N N Taleb's Probability Questions (UNOFFICIAL)

Sornette vs. Taleb Diametrically Opposite Approaches to Risk & Predictability (2014)

An ETH sponsored meeting and debate between Nassim Taleb and Didier Sornette. Edited to eliminate the parts of the conversation not involving either but otherwise comprehensive.A "diplomatic debate" is defined by Taleb as a conversation in which one looks for synthesis (as opposed to one in which one is trying, as in war, to win the argument, as with political debates). Clearly this type of debate only works when the two parties have mutual respect for each other. Original: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vuvbghZuM8U

Nassim Nicholas Taleb Lebanon: From Ponzi to Localism (2019)

A presentation at USJ during the Lebanese protests that was live on TV.In the Lebanese "dialect". Original video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=53uW9Xd_JRU

Tail risk of contagious diseases: a conversation with coauthor Pasquale Cirillo (2020)

Paper in Nature Physics on "the dog wags the tails", how pandemics are fat tailed and the implications.https://www.nature.com/articles/s4156... [https://www.youtube.com/redirect?event=video_description&redir_token=QUFFLUhqa1hpeUZfM2xVdlpGNDhKOUFycTM3cmVpM2tTUXxBQ3Jtc0trRTdBSThpQklzaDZHY21NQklqWXJteXNJcFdlbkg0cDlKTzYyVzhydl9lcWlCSFFUYkdYeUduVUM0RDQyTkctbVJOSmg3NkpRSjU3WWM2Z0RFeEdEdEN0RzQtdWZIa2pHRVFobVJnTV83NHJaY2R0TQ&q=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nature.com%2Farticles%2Fs41567-020-0921-x&v=ggrW6qi0qZQ]We also discuss the dangers of verbalistic users of statistical buzzwords without understanding probability s.a. BS vendor Philip Tetlock. They produce one point estimates for distributions with unstable, unknown or infinite moments, which is pseudoscience.We propose basic probability training. “Learn probability for years before learning statistics, or you will hurt yourself”.Original video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ggrW6qi0qZQ

Stephen Wolfram visits RWRI 18 (Summer Workshop) (2023)

Original video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=60sNXOyGmps

STEPHEN WOLFRAM VISITS RWRI 19, SUMMER SCHOOL 2024

TOPICS: 2nd law, generative AI, computational Irreducibility, climate modeling.Stephen Wolfram's discussion with participants at the Real World Risk Institute Summer School 2024, with Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Robert Frey, Raphael Douady, and others. Original video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MKWyx7Mw_rQ