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The PredictIt Podcast

Podcast af PredictIt

engelsk

Nyheder & politik

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Læs mere The PredictIt Podcast

We're analyzing prediction markets on PredictIt every week - discussing the news, what's on the horizon, market dynamics and value in every opportunity. Hosted by Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem, two prediction market veterans and politics enthusiasts, we'll provide a non-partisan, strictly business perspective on PredictIt's available markets, contracts, prices and traders. Listen to the PredictIt Podcast for the best prediction market analysis available in podcast form!

Alle episoder

31 episoder

episode Iran Deal Done. Gas Prices Down. Is the GOP Back? cover

Iran Deal Done. Gas Prices Down. Is the GOP Back?

For the first time since Venezuela, Republicans have real momentum — and it came from three places at once: an Iran deal signed in Geneva, gas prices falling week over week, and UFC 250 entering through the Oval Office. Democrats are still at 71¢ to take the House, but the environment is tightening. In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover: 00:00 — Knicks win, Trump's off the hook? The White House visit debate 04:30 — Herschel Walker, Bahamas safety alerts, and jet ski diplomacy 07:00 — Georgia runoff results: Ossoff cruises to 88¢, governor race hits 52-49 10:00 — UFC at the White House: effective propaganda or birthday party? 13:00 — Iran deal: what we know, what Bloomberg leaked, and why it's still a win regardless 17:00 — Gas prices down three weeks straight — Trump claims victory he may have earned 19:00 — Trump's approval bounces, generic ballot narrows: what prediction markets say 21:00 — NY-12: Lasher 63¢, Boris 34¢, the establishment machine takes over 25:00 — Brad Lander at 97¢, NY-7 Valdez vs. Reynoso — Jacob likes Reynoso at 49¢ Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026 [https://bit.ly/predictit2026] PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics. Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial [https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial] X: https://x.com/PredictItPod [https://x.com/PredictItPod] #PredictionMarkets #IranDeal #2026Midterms

17. juni 2026 - 23 min
episode Is Graham Platner Underpriced to Beat Collins in Maine? cover

Is Graham Platner Underpriced to Beat Collins in Maine?

Graham Platner won the Maine Democratic primary last night with 77% of the vote — Is the Market Overreacting to the Platner Scandal? [https://substack.com/home/post/p-200529495] We broke down the thesis weeks ago: scandals with diminishing returns, outsider energy in a fighter's environment, and a Democratic electorate ready to act like toddlers when told who not to vote for. Democrats are now at 59¢ to beat Susan Collins in November. In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell and Garth Juckem cover: 00:00 — Trump at MSG: the booing, the suit, and what it tells you about the secret New Yorker 06:00 — California's two-week vote count: sus, legal, and a structural problem only one state has 10:00 — Maine Senate: Platner wins, thesis confirmed, Collins vs. the oyster farmer is on 18:00 — Why scandals with diminishing returns make Platner the Democrats' Trump 22:00 — Iran: Trump says "deal is close" 38 times, then fires again — and the market for that quote 25:00 — Inflation up most since April 2023: what it does to the Senate market at 64¢ for Republicans 27:00 — Texas Senate AI ad, Talarico shifts on trans surgery, Tarico vs. Cornyn tightening 29:00 — House market breakdown: Dems at 71¢, Senate at 40¢, or take the combo at 36¢? 31:00 — LA mayor runoff: Bass wins easy, Ramen too progressive even for LA, Spencer Pratt voters stay home 34:00 — World Cup picks: Jacob takes South Korea, Garth has a team in every group Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026 [https://bit.ly/predictit2026] PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics. Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial [https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial] X: https://x.com/PredictItPod [https://x.com/PredictItPod] #PredictionMarkets #GrahamPlatner #Maine2026

10. juni 2026 - 35 min
episode AI, Aliens, and the Age of Aquarius with Dr. Laurence Hillman (Part 2) cover

AI, Aliens, and the Age of Aquarius with Dr. Laurence Hillman (Part 2)

An astrologer's archetypal forecast for 2026... without making a single prediction. Dr. Laurence Hillman returns for Part 2 with his most provocative takes: AI acceleration, alien disclosure, the Leo-Aquarius tension defining our era, and why "expect the unexpected" isn't a joke right now: 00:00 — How archetypes shape entire electorates: post-war America vs. now 06:00 — The three archetypes America has lost: nurture, real dreamer, and sovereignty 11:00 — The Age of Aquarius: what the Leo-Aquarius tension means for politics 18:00 — Uranus in Gemini: why 2026 is particularly unpredictable 22:00 — AI, decentralization, and nervous system exhaustion 27:00 — Alien disclosure and the collective consciousness shift 32:00 — Discernment as the most important skill for 2026 and beyond 36:00 — "I wouldn't bet a cent on the future" Watch Part 1: https://youtu.be/4pnS6H0dlc8?si=pjPTyOLyp67XEkzE [https://youtu.be/4pnS6H0dlc8?si=pjPTyOLyp67XEkzE] Trade 2026 political markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026 [https://bit.ly/predictit2026] Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial [https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial] X: https://x.com/PredictItPod [https://x.com/PredictItPod] #PredictionMarkets #AgeOfAquarius #Astrology2026

3. juni 2026 - 18 min
episode Archetypal Astrology and Trump with Dr. Laurence Hillman (Part 1) cover

Archetypal Astrology and Trump with Dr. Laurence Hillman (Part 1)

Can astrology predict political outcomes — or is it something else entirely? Dr. Laurence Hillman, one of the world's leading archetypal astrologers, argues it's neither prediction nor superstition. It's pattern recognition for time itself. In Part 1, Jacob Studwell talks with Dr. Hillman about: * 00:00 Introduction to Archetypal Astrology * 08:56 Evolution of Archetypal Astrology * 17:08 Understanding Archetypes in Public Figures * 24:18 Forecasting and Imagination in Leadership Trade 2026 political markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026 [https://bit.ly/predictit2026] Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial [https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial] X: https://x.com/PredictItPod [https://x.com/PredictItPod] #PredictionMarkets #Astrology2026 #Astrology

27. maj 2026 - 28 min
episode The PredictIt Podcast From Peru! cover

The PredictIt Podcast From Peru!

We called Kevin Warsh at 54 votes. It came in 54-45 — the closest Fed chair confirmation in modern history. The contract was trading at 3¢ the day before. If you're not listening, you're leaving money on the table. In this episode of The PredictIt Podcast, Jacob Studwell (reporting live from Peru) and Garth Juckem cover: 00:00 — PredictIt Pod dispatches from Peru: Lima, Paracas, bird islands 03:30 — Warsh confirmed 54-45: we called it, here's what it means for rates 07:00 — Trump in Beijing with Xi: Art of the Deal or genuine pivot on China? 10:00 — War powers vote: 212-212 tie, Jared Golden's deal, and what happens next 14:30 — Gas tax holiday: inevitable or does a hot stock market kill it? 17:00 — Fed rate hike incoming? How Warsh's first meeting on June 16 changes everything 19:30 — War powers at 11¢ in the House — is this a buy? 22:00 — Switching to Wednesdays after Memorial Day + astrology episode preview Trade these markets on PredictIt: https://bit.ly/predictit2026 [https://bit.ly/predictit2026] PredictIt is a real-money prediction market for U.S. politics. Real markets, real money, individual position limits that protect market integrity. Subscribe: https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial [https://youtube.com/@PredictItOfficial] X: https://x.com/PredictItPod [https://x.com/PredictItPod] #PredictionMarkets #KevinWarsh #FedChair

18. maj 2026 - 21 min
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