Benoist Rousseau — Trader, CME member, economic history specialist trained at the Sorbonne — Stocks, Trading, Economy • EN

Trading: Hope for an Iran-US deal, a risky bet before the weekend

Trading and financial markets under pressure: I review the Washington-Tehran standoff following the Iranian uranium decree, and its cascading effects on Brent crude, inflation, and long-term rates (US 10-year near 4.60%). Wall Street closed in the red while Tokyo surged, also driven by the digestion of Nvidia. I explain why major decisions often drop when markets are closed, and why the optimism of indices (CAC 40 above 8,000) warrants caution. Subscribe if this helps. Sign up for the newsletter and receive a $100 USD gift token 👉 https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/news/ [https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/news/] 30+ years of trading, 25+ years of teaching, a rare dual experience at your service. 👉 https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/ [https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/] Benoist Rousseau Independent Trader • CME & CBOT Member About the author Benoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator. In the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning. Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy [https://ausha.co/privacy-policy] for more information.

Nvidia Earnings: The Real Danger is Interest Rates

Nvidia earnings beat the consensus, yet US futures remain slightly in the red: I break down this “buy the rumor, sell the news” scenario. The real issue here is interest rates: the 10-year at 4.68 and 30-year at 5.19, a bond pressure that heavily weighs on market valuations. We take a tour of the Asian markets (Kospi, Nikkei, Samsung, Softbank), followed by the CAC 40 and DAX with their monthly pivot points. Finally, a quick word on dropping WTI amid Washington-Tehran discussions. Subscribe if it helps. Sign up for the newsletter and receive a $100 USD gift token 👉 https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/news/ [https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/news/] 30+ years of trading, 25+ years of teaching, a rare dual experience at your service. 👉 https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/ [https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/] Benoist Rousseau Independent Trader • CME & CBOT Member About the author Benoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator. In the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning. Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy [https://ausha.co/privacy-policy] for more information.

Nvidia earnings at 10 PM: a high-tension trading day

Nvidia earnings in the crosshairs: I recount this "high-tension" day with Wall Street in the red, long-term rates at a peak (30-year yield close to 5.19%), and a market holding its breath before 10 PM. I look back at the Nasdaq, this monthly support hit in the middle of the night, and the idea of avoiding last-minute bets. To explain the risks on Nvidia's side, I use the analogy of a restaurant: the demand is there, but the "tables" are missing, just like DRAM and production constraints. A concrete trading episode, without the drama. Subscribe if this helps. Sign up for the newsletter and receive a $100 USD gift token 👉 https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/news/ [https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/news/] 30+ years of trading, 25+ years of teaching, a rare dual experience at your service. 👉 https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/ [https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/] Benoist Rousseau Independent Trader • CME & CBOT Member About the author Benoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator. In the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning. Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy [https://ausha.co/privacy-policy] for more information.

Financial markets: bonds dictate the law, not tech

Financial markets are under intense pressure. In this episode, I explain why the Nasdaq 100 has suffered significantly more than the Dow Jones, with the S&P 500 acting as a referee. The core issue lies in the heavy impact of US interest rates—with the 10-year Treasury yield around 4.13% and the 30-year near 5.13%—and how American bonds weigh on AI stocks, which must borrow constantly to maintain their pace. I also cover WTI crude oil trading above $100, the geopolitical rumors regarding Iran that briefly supported the CAC 40 index, and the current overall environment of severe market volatility: “we are truly on a minefield”. Subscribe if it helps. Sign up for the newsletter and receive a $100 USD gift token 👉 https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/news/ [https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/news/] 30+ years of trading, 25+ years of teaching, a rare dual experience at your service. 👉 https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/ [https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/] Benoist Rousseau Independent Trader • CME & CBOT Member About the author Benoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator. In the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning. Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy [https://ausha.co/privacy-policy] for more information.

Morning Trading: China, Oil, and Key Levels on CAC, DAX, Dow, Nasdaq

Morning trading in checklist mode: I start with the economic calendar (few figures, including the New York Fed), then I review Asia with very weak Chinese statistics. Next, an overview of the indices: CAC 40 and DAX in the red, followed by the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq after a historical record and +25% in 6 weeks, weighing the idea of profit-taking. I emphasize technical analysis benchmarks (monthly resistance, monthly pivot point), and note Bitcoin in a range and WTI crude oil around $100. Subscribe if this helps. Sign up for the newsletter and receive a $100 USD gift token 👉 https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/news/ [https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/news/] 30+ years of trading, 25+ years of teaching, a rare dual experience at your service. 👉 https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/ [https://www.benoistrousseau.com/en/] Benoist Rousseau Independent Trader • CME & CBOT Member About the author Benoist Rousseau is a trader, member of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), an economic history specialist educated at the Sorbonne and an experienced educator. In the GOOD MORNING TRADING series, with over 30 years of experience, he shares his independent analysis of global financial news every morning. Hosted on Ausha. See ausha.co/privacy-policy [https://ausha.co/privacy-policy] for more information.