Höre The Bayesian Conspiracy

Eneasz and Liam discuss Scott Alexander’s post “Twilight of the Edgelords [https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/twilight-of-the-edgelords?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss],” an exploration of Truth, Morality, and how one balances love of truth vs not destabilizing the world economy and political regime. CORRECTION: Scott did make an explicitly clear pro Kamala post [https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/acx-endorses-harris-oliver-or-stein?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] LINKS Scott Alexander’s Twilight of the Edgelords [https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/twilight-of-the-edgelords?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Liam & Waweru’s fiction & philosophy podcast – 2 Rash 2 Unadvised [https://2rash2unadvised.buzzsprout.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Paid Bonus content for the week – Liam on Them [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/p/bonus-236a-liam-on-them?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], 2:40 on Deontology [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/p/bonus-236b-240-on-deontology?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], Steven on Black Mirror and Formula 1 [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/p/bonus-263c-steven-on-black-mirror?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] also mentioned: Liam’s previous Gender Explained (substack [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/p/bonus-221a-gender-explained?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] and patreon [https://www.patreon.com/posts/bonus-221a-112210712?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]) Eneasz’s post Does The Omelas Kid Have An Obligation To Suffer? [https://deathisbad.substack.com/p/does-the-omelas-kid-have-an-obligation?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Eneasz & Matt analyze Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (and coming soon: Steven & Brian on Blindsight [https://hpmorpodcast.com/?p=3368&utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]) The Rationalist Summer Trifecta: Manifest 2025 [https://www.manifest.is/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] LessOnline 2025 [https://less.online/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] VibeCamp 2025 [https://vibe.camp/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] 00:00:05 – Twilight of the Edgelords [https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/twilight-of-the-edgelords?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] 01:28:04 – Eneasz & Steven catch-up 01:36:48 – Guild of the Rose [https://guildoftherose.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] 01:39:42 – Rationalist Summer Trifecta 02:21:34 – Thank the Supporter! [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/subscribe?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] ---------------------------------------- Our Patreon [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], or if you prefer Our SubStack [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Hey look, we have a discord [https://discord.gg/Vwskrh7cZj?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with  [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]The Guild of the Rose [https://guildoftherose.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], check them out. [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] ---------------------------------------- Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast [https://player.fm/series/rationality-from-ai-to-zombies?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] LessWrong Sequence Posts [https://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Less_Wrong/All_articles?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summer

Wes Fenza [https://livingwithinreason.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] and Jen Kesteloot join us to talk about whether there’s significant personality differences between men and women, and what (if anything) we should do about that. LINKS Wes’s post Men and Women are Not That Different [https://livingwithinreason.com/p/men-and-women-are-not-that-different?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Jacob’s quoted post Navigation By Moonlight [https://www.secondperson.dating/p/navigation-by-moonlight?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Eneasz’s related post How To Believe False Things [https://deathisbad.substack.com/p/how-to-believe-false-things?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Clearer Thinking’s Gender Continuum Test [https://www.clearerthinking.org/tools/gender-continuum-test?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] The Mind Killer [https://mindkiller.substack.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] – biweekly news podcast via rationalists Ghibli Eve Theory of Consciousness [https://www.vectorsofmind.com/p/bonus-ghibli-eve-theory-of-consciousness?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] 00:00:05 – Gender Differences 02:20:31 – Guild of the Rose [https://guildoftherose.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] 02:21:34 – Thank the Supporter! [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] ---------------------------------------- Our Patreon [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], or if you prefer Our SubStack [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Hey look, we have a discord [https://discord.gg/Vwskrh7cZj?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with  [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]The Guild of the Rose [https://guildoftherose.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], check them out. [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] ---------------------------------------- Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast [https://player.fm/series/rationality-from-ai-to-zombies?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] LessWrong Sequence Posts [https://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Less_Wrong/All_articles?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summer

We speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of GiveDirectly [https://www.givedirectly.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]. Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit. LINKS Give Directly [https://www.givedirectly.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet [https://docs.google.com/document/d/1TZOX-yN4vdVhrBWcY_puQ6-HnnQ9REPkqBwRud5Wv04/edit?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] 00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice 01:12:19 – Steven & Eneasz chat about Community Altruism 01:49:35 – Guild of the Rose [https://guildoftherose.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] 01:51:36 – Thank the Supporter! [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] ---------------------------------------- Our Patreon [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], or if you prefer Our SubStack [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Hey look, we have a discord [https://discord.gg/Vwskrh7cZj?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with  [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]The Guild of the Rose [https://guildoftherose.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], check them out. [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] ---------------------------------------- Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast [https://player.fm/series/rationality-from-ai-to-zombies?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] LessWrong Sequence Posts [https://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Less_Wrong/All_articles?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Discussed in this Episode: None Next Sequence Posts [https://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Less_Wrong/All_articles?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]: None

Dave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take. LINKS Narrow Path [https://www.narrowpath.co/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Center for AI Policy [https://www.centeraipolicy.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Dave Kasten’s Essay [https://davekasten.substack.com/p/welcome-to-the-essay-meta?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] on the Essay Meta on his Substack [https://davekasten.substack.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Prospective donors for CAIP can donate here [https://www.centeraipolicy.org/donate?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] and potential major donors ($5k+) encouraged to email Jason at jason@aipolicy.us TBC episode 202 [https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/12/202-the-center-for-ai-policy-talks-government-regulation/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] – we talk with the Center for AI Policy Kickstarter link for Thomas Eliot’s new game: The Singularity Will Happen In Less Than A Year [https://www.kickstarter.com/projects/sixpencegames/the-singularity-will-happen-in-less-than-a-year-zinequest?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] 00:00:05 – AI Policy in D.C. 01:20:07 – Fundraising for CAIP and The Singularity Will Happen in Less Than a Year 01:24:28 – Guild of the Rose [https://guildoftherose.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] 01:29:16 – Thank the Supporter! [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] ---------------------------------------- Our Patreon [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], or if you prefer Our SubStack [https://thebayesianconspiracy.substack.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Hey look, we have a discord [https://discord.gg/Vwskrh7cZj?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with  [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]The Guild of the Rose [https://guildoftherose.org/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss], check them out. [https://www.patreon.com/BayesianConspiracy?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] ---------------------------------------- Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast [https://player.fm/series/rationality-from-ai-to-zombies?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] LessWrong Sequence Posts [https://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Less_Wrong/All_articles?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Discussed in this Episode: None Next Sequence Posts [https://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Less_Wrong/All_articles?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]: None

The White House wants to hear from you regarding what it should do about AI safety. Now’s your chance to spend a few minutes to make someone read your thoughts on the subject! Submissions are due by midnight EST on March 15th. Submit your comments the the White House here [https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/02/06/2025-02305/request-for-information-on-the-development-of-an-artificial-intelligence-ai-action-plan?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss] Check out NarrowPath [https://www.narrowpath.co/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss]