Books Don't Bet, They Match

Books Don't Bet, They Match

Send us Fan Mail [https://www.buzzsprout.com/2186249/fan_mail/new] We break down how sportsbooks function as brokers that match contracts, set prices through the point spread, and earn their living through the vig. Kevin Braig joins us to explain how law, technology, and property rights shape whether sports betting markets stay clean or slide toward corruption and bad incentives. • five reasons people gamble, from dopamine to positive skewness • what a sports bet is as a contract and why a book exists as a broker • how the 11-to-10 price and the vig work in practice • why point spreads are a pricing technology and a marketing tool • how street-level enforcement and local political capture governed bookmaking • why Nevada legalized betting and how phones and smartphones changed everything • the Coasean case for clearly assigned property rights between leagues and books • how prop bets and inside information can erode trust in games • why extreme taxes and licensing fees raise transaction costs and distort markets Judge Kevin Braig's book, "Bookmakers vs. Ballowners [https://www.amazon.com/Bookmakers-Ball-Owners-Demolition-Bookmaking/dp/B0D79HT2N1]" RH Coase, "The Problem of Social Cost [https://www.law.uchicago.edu/lawecon/coaseinmemoriam/problemofsocialcost]" Gustavo Dudamel's opera, "Wealth of Nations [https://www.nyphil.org/concerts-tickets/2526/dudamel-and-david-langs-the-wealth-of-nations/]" IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS, OR WANT TO SUGGEST A FUTURE TOPIC, EMAIL THE SHOW AT TAITC.EMAIL@GMAIL.COM [taitc.email@gmail.com] ! You can follow Mike Munger on Twitter at @mungowitz  [https://twitter.com/mungowitz]

Hereditary Monarchy: At Least You Know Which Idiot Is Next

Send us Fan Mail [https://www.buzzsprout.com/2186249/fan_mail/new] Hereditary monarchy seems like a ridiculous way to pick a leader, yet it dominates most of human political history. We argue the reason is transaction costs: succession systems survive when they settle “who rules next” cheaply enough to prevent recurring civil war.  • Why hereditary monarchy is historically prevalent compared with democracy and universal suffrage  • Why “divine right” stories often rationalize a choice people already find tolerable  • Thomas Paine’s critique of hereditary succession and what it misses  • Hobbes on the state of nature as what happens when sovereignty is contested  • Succession as the master coordination problem of political order  • Transaction costs applied to elections, enforcement, legitimacy, and rent seeking  • Why elective monarchy can become an armed auction for total power  • Bright line rules versus discretionary selection and why speed can beat “better”  • How constitutional design lowers the cost of leadership transition when it works  • The legitimacy problem and why dynasties converge on endogamy  • The genetic consequences of endogamy and the Habsburg cautionary tale  • Twedges, book recommendation, and a listener letter on board game “math trades”  LINKS: Thomas Paine, Common Sense, February 1776 [https://www.gutenberg.org/files/147/147-h/147-h.htm] Michael Munger, The Ugly Pig, 20224 [https://www.econlib.org/library/columns/y2024/mungercapitalism.html] A.P. Martinich, Thomas Hobbes:  A Biography, 1999 [https://www.amazon.com/Hobbes-Biography-P-Martinich/dp/0521495830]. Thomas Hobbes, Leviathan, 1651. [https://www.gutenberg.org/files/3207/3207-h/3207-h.htm] Neal Schultz, Suicide Kings: Hereditary Monarchy, 2025 [https://substack.com/home/post/p-167221802] Tbadel Barter App [https://www.tbadelapp.com/] Cosmos Institute, Coasian Bargaining at Scale, 2025 [https://blog.cosmos-institute.org/p/coasean-bargaining-at-scale] https://www.tbadelapp.com/ UPDATE: An interesting, and more clearly articulated, application of the reasoning here.... https://aminga.substack.com/p/how-transaction-cost-economics-explains [https://aminga.substack.com/p/how-transaction-cost-economics-explains] IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS, OR WANT TO SUGGEST A FUTURE TOPIC, EMAIL THE SHOW AT TAITC.EMAIL@GMAIL.COM [taitc.email@gmail.com] ! You can follow Mike Munger on Twitter at @mungowitz  [https://twitter.com/mungowitz]

Swollen Permits? Call Chile!

Send us Fan Mail [https://www.buzzsprout.com/2186249/fan_mail/new] Permits feel like “just paperwork”, until they quietly become the biggest barrier to building, investing, and even basic economic growth. We use Chile’s fight with “permisologia” to show how bureaucracy creates delay, uncertainty, and political risk even when the stated goal is safety or environmental protection.  • permits as transaction costs that quietly tax projects and entrepreneurship  • why bureaucracy is not the same thing as government and why it crowds out market coordination  • “permisologia” in Chile and how a one-stop shop becomes many counters  • parallels to India’s license raj and the logic of rent seeking choke points  • Dominga as a case study in shifting rules, scandal, and investment held hostage  • documented GDP and jobs costs from permitting delay and collapsed processing capacity  • Chile’s LMAS reform plan including deadlines, digitization, and sworn declarations with sanctions  • Parkinson’s Law, bike shedding, and why committees obsess over trivial items  • listener letter on commune life and how transaction costs show up inside “one big firm”  Links: What is  "Permisología"? https://comentarista.emol.com/2294117/27242033/Emol-Social-Facts.html [https://comentarista.emol.com/2294117/27242033/Emol-Social-Facts.html] Framework Law (LMAS):  https://www.bluefieldresearch.com/research/chile-takes-another-step-towards-mining-reform/ [https://www.bluefieldresearch.com/research/chile-takes-another-step-towards-mining-reform/] Parkinson's Law and the "Law of Triviality":  https://fs.blog/parkinsons-law/ [https://fs.blog/parkinsons-law/] Twin Oaks Community:  https://www.twinoaks.org/ [https://www.twinoaks.org/] IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS, OR WANT TO SUGGEST A FUTURE TOPIC, EMAIL THE SHOW AT TAITC.EMAIL@GMAIL.COM [taitc.email@gmail.com] ! You can follow Mike Munger on Twitter at @mungowitz  [https://twitter.com/mungowitz]

Honor Among Thieves: Anja Shortland and Ransomware

Send us Fan Mail [https://www.buzzsprout.com/2186249/fan_mail/new] A talk with Dr Anya Shortland about the economics of ransomware and the gray-zone institutions that let extortion markets function when nobody can truly enforce trust. We dig into how cyber insurance quietly becomes a form of governance, why data leaks change the game, and what national security risks emerge as everything gets connected.  • criminal markets that sit between legal firms and underworld gangs  • insurance as governance through protocols, repeat play, and incident response packages  • why victims amplify risk when they throw money at crises  • the origin story of early ransomware and the transaction costs that made it fail  • step-by-step ransomware mechanics from phishing to exfiltration to encryption  • how gangs price ransoms by reading cash flow and insurance certificates  • leak sites, privacy regulation, and third-party liability as bargaining leverage  • why cyber insurance is fragmented and slow to enforce security standards  • deductibles, coverage caps, and market hardening that push better cybersecurity  • AI-enabled phishing and the asymmetric arms race between attackers and defenders  • state-linked ransomware, impunity jurisdictions, and critical infrastructure threats  • efficiency versus resilience in smart cities and the Internet of Things  Anja Shortland at Kings College London [https://www.kcl.ac.uk/people/anja-shortland-1] * Shortland's book, Dark Screens:  https://www.amazon.com/Dark-Screens-Hackers-Shadowy-Ransomware/dp/1541705750 [https://www.amazon.com/Dark-Screens-Hackers-Shadowy-Ransomware/dp/1541705750] * Shortland's first TAITC episode: "Deals with shadows" [https://taitc.buzzsprout.com/2186249/episodes/14562965-making-deals-with-shadows-the-economics-of-ransomware-and-cybersecurity] Links mentioned in podcast: Alex Danco's pirate puzzle [https://alexdanco.com/2021/02/02/the-pirate-problem/] Pete Leeson's book, The Invisible Hook [https://www.amazon.com/Invisible-Hook-Hidden-Economics-Pirates/dp/0691150095] David Deutsch's book, The Beginning of Infinity [https://www.amazon.com/Beginning-Infinity-Explanations-Transform-World/dp/0143121359/] IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS, OR WANT TO SUGGEST A FUTURE TOPIC, EMAIL THE SHOW AT TAITC.EMAIL@GMAIL.COM [taitc.email@gmail.com] ! You can follow Mike Munger on Twitter at @mungowitz  [https://twitter.com/mungowitz]

Are Transaction Costs Really Just Human Distance

Send us Fan Mail [https://www.buzzsprout.com/2186249/fan_mail/new] We connect Adam Smith’s moral psychology to the modern idea of transaction costs and argue that the biggest frictions in markets start with the cost of understanding other people. We show how sympathy, propriety, self command, and reputation turn separate perspectives into workable cooperation and why justice is the real precondition for a stable commercial order.  • why transaction costs always exist and why institutions matter when exchange is costly  • a brief history of the term from Coase to an early use in Scitovsky  • transaction costs as asymmetric information and the cost of social coordination  • Smith’s epistemic distance and why sympathy requires imaginative effort  • propriety as social calibration through the impartial spectator  • self command as the price of being socially intelligible  • commerce as a practical school for restraint, trust, and predictability  • the prudent man as a model of conduct that reduces suspicion and monitoring  • Buchanan’s moral community, moral order, and moral anarchy as lenses on social stability  • why society can survive without beneficence but not without justice  • a listener’s college admissions case where interviews act as a separating equilibrium and improve aid allocation  Links: * Liberty Fund eBook--Theory of Moral Sentiments [https://oll.libertyfund.org/titles/smith-the-theory-of-moral-sentiments-and-on-the-origins-of-languages-stewart-ed] (PAGES DO NOT MATCH UP WITH PRINT EDITION!) * TAITC with Steve Medema, on Coase and Transaction Costs [https://www.buzzsprout.com/admin/2186249/episodes/15150600-from-commons-to-coase-and-beyond-with-steven-medema ] * Dan Klein and Russ Roberts on Theory of Moral Sentiments [https://www.econtalk.org/klein-on-the-theory-of-moral-sentiments-episode-1-an-overview/] * Tibor Scitovsky, 1940, Economica paper [https://quicksearch.library.duke.edu/?q=Tibor+Scitovsky+%E2%80%9CA+Study+of+Interest+and+Capital%2C%E2%80%9D+Economica+] * Gustavo Dudamel’s ‘the wealth of nations’ Melds Opera and Economics - Bloomberg [https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-20/gustavo-dudamel-s-the-wealth-of-nations-melds-opera-and-economics?srnd=homepage-americas]  IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS, OR WANT TO SUGGEST A FUTURE TOPIC, EMAIL THE SHOW AT TAITC.EMAIL@GMAIL.COM [taitc.email@gmail.com] ! You can follow Mike Munger on Twitter at @mungowitz  [https://twitter.com/mungowitz]