The AI Trade Has Rotated. Has Gold Bottomed?

The AI Trade Has Rotated. Has Gold Bottomed?

The AI trade has rotated, and gold may be getting closer to a bottom. In this update, Garry Davis [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/About-Garry-Davis] explains why semiconductor risk has risen in the short term, where money is moving, and what still needs to happen before gold can be treated as a confirmed recovery. Watch on YouTube [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hQF_nvB5Qb0] The long-term semiconductor thesis remains compelling, but the character of money flows has changed. Wider swings and heavier selling call for deeper entries and sensible weightings. Meanwhile, the broader market is rotating rather than being deserted, and gold’s downward momentum is slowing without yet confirming a bottom. Key message The market does not owe investors certainty. Respond to the evidence by rebalancing progressively, keeping some cash and waiting for confirmation rather than blindly buying every dip. What you’ll learn * Why semiconductors are now a higher-risk short-term trade * Where market leadership is rotating * Why strong fundamentals are not a timing signal * What would confirm a bottom in gold and gold stocks * How to rebalance without abandoning long-term themes If you value calm, rational and objective market analysis, you can learn more about the Insiders Club here: Join the Insiders Club [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club] If you would like to learn more about our individually managed account service, you can enquire here: Portfolio Manager [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/portfolio-manager] Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly, you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

Wild Markets, Scary Headlines: My Calm & Rational Response

A wild week in markets produced no shortage of scary headlines.  In this update, Garry Davis explains why investors should be careful about jumping to conclusions too quickly, and why calm, rational analysis still matters most when volatility rises. Watch on YouTube [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/blog/wild-markets-scary-headlines-my-calm-rational-response] This week’s update steps back from the noise and focuses on what actually changed, what did not, and what investors should watch next. The message is simple: one wild week does not automatically prove the bearish case. Key message Scary headlines can create pressure to react, but the best investors stay objective. Let the evidence build. Let the charts and money flows speak. Avoid making big decisions on incomplete information. What you’ll learn * Why one volatile week is not enough to draw major conclusions * How to separate scary headlines from real evidence * What would need to happen for the bearish case to strengthen * Why chart structure and money flows remain central in volatile markets * Where Garry is focused now across markets If you value calm, rational and objective market analysis, you can learn more about the Insiders Club here: Join the Insiders Club [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club] If you would like to learn more about our individually managed service, you can enquire here: Portfolio Manager [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au] Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly, you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

AI Trade Phase 2 Begins: Q3 Earnings to Split Winners From Losers

The AI trade has entered a new phase. Micron has helped prove that AI infrastructure demand is real, but the market is now asking a harder question: which companies can turn that demand into genuine economic returns? For the full experience, watch the YouTube video [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VPlET_vAI7E] View our scoreboard of results [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club/#core_results] In this week's update, Garry Davis [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/About-Garry-Davis] looks at why Q3 earnings are now pivotal for the AI trade, what Micron revealed about the infrastructure build-out, and why the next phase may split genuine winners from companies simply riding the theme. The key message is that the easy phase of the AI trade is likely over. Demand has been proven, but demand alone is no longer enough. The market now wants evidence of pricing power, margins, cash conversion, backlog quality and credible payback on the enormous capex being deployed across the sector. What you'll learn: * Why Micron was such an important earnings signal for the AI infrastructure build-out * Why the market is moving from AI demand to AI economic proof * What hyperscaler earnings need to show about capex, pricing and customer demand * Why the next phase may split the genuine AI winners from the passengers * How to think about volatility, risk management and stock selection before the July earnings window If you want a clearer process for navigating ASX and US market opportunities, the Insiders Club provides portfolio recommendations, daily Market Alerts, regular market analysis videos, education and ongoing support. New members can join the Insiders Club for $149 per month for the first two months, then $249 per month after that. Offer closes June 30. There is no lock-in, so you can try the service and decide whether it suits your style. Learn more about the Insiders Club [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club] For investors who would prefer professional portfolio management rather than making every decision themselves, Portfolio Manager may be a more suitable option [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/portfolio-manager]. Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly, you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

Tech Surges While Commodities Crack: Time to Rebalance?

Tech is still leading, commodities are under pressure, and the US dollar has just added a new complication. That makes this a useful time to step back and ask whether your portfolio is still balanced for the market in front of you, not the market you would prefer to see. For the full experience, watch the YouTube video [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kx7N49rerPM] View our scoreboard of results [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club/#core_results] In this week’s update, Garry Davis [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/About-Garry-Davis] looks at the evidence behind the tech versus commodities split, including the NASDAQ, semiconductors, gold, copper, the US dollar breakout and the portfolio decisions investors may need to consider now. The key message is that strong trends can keep running much further than logic suggests, but volatility is also increasing. That means portfolio balance, position sizing and psychology are becoming more important, especially for investors who are exposed to both high momentum tech and longer-term commodity themes. What you’ll learn: * Why US technology and semiconductors remain the dominant area of market leadership * Why the US dollar breakout creates a clear short-term headwind for commodities * How to think about gold, copper and miners when the long-term case remains intact but the short-term price action is difficult * The three practical portfolio choices investors can consider after a strong market run * Why stock-specific growth stories may still offer better risk/reward than broad market exposure If you want a clearer process for managing ASX and US market opportunities, the Insiders Club provides portfolio recommendations, market updates, trading alerts, education and ongoing support. Learn more about the Insiders Club [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club] For investors who would prefer professional portfolio management rather than making every decision themselves, Portfolio Manager may be a more suitable option [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/portfolio-manager]. Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

Wild Week in Markets: Gold, Commodities & the Next Move

It’s been one of the wildest weeks many investors will have seen for some time, with sharp swings in sentiment leaving plenty of people wondering what comes next. For the full experience, watch the YouTube video at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44VozqCD89c [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44VozqCD89c] 📈 View our scoreboard of results here: www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club/#core_results [http://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club/#core_results] In this week’s update, Garry looks at what the violent whipsaw in markets may really mean, why the US market still appears more constructive than Australia, and why gold, miners and broader commodity stocks are moving into a much more interesting area after heavy selling. The key message is that wild price action does not automatically mean the bigger opportunity has disappeared. In many cases, it can simply mean that markets have moved from overbought to oversold far more quickly than expected, creating the conditions for a better reward for risk setup once confirmation arrives. What you’ll learn: * How to think more calmly and clearly after a very volatile week * Why oversold conditions in commodities and miners can create opportunity * Why technicals and money flows remain the key timing tool * What the US market is saying versus the Australian market * Why patience, staged buying and sensible weightings matter now If you’d like a more structured framework for navigating this kind of environment, that’s exactly what my Insiders Club membership is designed to provide. 🔹 Learn more about the Insiders Club (for serious wealth builders) www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club [http://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club] 🔹 Learn more about Portfolio Manager (professional fund management) www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/portfolio-manager [http://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/portfolio-manager] Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.