Trading in the New Economy

Tech Surges While Commodities Crack: Time to Rebalance?

28 min · 21. Juni 2026
Episode Tech Surges While Commodities Crack: Time to Rebalance? Cover

Beschreibung

Tech is still leading, commodities are under pressure, and the US dollar has just added a new complication. That makes this a useful time to step back and ask whether your portfolio is still balanced for the market in front of you, not the market you would prefer to see. For the full experience, watch the YouTube video [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kx7N49rerPM] View our scoreboard of results [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club/#core_results] In this week’s update, Garry Davis [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/About-Garry-Davis] looks at the evidence behind the tech versus commodities split, including the NASDAQ, semiconductors, gold, copper, the US dollar breakout and the portfolio decisions investors may need to consider now. The key message is that strong trends can keep running much further than logic suggests, but volatility is also increasing. That means portfolio balance, position sizing and psychology are becoming more important, especially for investors who are exposed to both high momentum tech and longer-term commodity themes. What you’ll learn: * Why US technology and semiconductors remain the dominant area of market leadership * Why the US dollar breakout creates a clear short-term headwind for commodities * How to think about gold, copper and miners when the long-term case remains intact but the short-term price action is difficult * The three practical portfolio choices investors can consider after a strong market run * Why stock-specific growth stories may still offer better risk/reward than broad market exposure If you want a clearer process for managing ASX and US market opportunities, the Insiders Club provides portfolio recommendations, market updates, trading alerts, education and ongoing support. Learn more about the Insiders Club [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club] For investors who would prefer professional portfolio management rather than making every decision themselves, Portfolio Manager may be a more suitable option [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/portfolio-manager]. Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

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Episode Tech Surges While Commodities Crack: Time to Rebalance? Cover

Tech Surges While Commodities Crack: Time to Rebalance?

Tech is still leading, commodities are under pressure, and the US dollar has just added a new complication. That makes this a useful time to step back and ask whether your portfolio is still balanced for the market in front of you, not the market you would prefer to see. For the full experience, watch the YouTube video [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kx7N49rerPM] View our scoreboard of results [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club/#core_results] In this week’s update, Garry Davis [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/About-Garry-Davis] looks at the evidence behind the tech versus commodities split, including the NASDAQ, semiconductors, gold, copper, the US dollar breakout and the portfolio decisions investors may need to consider now. The key message is that strong trends can keep running much further than logic suggests, but volatility is also increasing. That means portfolio balance, position sizing and psychology are becoming more important, especially for investors who are exposed to both high momentum tech and longer-term commodity themes. What you’ll learn: * Why US technology and semiconductors remain the dominant area of market leadership * Why the US dollar breakout creates a clear short-term headwind for commodities * How to think about gold, copper and miners when the long-term case remains intact but the short-term price action is difficult * The three practical portfolio choices investors can consider after a strong market run * Why stock-specific growth stories may still offer better risk/reward than broad market exposure If you want a clearer process for managing ASX and US market opportunities, the Insiders Club provides portfolio recommendations, market updates, trading alerts, education and ongoing support. Learn more about the Insiders Club [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club] For investors who would prefer professional portfolio management rather than making every decision themselves, Portfolio Manager may be a more suitable option [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/portfolio-manager]. Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

21. Juni 202628 min
Episode Wild Week in Markets: Gold, Commodities & the Next Move Cover

Wild Week in Markets: Gold, Commodities & the Next Move

It’s been one of the wildest weeks many investors will have seen for some time, with sharp swings in sentiment leaving plenty of people wondering what comes next. For the full experience, watch the YouTube video at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44VozqCD89c [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=44VozqCD89c] 📈 View our scoreboard of results here: www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club/#core_results [http://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club/#core_results] In this week’s update, Garry looks at what the violent whipsaw in markets may really mean, why the US market still appears more constructive than Australia, and why gold, miners and broader commodity stocks are moving into a much more interesting area after heavy selling. The key message is that wild price action does not automatically mean the bigger opportunity has disappeared. In many cases, it can simply mean that markets have moved from overbought to oversold far more quickly than expected, creating the conditions for a better reward for risk setup once confirmation arrives. What you’ll learn: * How to think more calmly and clearly after a very volatile week * Why oversold conditions in commodities and miners can create opportunity * Why technicals and money flows remain the key timing tool * What the US market is saying versus the Australian market * Why patience, staged buying and sensible weightings matter now If you’d like a more structured framework for navigating this kind of environment, that’s exactly what my Insiders Club membership is designed to provide. 🔹 Learn more about the Insiders Club (for serious wealth builders) www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club [http://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club] 🔹 Learn more about Portfolio Manager (professional fund management) www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/portfolio-manager [http://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/portfolio-manager] Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice, if any, is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold stocks mentioned in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase those stocks should be made only after the purchaser has made their own enquiries as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise every member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits your risk profile, timeframe and capital allocation.

13. Juni 202616 min
Episode Tech & Commodities Get Smashed. Is This the Top? Cover

Tech & Commodities Get Smashed. Is This the Top?

👉 Insiders Club Special Offer $149/mth for 2 months (for serious wealth builders) Entry and exit alerts, strategy, education and full email support. https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club Friday was an ugly session across parts of the US market, with tech, AI-related stocks and commodities all coming under pressure. But was it panic selling? Or was it a normal, healthy reset after an extreme run? For the full experience, watch the YouTube video at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j6wRYqv9umY [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j6wRYqv9umY] 📈 View our scoreboard of results here: www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club/#core_results [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club/#core_results] In this week’s update, Garry looks at the evidence behind Friday’s move, including the Nasdaq, semiconductors, the VIX, volume signatures, gold, silver, copper, oil, the US dollar and the key commodity sectors. The key message is that sharp price action does not automatically mean the market has topped. Some areas had simply run too far, too fast, and the trigger arrived through a stronger jobs report, higher yield expectations and renewed US dollar strength. What you’ll learn: * Why Friday looked worse on the surface than it may have been underneath * Why the VIX and volume signatures matter when assessing panic * Why the US dollar is still creating pressure for gold and commodities * How to think about AI and semiconductor pullbacks after a major run * Why staged entries, realistic expectations and sensible weightings matter now If you’d like a more structured framework for navigating this kind of environment, that’s exactly what my Insiders Club membership is designed to provide. 🔹 Learn more about the Insiders Club (for serious wealth builders) www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club] 🔹 Learn more about Portfolio Manager (professional fund management) www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/portfolio-manager [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/portfolio-manager]   Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold this stock in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase this stock should be done so after the purchaser has made their own inquires as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise EVERY member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits YOUR risk profile, timeframe, capital allocation etc.

7. Juni 202635 min
Episode Top Forming or Just Getting Started? How to Buy Rebounds Cover

Top Forming or Just Getting Started? How to Buy Rebounds

👉 Insiders Club Special Offer $149/mth for 2 months (for serious wealth builders) Entry and exit alerts, strategy, education and full email support. https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club] After months of volatility, forced selling, war-driven uncertainty, energy disruption and pressure on the Australian economy, some of the strongest rebounds have already started to unfold. In this week’s update, I explain how I’ve been thinking about this period, why bounces were expected, and how investors can approach rebounds without relying on prediction. For the full experience, watch the YouTube video at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EigewhGeb08 [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EigewhGeb08] 📈 View our scoreboard of results here: www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club/#core_results [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club/#core_results] What you’ll learn: * Why difficult markets require preparation, not forecasting * How strategic cash can become attack capital * Why bottoms often form when the news feels worst * How money flows help confirm when buyers are taking control * What recent rebounds in gold, silver, copper, AI, tech and semiconductors may be telling us * Why commodity volatility and oil supply disruption still need to be watched carefully I also discuss how Insiders Club members have been positioned through this period, why a clear process matters in volatile markets, and why the best opportunities often appear before they feel comfortable. If you’d like a more structured framework for navigating this kind of environment, that’s exactly what my Insiders Club membership is designed to provide. 🔹 Learn more about the Insiders Club (for serious wealth builders) www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club] 🔹 Learn more about Portfolio Manager (professional fund management) www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/portfolio-manager [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/portfolio-manager]   Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold this stock in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase this stock should be done so after the purchaser has made their own inquires as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise EVERY member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits YOUR risk profile, timeframe, capital allocation etc.

16. Mai 202635 min
Episode Markets Pricing Imminent Peace: What If They’re Wrong? Cover

Markets Pricing Imminent Peace: What If They’re Wrong?

Markets are pricing a relatively positive outcome from the US-Iran conflict, but what happens if peace does not come quickly? This week I look at the Strait of Hormuz, global supply chain risk, energy uncertainty, inflation pressure, and why the next few weeks may be important for markets. At the same time, the US technology sector continues to surge, with AI-related earnings and capital expenditure still driving major leadership. That creates a difficult backdrop for investors: powerful structural themes on one side, and unresolved geopolitical risk on the other. For the full experience, watch the YouTube video at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tm0SwBQrii4 [https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tm0SwBQrii4] 📈 View our scoreboard of results here: www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club/#core_results [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club/#core_results] Read the full notes here: https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/blog/markets-pricing-imminent-peace-what-if-they-re-wrong What you'll learn: * Why the Strait of Hormuz remains central to global market risk * What an extended conflict could mean for stocks, oil, inflation and supply chains * Why AI and US technology continue to dominate market leadership * Where gold, silver, copper, oil and lithium sit now * Why volatility can be useful, but only with preparation and a clear process If you’d like a more structured framework for navigating this kind of environment, that’s exactly what my Insiders Club and Portfolio Analyst memberships are designed to provide. 🔹 Learn more about the Insiders Club (for serious wealth builders) www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/insiders-club] 🔹 Learn more about Portfolio Manager (professional fund management) www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/portfolio-manager [https://www.specialistshareeducation.com.au/portfolio-manager]   Any advice in this video is general advice only. Neither your personal objectives, financial situation or needs have been taken into consideration. Accordingly you should consider how appropriate the advice (if any) is to those objectives, financial situation and needs, before acting on the advice. Garry Davis (AR No:317590) is an authorised representative of Primary Securities Ltd (AFSL No. 224107). Note to traders* The publishers of this material wish to disclose that they may hold this stock in their portfolios and that any decision to purchase this stock should be done so after the purchaser has made their own inquires as to the validity of any information in this material. Past performance should not be taken as an indicator of future returns. It must also be noted that trading in the stock market involves risk of losing money. Investors and traders can take numerous steps to mitigate such risks with a clear plan, clear targets and entry prices, and strong support from an experienced trader. This approach underpins everything we do and is where we advise EVERY member to start, and you have access to Garry to support you in creating a trading plan that suits YOUR risk profile, timeframe, capital allocation etc.

10. Mai 202619 min