True Odds: A Prediction Markets Podcast
Welcome back to True Odds with Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets — and this episode is loaded. We start with World Baseball Classic chaos: Team USA manager Mark DeRosa said they’d already clinched… then the U.S. lost 8–5 to Italy and now needs help based on a wild pool-play math scenario (Italy/Mexico runs matter). Meanwhile, the other must-watch game is Dominican Republic vs Venezuela — with huge implications for the bracket and for our picks (Joey’s Samurai Japan is cruising; Mikey’s on the DR). Then we hit a headline we’ve basically never seen: the Ravens backed out of the Max Crosby trade after the deal was “done,” sending Crosby back to Vegas… and the Ravens immediately pivoted to Trey Hendrickson. We talk buyer’s remorse, what it does to Crosby’s price, and why the Bears odds just got interesting. We also recap an all-time sleeper stock: Casey’s (the “rural rocket”) continuing its insane long-term run. Finally, we preview March Madness with a practical champion checklist (KenPom offense/defense + early AP poll trends), give early picks (Arizona) and a value angle (Houston), and close with an all-time comparison: Arizona to win the Natty… or Kim Kardashian to pass the bar exam? Drop a comment with your WBC take and your March Madness winner. Chapters 00:00 — Intro + why this episode is chaos 00:35 — WBC drama: Mark DeRosa “clinched” comment + USA loses to Italy 02:47 — Pool B math: how USA advances (runs scored scenarios) 03:37 — Why this is a bad look for Team USA 05:14 — Can teams “manage” a low score? What to watch for 06:38 — Mikey on DR; Joey on Samurai Japan (knockout round implications) 09:10 — Max Crosby trade reversal: Ravens back out + Trey Hendrickson pivot 11:26 — Bears odds + what this does to Crosby’s market 14:39 — Casey’s recap: 27,000%+ return “rural rocket” 16:28 — Palantir rumor: monitoring bets + insider deterrence 22:00 — March Madness preview: champion criteria + early picks 23:41 — Joey’s pick: Arizona 25:05 — Mikey’s value pick: Houston (8 cents) 28:20 — Arizona title odds vs Kim Kardashian passing the bar 33:13 — Closing: fingers crossed Team USA (and tonight’s huge games) #trueodds Disclaimer: All opinions expressed on this show are solely the opinions of the hosts’ and guests’ and do not reflect the opinions of Stocktwits, Inc. or its affiliates. The hosts are not SEC or FINRA registered advisors or professionals. The content of this show is for educational and entertainment purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decision. Read the full terms & conditions here: https://stocktwits.com/about/legal/terms/
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