N N Taleb's Probability Questions (UNOFFICIAL)

Nassim Nicholas Taleb Lebanon: From Ponzi to Localism (2019)

1 h 30 min · 11. Nov. 2025
Episode Nassim Nicholas Taleb Lebanon: From Ponzi to Localism (2019) Cover

Beschreibung

A presentation at USJ during the Lebanese protests that was live on TV.In the Lebanese "dialect". Original video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=53uW9Xd_JRU

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Alle Folgen

13 Folgen

Episode Tail risk of contagious diseases: a conversation with coauthor Pasquale Cirillo (2020) Cover

Tail risk of contagious diseases: a conversation with coauthor Pasquale Cirillo (2020)

Paper in Nature Physics on "the dog wags the tails", how pandemics are fat tailed and the implications.https://www.nature.com/articles/s4156... [https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqa1hpeUZfM2xVdlpGNDhKOUFycTM3cmVpM2tTUXxBQ3Jtc0trRTdBSThpQklzaDZHY21NQklqWXJteXNJcFdlbkg0cDlKTzYyVzhydl9lcWlCSFFUYkdYeUduVUM0RDQyTkctbVJOSmg3NkpRSjU3WWM2Z0RFeEdEdEN0RzQtdWZIa2pHRVFobVJnTV83NHJaY2R0TQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nature.com%2Farticles%2Fs41567-020-0921-x&v=ggrW6qi0qZQ]We also discuss the dangers of verbalistic users of statistical buzzwords without understanding probability s.a. BS vendor Philip Tetlock. They produce one point estimates for distributions with unstable, unknown or infinite moments, which is pseudoscience.We propose basic probability training. “Learn probability for years before learning statistics, or you will hurt yourself”.Original video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ggrW6qi0qZQ

11. Nov. 202527 min