东谈西论

旧秩序瓦解 小国如何突围？ Singapore's foreign policy in uncertain times

随着二战后以规则为导向的国际秩序逐渐削弱，全球经济的相互依赖甚至开始被武器化，国际局势正变得更加错综复杂与不可预测。同时，美国和以色列对伊朗的打击引发了中东冲突 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/specials/middle-east-conflict]，不仅直接冲击了全球能源市场，也让多国的生存环境与经济面临严峻考验。 面对这个巨大且无法逆转的大环境变化，高度依赖开放贸易的新加坡也必须重新寻找航向。为此，新加坡政府积极拓展朋友圈，并不断提升与中国、日本和韩国等东北亚主要国家的战略与前瞻性合作伙伴关系。 在大国利益频频发生摩擦的背景下，新加坡未来的外交处境会有多困难？面对充满不确定性的新局势，新加坡又要如何做好准备勇往直前？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论 [https://www.zaobao.com/keywords/global-heartbeat]》，听主持人韩咏红 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/producer/han-yong-hong]与外交部兼内政部高级政务部长沈颖 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/keywords/chen-ying]为您详细解析。 延伸阅读： * 沈颖：新加坡须扩大朋友圈 在亚细安以外加深与中韩日一体化 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/singapore/story20260306-8692560] * 黄总理：我国液化天然气重要供应来源 新澳加强合作确保能源供应畅通 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/finance/singapore/story20260323-8776601] As the post-World War II rules-based order comes under strain and economic interdependence is increasingly weaponised, the world is becoming more uncertain. The Middle East conflict has tightened global energy supplies and raised concerns about higher electricity and fuel costs, including in Singapore. For Singapore — a small, open economy reliant on trade — this shifting environment reinforces the need to diversify partnerships and strengthen cooperation with major Northeast Asian partners such as China, Japan and South Korea. But how hard will Singapore’s balancing act become as great-power rivalry intensifies, and how is it preparing for a more unpredictable world? In this episode of Lianhe Zaobao’s podcast Global Heartbeat, host Han Yong Hong speaks with Senior Minister of State for Foreign Affairs and Home Affairs Sim Ann about Singapore’s diplomatic strategy in a fast-changing world. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor Han Yonghong, Global Heartbeat is a weekly Mandarin news and current affairs podcast published every Tuesday. It is available on Lianhe Zaobao website and app, Apple Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms. See omnystudio.com/listener [https://omnystudio.com/listener] for privacy information.

特朗普骑虎难下 打伊朗如何收场？Hormuz under siege: Trump's dilemma

美国和以色列联手攻打伊朗已经超过两个星期。伊朗封锁了全球能源大动脉霍尔木兹海峡 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/world/story20260313-8724393]，造成全球能源供应高度紧张 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/world/story20260314-8733148]。 美国总统特朗普过去几天要求盟友及世界其他国家，共同为油轮护航以平安渡过霍尔木兹海峡，但被点名的国家反应普遍冷淡 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/world/story20260317-8744988]。特朗普甚至在记者会上抱怨这些盟友“忘恩负义”。 如今战局僵持不下，骑虎难下的特朗普还有什么选择？这场战争会以什么方式结束？美国盟友纷纷作壁上观，又说明了什么？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论 [https://www.zaobao.com/keywords/global-heartbeat]》，听主持人韩咏红 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/byline/han-yong-hong]与香港城市大学法学院教授、中国法与比较法研究中心主任王江雨 [https://www.zaobao.com/forum/expert/wang-jiang-yu]详细解析。 延伸阅读： * 特朗普因伊朗战争要求推迟访华 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/world/story20260317-8745267] * 彭博：伊朗乱局引发中国学界辩论“不干预”原则边界 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/china/story20260317-8746029] The Middle East is in turmoil as the joint United States–Israel military operation against Iran enters its third week, triggering Iran’s effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital artery for global oil and gas trade and a major source of market jitters over energy supply and prices.  In response, US President Donald Trump has repeatedly urged allies to join a multinational naval coalition to escort tankers through the strait, but many longstanding partners have been cool or outright resistant, prompting him to publicly accuse them of disloyalty and ingratitude.  With the conflict at an uneasy stalemate and Iran still seeking to restrict maritime traffic, key questions loom: what strategic options remain for Trump, how this war could end, and what the reluctance of America’s traditional allies to get involved might mean for future international alignments. Join host Han Yonghong and guest Professor Wang Jiangyu from the City University of Hong Kong School of Law as they analyse these unfolding developments in this episode of Global Heartbeat. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor Han Yonghong, Global Heartbeat is a weekly Mandarin news and current affairs podcast published every Tuesday. It is available on Lianhe Zaobao website and app, Apple Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms. See omnystudio.com/listener [https://omnystudio.com/listener] for privacy information.

2026年两会：中国高层人事大洗牌的一扇窗 China's 2026 Two Sessions: Economic shifts and political purges

2026年中国全国两会 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/keywords/2026zhong-guo-liang-hui?ref=article-bottom-keyword]如期在上星期开幕。中国总理李强3月5日在政府工作报告中宣布，今年的经济增长目标定为4.5%至5%。这是中国30多年来首次将增长目标下调至5%以下，显示中国经济增长压力不小。 不过，增长目标并未引发最广泛关注，两会上更引人瞩目的是人事变动。例如，人大主席团和秘书长名单较往年减少了13人，其中包括多名已被罢免或受查的地方首长、解放军高级将领，甚至国家级领导人，如张又侠、何卫东、马兴瑞等。出席两会的上将仅剩六人，其中两人还是去年12月才晋升的。 谁来谁不来？两会已成为观察中国高层人事变动的窗口。今年的两会在人事上有何具体看点？这个世界第二大经济体又对外展示了什么样的政策走向？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论 [https://www.zaobao.com/keywords/global-heartbeat]》，《联合早报》中国新闻组主任兼北京特派员杨丹旭 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/byline/yang-dan-xu]与主持人韩咏红 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/byline/han-yong-hong]，共同梳理今年中国两会的关键亮点，并剖析世界第二大经济体所展示的政策走向。 延伸阅读： * 杨丹旭：反腐高压下两会拉开序幕 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/china/story20260304-8673133] * 韩咏红：中国经济增长进入“4”时代 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/china/story20260306-8687244] China’s 2026 “Two Sessions” – the country’s most important annual political meetings – have opened with a blend of continuity and unease. Premier Li Qiang’s government work report set this year’s GDP growth target at 4.5 to 5 per cent, underscoring Beijing’s focus on more sustainable “high-quality” development amid weak property markets, local debt risks and the challenge of reviving domestic demand while advancing advanced manufacturing and green industries. The political choreography is drawing almost as much scrutiny as the policy agenda, with notable absences from the National People’s Congress leadership ranks, including senior military figures and state-level officials who have been removed or slipped from public view, feeding perceptions of intensified internal discipline in the military and strategic sectors under Xi Jinping’s consolidated leadership.  On the policy front, the meetings signal higher spending on defence and on science and technology, particularly semiconductors and artificial intelligence, as Beijing doubles down on security and self-reliance amid strained ties with the United States and its allies. In this episode of Global Heartbeat, host Han Yonghong speaks with Yang Danxu, Lianhe Zaobao’s China News Editor and Beijing correspondent, for on-the-ground insights into the 2026 Two Sessions and what they mean for the world’s second-largest economy. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms. See omnystudio.com/listener [https://omnystudio.com/listener] for privacy information.

美国攻打伊朗：以色列称霸中东 Iran war: Redrawing the Middle East map

在延宕多时的弃核谈判失败后，美国和以色列上个星期六启动了对伊朗的军事攻击 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/world/story20260228-8654140]。在行动的第一天，美以联军空袭击中伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/world/story20260301-8656253]所在地，哈梅内伊与多名伊朗高级官员遇袭身亡。 伊朗随即展开全面反击，发射导弹空袭海湾地区设有美军基地的国家，包括卡塔尔、巴林、科威特、约旦、阿联酋和沙特阿拉伯，并封锁了全球能源运输大动脉霍尔木兹海峡。 这场战争目前仍在激烈进行。美国总统特朗普表示，行动最初预计持续四至五周，但美军有能力维持更久，“更大规模的行动还在后头”。特朗普宣称，行动目标是摧毁伊朗的导弹能力、海军力量，确保伊朗永远无法获得核武器，且无法继续在境外武装资助并指挥恐怖组织。 这期的早报播客《东谈西论 [https://www.zaobao.com/keywords/global-heartbeat]》，听主持人韩咏红 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/byline/han-yong-hong]与台湾中兴大学外交系、中东与中亚硕士学位学程副教授崔进揆解析美国是否会在中东陷入一场持久战？这场战争会否改写中东地缘政治格局？ 延伸阅读： * 马海云：百年大变局背景下的美以伊朗战争 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/forum/views/story20260303-8665431] * 学者：伊朗政权未彻底垮台 美伊料持久战 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/world/story20260301-8656852] This week, the Middle East is engulfed in a rapidly escalating war following the breakdown of long-stalled nuclear talks with Iran and the launch of a joint US–Israeli military operation against Iranian targets. On Saturday, the United States and Israel struck key military and nuclear-related sites across Iran in the opening phase of the campaign. Tehran has responded with a sweeping counterattack, firing missiles and drones at Israel and at US military bases in several Gulf countries, including Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia. Iran has also severely disrupted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for global energy supplies, jolting oil prices and unnerving financial markets worldwide. The fighting is intensifying by the day, with no clear end in sight. US President Trump has warned that the initial phase of operations could last four to five weeks, while insisting that American forces are prepared for a longer campaign and a possible escalation. His stated goals are sweeping: to degrade Iran’s missile arsenal and navy, to permanently block Tehran’s path to a nuclear weapon, and to curb its ability to arm, fund, and direct militant and terrorist groups abroad. All of this raises urgent questions for the region and the world: Will the United States be drawn into another long and open-ended war in the Middle East? And how might this conflict redraw the geopolitical map of the region for years to come? In this episode of the Global Heartbeat podcast, host Han Yong Hong speaks with Chin-Kuei Tsui, Associate Professor at the Graduate Institute of International Politics and Director of the Centre for Studies on South Asia and the Middle East at National Chung Hsing University in Taiwan, to unpack the stakes, scenarios, and possible endgames of this fast-moving crisis. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Spotify and other podcast platforms. See omnystudio.com/listener [https://omnystudio.com/listener] for privacy information.

被裁定违宪，特朗普“关税过山车”再颠荡 Tariffs on trial: Trump and global trade

美国最高法院2月20日以6比3的投票结果，裁定美国总统特朗普依据《国际紧急经济权力法》实施的大多数关税措施，违反美国宪法，也超越了总统职权。 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/world/story20260220-8605930] 特朗普随后发言说，他对裁决感到失望，也为一些成员没有勇气为国家做对的决定，而感到彻底羞愧 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/world/story20260221-8606405]。 他随后签署政令，依据《1974年贸易法》第122条，将对世界各国进口商品征收10%进口税，为期150天。仅隔不到一天，特朗普又在社交媒体上宣布把关税提高到15%。 自从去年上台，特朗普就对美国的所有贸易伙伴祭出高额对等关税。如今，“特朗普对等关税”被裁定违宪，这会对国际贸易格局造成什么影响？ 这算不算特朗普遭受的一个重大挫败？美国内部“反特朗普”力量在聚集声势吗？ 这期的早报播客《东谈西论 [https://www.zaobao.com/keywords/global-heartbeat]》，听主持人韩咏红 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/byline/han-yong-hong]与清华大学战略与安全研究中心主任、国际关系学系教授达巍的深入解析。 延伸阅读： * 于泽远：特朗普访华少了些筹码 [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/china/story20260223-8619539] * 【早知】特朗普关税被判违宪意味着什么？ [https://www.zaobao.com.sg/news/world/story20260221-8608157] The US Supreme Court has dealt a major setback to President Trump’s trade agenda, ruling that his use of emergency powers to impose broad tariffs on imports exceeded what the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) allows. The decision throws into doubt tens of billions of dollars in duties and has prompted business groups to push for refunds that could reach US$175 billion (S$222 billion). Trump has moved quickly to find new legal footing. He has signed an executive order invoking Section 122 of the 1974 Trade Act to impose a 10% global import tax for 150 days, and signaled plans to raise the rate to 15%. Legal experts, US allies and markets are now asking whether this new move can survive court challenges. Around the world, trading partners from Europe to Asia are reassessing their ties with Washington. Some are delaying trade talks, while others stress that existing agreements remain in force but warn that trust is eroding. At home, the ruling is seen as both a constitutional check on executive power and a political test for Trump as he heads into crucial midterm elections. In this episode of the Global Heartbeat podcast, Professor Da Wei, Director of the Centre for International Security and Strategy at Tsinghua University, breaks down the legal, economic and geopolitical stakes, and explores how a US domestic court ruling could reshape global trade in the months ahead. Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor Han Yonghong, Global Heartbeat is a weekly Mandarin news and current affairs podcast published every Tuesday. It is available on Lianhe Zaobao website and app, Apple Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms. See omnystudio.com/listener [https://omnystudio.com/listener] for privacy information.