Fighting with Numbers: UFC Betting Through An Analytical Lens

Fiziev vs Torres | UFC Baku Model Predictions | FWN Ep. 47

The UFC heads to Baku, Azerbaijan this week as Rafael Fiziev looks to make a statement in front of his home crowd against a red-hot Manuel Torres — a fighter who has barely seen a second round in his entire MMA career.  If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow. Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo [https://x.com/TheRobbeo] and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com [https://FightingWithNumbers.com].   Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Recent Performance Review 02:03 Upcoming UFC Event in Baku, Azerbaijan 03:13 Fight Breakdown: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson 07:43 Fight Breakdown: Rafael Faziv vs. Manuel Torres 14:04 Conclusion and Future Outlook Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com [https://pcm.adswizz.com] for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

UFC Vegas 119: Kape vs Horiguchi 2 | FWN Ep. 46

Back at the APEX after one of the wildest events in UFC history. Rob recaps the White House card and gets into UFC Vegas 119 — a shorter card headlined by a legitimate flyweight title eliminator between Manel Kape and Kyoji Horiguchi.  If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow. Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo [https://x.com/TheRobbeo] and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com [https://fightingwithnumbers.com].   Chapters 00:00 Here We Go 05:02 Analyzing Upcoming Fights at UFC Vegas 119 14:32 Main Event Breakdown: Manel Kape vs. Kyoji Horiguchi Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com [https://pcm.adswizz.com] for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

UFC Freedom 250 | White House Bets | FWN Ep. 45

The UFC takes it outside — literally — as the promotion sets up on the lawn of the White House for a card with two title fights and genuine history on the line. Rob breaks down fights through the model, including a heavyweight title fight where the model says one thing and the heart says another, and a lightweight main event where the undefeated El Matador looks to add another legend to his list. The outdoor environment, the crowd, the weather — this one comes with unknowns that no model can fully account for. That's what makes it must-watch television. If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow. Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com.   00:00 Introduction and Event Recap  02:02 UFC Freedom 250 Overview  04:37 Weather and Environmental Factors  06:24 Diego Lopes vs. Steve Garcia Breakdown  11:16 Alex Pereira's Historic Title Shot  16:32 Main Event: Ilia Topuria vs. Justin Gaethje Analysis  23:35 Closing Thoughts and Final Predictions Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com [https://pcm.adswizz.com] for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

UFC Vegas 118: Muhammad vs Bonfim | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 44

UFC Vegas 118 lands at the APEX this week with a former welterweight champion looking to stop the bleeding against a rising contender riding serious momentum. If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow. Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com [http://FightingWithNumbers.com]. ---------------------------------------- Chapters 00:00 Introduction to UFC Vegas 118 Preview 02:53 Analyzing the Undercard Fights 06:42 Co-Main Event Breakdown: Allen vs. Shahbazyan 09:32 Main Event Discussion: Muhammad vs. Bonfim 14:48 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com [https://pcm.adswizz.com] for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

UFC Macau: Song vs Figueiredo | Betting Predictions | FWN Ep. 43

The UFC is back from a week off and so is Fighting With Numbers. This week the promotion heads to Macau for an early morning card — 4AM Eastern for those of us stateside. Rob breaks down two fights through the model, including a light heavyweight matchup where the numbers are lopsided enough to hunt props over the moneyline, and a main event featuring a former two-time flyweight champion whose decline is written all over the data. Short pod, clear model sides, and a prop market worth paying attention to before fight night. If you're enjoying the show, make sure to subscribe, leave a rating, and share the episode with a fellow fight fan — it goes a long way in helping the pod grow. Find Rob on Twitter/X and Instagram at @TheRobbeo and check out the full model, season dashboard, and breakdowns at FightingWithNumbers.com [http://FightingWithNumbers.com]. Chapters 00:00 Fighting with Numbers Returns 01:46 UFC Macau Preview: Co-Main Event Breakdown 05:41 Main Event Analysis: Song vs Figgy 09:28 Conclusion Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com [https://pcm.adswizz.com] for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.