Erik van Mechelen - Essays and Fiction

Allons Travailler! 001: Theseus's Ship has Sailed, Book Review of 'The Strange Death of Europe'

15 min · 6. Sept. 2017
Episode Allons Travailler! 001: Theseus's Ship has Sailed, Book Review of 'The Strange Death of Europe' Cover

Beschreibung

Theseus’s Ship has Sailed: Book Review of “The Strange Death of Europe” Douglas Murray urges readers to take notice of the fatal blow Europe’s politicians have already dealt the European civilization.

Kommentare

0

Sei die erste Person, die kommentiert

Melde dich jetzt an und werde Teil der Erik van Mechelen - Essays and Fiction-Community!

Loslegen

2 Monate für 1 €

Dann 4,99 € / Monat · Jederzeit kündbar.

  • Podcasts nur bei Podimo
  • 20 Stunden Hörbücher / Monat
  • Alle kostenlosen Podcasts

Alle Folgen

17 Folgen

Episode Allons Travailler! 004 - All of Life is a Wager (Super Forecasting by Philip E. Tetlock) Cover

Allons Travailler! 004 - All of Life is a Wager (Super Forecasting by Philip E. Tetlock)

If you want to learn about cognitive biases all humans share, you might start with Daniel Kahneman’s ‘Thinking, Fast and Slow’, or the paper he wrote in 1974 with friend and colleague Amos Tversky, ‘Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases’. Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner have given us an interesting way to practice doing so in their book, Super Forecasting. In their story about a relatively small group of super forecasters who beat IARPA’s own government-backed researchers in a tournament of geopolitical forecasting, Tetlock and Gardner provide a blueprint for beginning one’s own journey of forecasting better than the average human (or at least better than you yourself do now). You can support my work at https://patreon.com/evm/

15. Sept. 201714 min