All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:54) Breaking down the DOGE roadmap (24:28) Milei's impact, DOGE's tight timeline, impact on GDP growth, "default sustainable," how to communicate DOGE (48:11) WW3 risk: Biden's recent escalation (1:00:43) Science Corner: Fat cells can remember being fat! Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular [https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular] Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath [https://x.com/chamath] https://x.com/Jason [https://x.com/Jason] https://x.com/DavidSacks [https://x.com/DavidSacks] https://x.com/friedberg [https://x.com/friedberg] Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod [https://x.com/theallinpod] Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod [https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod] Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod [https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod] Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod [https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod] Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl [https://rb.gy/tppkzl] https://x.com/yung_spielburg [https://x.com/yung_spielburg] Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect [https://x.com/TheZachEffect] Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/opinion/musk-and-ramaswamy-the-doge-plan-to-reform-government-supreme-court-guidance-end-executive-power-grab-fa51c020 [https://www.wsj.com/opinion/musk-and-ramaswamy-the-doge-plan-to-reform-government-supreme-court-guidance-end-executive-power-grab-fa51c020] https://x.com/BehizyTweets/status/1859364239229821022 [https://x.com/BehizyTweets/status/1859364239229821022] https://x.com/sfliberty/status/1858936359949304105 [https://x.com/sfliberty/status/1858936359949304105] https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1859946626271388068 [https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1859946626271388068] https://x.com/realdogenews/status/1859233043686334791 [https://x.com/realdogenews/status/1859233043686334791] https://x.com/popeye31jc/status/1859233598328492360 [https://x.com/popeye31jc/status/1859233598328492360] https://x.com/MattForVA/status/1859248996377612755 [https://x.com/MattForVA/status/1859248996377612755] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8NLzc9kobDk [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8NLzc9kobDk] https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-cpi [https://tradingeconomics.com/argentina/inflation-cpi] https://x.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1858258226199818595 [https://x.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1858258226199818595] https://x.com/Pismo_B/status/1858018620456186221 [https://x.com/Pismo_B/status/1858018620456186221] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/10/31/world/europe/russia-gains-ukraine-maps.html [https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/10/31/world/europe/russia-gains-ukraine-maps.html] https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/17/politics/biden-authorizes-ukraine-missiles-russian-targets/index.html [https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/17/politics/biden-authorizes-ukraine-missiles-russian-targets/index.html] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08165-7 [https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-024-08165-7] https://x.com/bryan_johnson/status/1860022160833806646 [https://x.com/bryan_johnson/status/1860022160833806646]

(0:00) Bestie intros! (7:57) Election impact on Bitcoin, crypto, and fintech stocks (21:56) M&A and IPOs: What to expect in 2025 (39:52) Pharma advertising on cable tv: Should it be allowed? Is big pharma buying influence? (58:17) FBI raids Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan's home (1:05:51) Trump's transition picks: Strategy, highest upside/downside, and more Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular [https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular] Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath [https://x.com/chamath] https://x.com/Jason [https://x.com/Jason] https://x.com/DavidSacks [https://x.com/DavidSacks] https://x.com/friedberg [https://x.com/friedberg] Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod [https://x.com/theallinpod] Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod [https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod] Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod [https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod] Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod [https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod] Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl [https://rb.gy/tppkzl] https://x.com/yung_spielburg [https://x.com/yung_spielburg] Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect [https://x.com/TheZachEffect] Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD [https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD] https://www.sec.gov/newsroom/speeches-statements/gensler-remarks-pli-s-56th-annual-institute-securities-regulation-111424 [https://www.sec.gov/newsroom/speeches-statements/gensler-remarks-pli-s-56th-annual-institute-securities-regulation-111424] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 [https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10] https://www.businessinsider.com/federal-reserve-cuts-interest-rates-quarter-point-powell-inflation-election-2024-11 [https://www.businessinsider.com/federal-reserve-cuts-interest-rates-quarter-point-powell-inflation-election-2024-11] https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/13/cpi-inflation-october-2024.html [https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/13/cpi-inflation-october-2024.html] https://x.com/elerianm/status/1857297087010107728 [https://x.com/elerianm/status/1857297087010107728] https://x.com/chamath/status/1359248379377762310 [https://x.com/chamath/status/1359248379377762310] https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/4763/text [https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/4763/text] https://stockanalysis.com/ipos/statistics [https://stockanalysis.com/ipos/statistics] https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor [https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor] https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ [https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ] https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1848055198494728496 [https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1848055198494728496] https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/13/business/media/msnbc-fox-news-ratings-election.html [https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/13/business/media/msnbc-fox-news-ratings-election.html] https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1856208378541769076 [https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1856208378541769076] https://www.americanrhetoric.com/speeches/PDFFiles/Mark-Zuckerberg-Letter-on-Govt-Censorship.pdf [https://www.americanrhetoric.com/speeches/PDFFiles/Mark-Zuckerberg-Letter-on-Govt-Censorship.pdf] https://www.cjr.org/the_trump_reader/trump-threatens-new-york-times-penguin-random-house-critical-coverage.php [https://www.cjr.org/the_trump_reader/trump-threatens-new-york-times-penguin-random-house-critical-coverage.php] https://nypost.com/2024/11/13/business/fbi-seizes-polymarket-ceos-phone-electronics-after-betting-platform-predicts-trump-win-source [https://nypost.com/2024/11/13/business/fbi-seizes-polymarket-ceos-phone-electronics-after-betting-platform-predicts-trump-win-source] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-13/polymarket-investigated-by-doj-for-letting-us-users-bet-on-platform [https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-13/polymarket-investigated-by-doj-for-letting-us-users-bet-on-platform] https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-federal-court-upholds-ruling-letting-kalshiex-list-election-betting-contracts-2024-10-02 [https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-federal-court-upholds-ruling-letting-kalshiex-list-election-betting-contracts-2024-10-02] https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/fbi-raids-polymarket-ceo-shayne-coplans-apartment-seizes-phone-source-rcna180180 [https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/fbi-raids-polymarket-ceo-shayne-coplans-apartment-seizes-phone-source-rcna180180] https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1856838409861386722 [https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1856838409861386722] https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8478-22 [https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8478-22] https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1856808022481539192 [https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1856808022481539192] https://fortune.com/crypto/2024/10/30/polymarket-trump-election-crypto-wash-trading-researchers [https://fortune.com/crypto/2024/10/30/polymarket-trump-election-crypto-wash-trading-researchers] https://x.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1852863585375977877 [https://x.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1852863585375977877] https://x.com/charliekirk11/status/1857237886736715971 [https://x.com/charliekirk11/status/1857237886736715971] https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1856725762130260383 [https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1856725762130260383]

(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:55) Sacks recaps election night at Mar-a-Lago (8:28) Analyzing the results: how Trump won, why Kamala and the Democratic Party lost (25:55) The failing Democratic coalition, campaign spend disparity, Trump's advantage in earned media (37:59) What mattered most: Policy, Candidate, or Campaign? (50:44) GOP will likely win House and Senate, potential cabinet positions, avoiding neocons (1:10:42) Cabinet positions, shaking up the unelected bureaucratic branch (1:28:47) California rejects progressives (1:35:17) Abortion laws being settled around the US Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular [https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular] Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath [https://x.com/chamath] https://x.com/Jason [https://x.com/Jason] https://x.com/DavidSacks [https://x.com/DavidSacks] https://x.com/friedberg [https://x.com/friedberg] Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod [https://x.com/theallinpod] Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod [https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod] Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod [https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod] Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod [https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod] Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl [https://rb.gy/tppkzl] https://x.com/yung_spielburg [https://x.com/yung_spielburg] Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect [https://x.com/TheZachEffect] Referenced in the show: https://x.com/twobitidiot/status/1854192602985255042 [https://x.com/twobitidiot/status/1854192602985255042] https://www.270towin.com/2024-election-results-live/president [https://www.270towin.com/2024-election-results-live/president] https://x.com/ChrisCillizza/status/1854515791690953066 [https://x.com/ChrisCillizza/status/1854515791690953066] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_e8-KX3XKL8 [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_e8-KX3XKL8] https://x.com/Jason/status/1854209590424121464 [https://x.com/Jason/status/1854209590424121464] https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1854045298475110779 [https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1854045298475110779] https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1854342908356297068 [https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1854342908356297068] https://x.com/arifleischer/status/1854270972775305291 [https://x.com/arifleischer/status/1854270972775305291] https://www.fec.gov/data/spending-bythenumbers/?office=P [https://www.fec.gov/data/spending-bythenumbers/?office=P] https://www.usnews.com/news/national-news/articles/2024-11-01/16-billion-will-be-spent-in-the-2024-election-wheres-it-all-going [https://www.usnews.com/news/national-news/articles/2024-11-01/16-billion-will-be-spent-in-the-2024-election-wheres-it-all-going] https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1829383729284067659 [https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1829383729284067659] https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-very-fine-people [https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-very-fine-people] https://x.com/TheRabbitHole84/status/1840977783247286429 [https://x.com/TheRabbitHole84/status/1840977783247286429] https://www.cnn.com/election/2024 [https://www.cnn.com/election/2024] https://polymarket.com/event/house-control-after-2024-election [https://polymarket.com/event/house-control-after-2024-election] https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1854536321282519396 [https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1854536321282519396] https://www.instagram.com/p/DCFJ4mlsmEG/?hl=en [https://www.instagram.com/p/DCFJ4mlsmEG/?hl=en] https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1854202717637411199 [https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1854202717637411199] https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/06/supreme-court-strikes-down-chevron-curtailing-power-of-federal-agencies [https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/06/supreme-court-strikes-down-chevron-curtailing-power-of-federal-agencies] https://x.com/chamath/status/1854229735477551600 [https://x.com/chamath/status/1854229735477551600] https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/la-district-attorney-progressive-loses-re-election-gascon-rcna175906 [https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/la-district-attorney-progressive-loses-re-election-gascon-rcna175906] https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-abortion.html [https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-abortion.html]

(0:00) Bestie intros! (5:40) US Real GDP growth comes in at 2.8%, but there are underlying issues (29:16) Google earnings: YouTube and Cloud post huge quarters, would they have survived outside of Google? (36:24) Sacks's idea to auction off public spectrum licenses of major broadcast networks (42:17) How the media became one of the least trusted institutions in the US (54:26) Why Joe Rogan's interview with Trump was not appearing in YouTube search results (1:08:54) Final pre-election segment: how it's tracking, election integrity, voter fraud stats Get notified for the Election Night Livestream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D4Xaqgd9-Ro [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D4Xaqgd9-Ro] Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular [https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular] Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath [https://x.com/chamath] https://x.com/Jason [https://x.com/Jason] https://x.com/DavidSacks [https://x.com/DavidSacks] https://x.com/friedberg [https://x.com/friedberg] Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod [https://x.com/theallinpod] Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod [https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod] Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod [https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod] Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod [https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod] Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl [https://rb.gy/tppkzl] https://x.com/yung_spielburg [https://x.com/yung_spielburg] Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect [https://x.com/TheZachEffect] Referenced in the show: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 [https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10] https://x.com/freesites_com/status/1851615700869144908 [https://x.com/freesites_com/status/1851615700869144908] https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/30/dropbox-slashes-20percent-of-global-workforce-eliminating-500-roles.html [https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/30/dropbox-slashes-20percent-of-global-workforce-eliminating-500-roles.html] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S [https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S] https://www.commercebank.com/about-us/prime-rate-update [https://www.commercebank.com/about-us/prime-rate-update] https://www.fdic.gov/system/files/2024-05/unrealized-gains-losses-on-investment-securities.png [https://www.fdic.gov/system/files/2024-05/unrealized-gains-losses-on-investment-securities.png] https://abc.xyz/assets/71/a5/78197a7540c987f13d247728a371/2024q3-alphabet-earnings-release.pdf [https://abc.xyz/assets/71/a5/78197a7540c987f13d247728a371/2024q3-alphabet-earnings-release.pdf] https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/29/google-cfo-says-company-can-push-a-little-further-in-cost-savings.html [https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/29/google-cfo-says-company-can-push-a-little-further-in-cost-savings.html] https://variety.com/2024/digital/news/youtube-q3-2024-advertising-revenue-growth-1236193926 [https://variety.com/2024/digital/news/youtube-q3-2024-advertising-revenue-growth-1236193926] https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1818467743479542130 [https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1818467743479542130] https://news.gallup.com/poll/512861/media-confidence-matches-2016-record-low.aspx [https://news.gallup.com/poll/512861/media-confidence-matches-2016-record-low.aspx] https://news.gallup.com/poll/508169/historically-low-faith-institutions-continues.aspx [https://news.gallup.com/poll/508169/historically-low-faith-institutions-continues.aspx] https://www.axios.com/2023/10/24/americans-trust-in-media-plummets-to-historic-low-poll [https://www.axios.com/2023/10/24/americans-trust-in-media-plummets-to-historic-low-poll] https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/10/28/jeff-bezos-washington-post-trust [https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/10/28/jeff-bezos-washington-post-trust] https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850277560816681255 [https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850277560816681255] https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850979360037356001/photo/1 [https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850979360037356001/photo/1] https://x.com/davidsacks/status/1844429818554876026 [https://x.com/davidsacks/status/1844429818554876026] https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1851745648313602189 [https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1851745648313602189]

(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:49) Announcement: Besties are hosting The All-In Holiday Spectacular in San Francisco on December 7th! Get tickets: https://allin.com/events [https://allin.com/events] (9:08) Macro and markets: making sense of unique asset diversions (27:23) Gen Z's economic cultural movements (38:28) Reallocating assets for a new period of constraints (53:52) Election update: Data leans Trump as we enter the home stretch (1:19:01) Is Starbucks fixable? Or has it hit market saturation? Get tickets to The All-In Holiday Spectacular: https://allin.com/events [https://allin.com/events] Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath [https://x.com/chamath] https://x.com/Jason [https://x.com/Jason] https://x.com/DavidSacks [https://x.com/DavidSacks] https://x.com/friedberg [https://x.com/friedberg] Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod [https://x.com/theallinpod] Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod [https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod] Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod [https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod] Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod [https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod] Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl [https://rb.gy/tppkzl] https://x.com/yung_spielburg [https://x.com/yung_spielburg] Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect [https://x.com/TheZachEffect] Referenced in the show: https://allin.com/events [https://allin.com/events] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 [https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10] https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX [https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX] https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA [https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA] https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD [https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD] https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/22/tudor-jones-is-long-gold-and-bitcoin-as-hedge-fund-titan-believes-all-roads-lead-to-inflation.html [https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/22/tudor-jones-is-long-gold-and-bitcoin-as-hedge-fund-titan-believes-all-roads-lead-to-inflation.html] https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stanley-druckenmiller-says-hes-shorting-u-s-bonds-and-staying-out-of-china-1fcf751e [https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stanley-druckenmiller-says-hes-shorting-u-s-bonds-and-staying-out-of-china-1fcf751e] https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/10/cpi-inflation-september-2024.html [https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/10/cpi-inflation-september-2024.html] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A091RC1Q027SBEA [https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A091RC1Q027SBEA] https://news.bloomberglaw.com/daily-tax-report-international/uk-budget-fears-push-owners-to-close-firms-to-avoid-tax-hikes [https://news.bloomberglaw.com/daily-tax-report-international/uk-budget-fears-push-owners-to-close-firms-to-avoid-tax-hikes] https://www.banque-france.fr/en/statistics/compagnies/business-failures-france-2024-09 [https://www.banque-france.fr/en/statistics/compagnies/business-failures-france-2024-09] https://www.reuters.com/markets/brazil-inflation-expectations-above-target-says-cenbank-director-picchetti-2024-10-23 [https://www.reuters.com/markets/brazil-inflation-expectations-above-target-says-cenbank-director-picchetti-2024-10-23] https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/14/more-than-half-of-gen-z-want-to-be-influencers-but-its-constant.html [https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/14/more-than-half-of-gen-z-want-to-be-influencers-but-its-constant.html] 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[https://awfulannouncing.com/barstool/dave-portnoy-turned-down-kamala-harris-interview.html] https://investor.starbucks.com/news/financial-releases/news-details/2024/Starbucks-Reports-Preliminary-Q4-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2024-Results/default.aspx [https://investor.starbucks.com/news/financial-releases/news-details/2024/Starbucks-Reports-Preliminary-Q4-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2024-Results/default.aspx]