31: How the Strait of Hormuz’s Closure Could Reshape the Oil Market
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz led to months of volatility in the oil market, but a new memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran offered the first signs of a path toward stability. However, short-term risks for the oil market remain as a broader peace deal is discussed, and long-term questions are emerging as global suppliers and consumers seek to prevent a similar shock in the future.
In this episode of “The Energy Forum,” Abhi Rajendran [https://www.bakerinstitute.org/expert/abhi-rajendran] and Skip York [https://www.bakerinstitute.org/expert/harold-skip-york] explore what the market’s response reveals about the shifting foundations of global oil.
Featured:
* Abhi Rajendran, https://www.bakerinstitute.org/expert/abhi-rajendran [https://www.bakerinstitute.org/expert/abhi-rajendran]
* Skip York, Ph.D., https://www.bakerinstitute.org/expert/harold-skip-york [https://www.bakerinstitute.org/expert/harold-skip-york]
Editor’s note: This episode was recorded on July 2, 2026, when the U.S.-Iran ceasefire was still in place, and oil prices were easing; since then, on July 8, President Donald Trump has declared the ceasefire “over,” [https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-timeline-trump-hormuz-war-ceasefire-04da58cbae991183f8b52ef5bf615963] and oil markets have repriced renewed geopolitical risk.
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