Erik van Mechelen - Essays and Fiction

Allons Travailler! 002: Liberty’s Dim Light: Review “October: The Story of the Russian Revolution”

17 min · 6. Sept. 2017
Episode Allons Travailler! 002: Liberty’s Dim Light: Review “October: The Story of the Russian Revolution” Cover

Beschreibung

Liberty’s Dim Light: Book Review of China Miéville’s “October: The Story of the Russian Revolution” and “Iron Council” China Miéville holds a Ph.D. (2001) in International Relations from the London School of Economics, is a member of the socialist democratic party in England, and the founding editor of Salvage, a quarterly of revolutionary arts and letters. He wrote ‘Between Equal Rights: A Marxist Theory of International Law’, but is perhaps best known as an author of fiction, where for his novels he has won among other awards the Arthur C. Clarke, Hugo, and Locus literary honors. Support my reading/essays on patreon: https://patreon.com/evm/

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Episode Allons Travailler! 004 - All of Life is a Wager (Super Forecasting by Philip E. Tetlock) Cover

Allons Travailler! 004 - All of Life is a Wager (Super Forecasting by Philip E. Tetlock)

If you want to learn about cognitive biases all humans share, you might start with Daniel Kahneman’s ‘Thinking, Fast and Slow’, or the paper he wrote in 1974 with friend and colleague Amos Tversky, ‘Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases’. Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner have given us an interesting way to practice doing so in their book, Super Forecasting. In their story about a relatively small group of super forecasters who beat IARPA’s own government-backed researchers in a tournament of geopolitical forecasting, Tetlock and Gardner provide a blueprint for beginning one’s own journey of forecasting better than the average human (or at least better than you yourself do now). You can support my work at https://patreon.com/evm/

15. Sept. 201714 min