Hereditary Monarchy: At Least You Know Which Idiot Is Next
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Hereditary monarchy seems like a ridiculous way to pick a leader, yet it dominates most of human political history. We argue the reason is transaction costs: succession systems survive when they settle “who rules next” cheaply enough to prevent recurring civil war.
• Why hereditary monarchy is historically prevalent compared with democracy and universal suffrage
• Why “divine right” stories often rationalize a choice people already find tolerable
• Thomas Paine’s critique of hereditary succession and what it misses
• Hobbes on the state of nature as what happens when sovereignty is contested
• Succession as the master coordination problem of political order
• Transaction costs applied to elections, enforcement, legitimacy, and rent seeking
• Why elective monarchy can become an armed auction for total power
• Bright line rules versus discretionary selection and why speed can beat “better”
• How constitutional design lowers the cost of leadership transition when it works
• The legitimacy problem and why dynasties converge on endogamy
• The genetic consequences of endogamy and the Habsburg cautionary tale
• Twedges, book recommendation, and a listener letter on board game “math trades”
LINKS:
Thomas Paine, Common Sense, February 1776 [https://www.gutenberg.org/files/147/147-h/147-h.htm]
Michael Munger, The Ugly Pig, 20224 [https://www.econlib.org/library/columns/y2024/mungercapitalism.html]
A.P. Martinich, Thomas Hobbes: A Biography, 1999 [https://www.amazon.com/Hobbes-Biography-P-Martinich/dp/0521495830].
Thomas Hobbes, Leviathan, 1651. [https://www.gutenberg.org/files/3207/3207-h/3207-h.htm]
Neal Schultz, Suicide Kings: Hereditary Monarchy, 2025 [https://substack.com/home/post/p-167221802]
Tbadel Barter App [https://www.tbadelapp.com/]
Cosmos Institute, Coasian Bargaining at Scale, 2025 [https://blog.cosmos-institute.org/p/coasean-bargaining-at-scale] https://www.tbadelapp.com/
UPDATE: An interesting, and more clearly articulated, application of the reasoning here.... https://aminga.substack.com/p/how-transaction-cost-economics-explains [https://aminga.substack.com/p/how-transaction-cost-economics-explains]
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You can follow Mike Munger on Twitter at @mungowitz [https://twitter.com/mungowitz]