrodkorb.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_4]

A Break Down on the GOP's Post-Convention Chaos

Becky Scherr [https://x.com/aleryrl] and Michael Brodkorb [https://x.com/mbrodkorb] are joined by GOP strategist Preya Samsundar [https://x.com/psamsundar] to break down the MN DFL and GOP state conventions. They recap Senator Amy Klobuchar’s first-ballot DFL Senate endorsement and discuss the DFL’s comparatively quiet governor and U.S. Senate activity, including Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan’s endorsement push. The focus shifts to the chaotic MN GOP convention: Adam Schwarze wins the Senate endorsement on the sixth ballot, while the governor endorsement stretches to 10 ballots with a voting anomaly, a revote, and a prolonged delay before Kendall Qualls secures the endorsement. Becky, Michael, and Preya debate whether the anomalies mattered, criticize party communications and Republican Party of Minnesota Chairman Alex Plechash’s statement suggesting candidates need not abide by endorsements, discuss the postponed Lincoln Reagan Dinner, and assess Speaker Lisa Demuth’s decision to run in the primary and the broader impact on party unity and election-integrity narratives. 00:00 — Welcome, Episode Preview, and DFL Convention Recap: Opening remarks, an introduction to guest Preya Samsundar, and a recap of the DFL convention including Klobuchar’s first-ballot Senate endorsement and updates on the governor and lieutenant governor races. 07:17 — GOP Senate Endorsement: Why Delegates Picked Schwarze: How the GOP convention opened, why delegates moved to Adam Schwarze over Royce White and Michele Tafoya, and what the sixth-ballot outcome reveals about the field. 11:19 — Governor Endorsement Timeline and Clicker Chaos: A breakdown of the 10-ballot governor endorsement, a clicker malfunction and a voting anomaly, the revote drama, and the prolonged delay before Kendall Qualls secured the endorsement. 18:41 — Debating What Really Happened: A detailed debate over the anomalies, election integrity concerns, delegate dynamics, and what the voting irregularities mean for the party’s credibility on fraud and election issues. 42:00 — Chair Statement Fallout and Communication Meltdown: Criticism of Republican Party of Minnesota Chairman Alex Plechash’s statement suggesting candidates need not abide by endorsements, the breakdown in party communications, and the dispute between the chair and executive committee. 50:58 — Lincoln Reagan Dinner Rumors and Demuth Goes Primary: The postponed Lincoln Reagan Dinner and what it signals, followed by a breakdown of Speaker Lisa Demuth’s decision to bypass the endorsement and run in the primary. 59:16 — Endorsement Process Debate, Gaslighting, and Momentum vs. Conspiracy: A broader debate over the endorsement process, criticism of denialism and gaslighting around the clicker controversy, and whether the party can channel the convention’s energy rather than conspiracy. 01:21:04 — Primary Fallout, Fixing a Broken Party, and Wrap Up: The messaging implications of the primary fallout, what it will take to repair party unity, and closing thoughts from the hosts and Preya Samsundar. The Break Down with Brodkorb and Becky [https://bbbreakpod.com/] will return with a new episode next week! Get full access to On The Record with Michael Brodkorb at michaelbrodkorb.substack.com/subscribe [https://michaelbrodkorb.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_4]

A Break Down on the GOP and DFL Conventions

Becky Scherr [https://x.com/aleryrl] and Michael Brodkorb [https://x.com/mbrodkorb] are joined by DFL strategist Will Davis [https://team-arc.com/team/william-davis/] to preview Minnesota’s GOP convention in Duluth and the DFL convention in Rochester, offering predictions on endorsements, ballot counts, and potential fireworks. They discuss the MN GOP governor’s race, including the field of Lisa Demuth, Kendall Qualls, Mike Lindell, and Patrick Knight; Lindell's residency questions; possible running-mate scenarios; whether a late Trump endorsement could reshape the race; and expected disputes over using clickers versus paper ballots. For the GOP U.S. Senate endorsement, the hosts predict Adam Schwarze over Michele Tafoya and Royce White and briefly touch on the auditor’s contest. On the DFL side, they expect Amy Klobuchar to be endorsed for governor, note that Tim Walz is skipping the convention, and react to Angie Craig skipping the Senate endorsement as delegates align behind Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, with platform fights as the likeliest DFL flashpoint. 00:00 — Welcome, Convention Preview, and Why It Matters: Opening remarks, an introduction to guest Will Davis, and a breakdown of why conventions matter and how DFL and GOP convention cultures differ. 04:55 — The GOP Governor’s Field and Endorsement Forecast: An overview of the Republican governor’s race, who is likely to get endorsed, Lindell’s residency questions, and running-mate rumors. 18:45 — The Trump Endorsement Wildcard and Ballot Rules: Whether a late Trump endorsement could reshape the GOP governor’s race, plus a breakdown of ballot rules, the clicker versus paper ballot dispute, and source code conspiracy talk. 32:01 — GOP Senate Endorsement: Tafoya vs. Schwarze: How convention clickers work, a detailed breakdown of the Tafoya versus Schwarze matchup, and predictions for the GOP auditor race. 40:46 — Walz Skips the DFL Convention: Why Tim Walz is sitting out the DFL convention, what it signals, and the broader implications for the party heading into the fall. 45:27 — Klobuchar, the LG Pick, and Angie Craig’s Decision: Grumbling about Klobuchar within the DFL, lieutenant governor pick scenarios, and reaction to Angie Craig skipping the Senate endorsement. 55:46 — DFL Platform Fight, Final Watchlist and Wrap-up: The likeliest DFL flashpoint heading into Rochester and a final convention weekend watchlist for both parties. Wrap-up and closing remarks from the hosts and Will Davis. The Break Down with Brodkorb and Becky [https://bbbreakpod.com/] will return with a new episode next week! Get full access to On The Record with Michael Brodkorb at michaelbrodkorb.substack.com/subscribe [https://michaelbrodkorb.substack.com/subscribe?utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=CTA_4]